NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)

[Gass3268]

It's glorious watching James Carville, Joy Reid, and Chris Matthews cry on MSNBC.

Joy Reid actually got what was going on, I didn't read that as crying. Chris Matthews definitely was though, haha.

[Gass3268]

It's glorious watching James Carville, Joy Reid, and Chris Matthews cry on MSNBC.

Joy Reid actually got what was going on, I didn't read that as crying. Chris Matthews definitely was though, haha.

True, she's still upset about it though.

Chris Matthews compared this to the Fall of France! I don't want Sanders to win, but that's unhinged craziness.

[Gass3268]

It's glorious watching James Carville, Joy Reid, and Chris Matthews cry on MSNBC.

Joy Reid actually got what was going on, I didn't read that as crying. Chris Matthews definitely was though, haha.

True, she's still upset about it though.

Chris Matthews compared this to the Fall of France! I don't want Sanders to win, but that's unhinged craziness.

France actually put up a fairly decent fight (underrated via 20-20 hindsight), which is more than can be said for the other candidates in the NV caucuses if the results so far are remotely representative.

If the cable news reports are representative as to what's going on, Biden appears to be the only non-Sanders candidate with a semi-respectable showing.

[Gass3268]

I'm surprised Chris Matthews doesn't like Sanders.

Sanders is coming down to earth. Under 35% in the first round and at 42% in the final round now. So much for the "60%".

Where are you getting those results from?

TV stations have more numbers than NYT. MSNBC are at 10%.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/ChrisBarrett/status/1231345694599811073

Sanders voted against comprehensive immigration reform, and his M4A and Green New Deal proposals are so expensive and far-fetched that they are far less likely to get passed than the plans of other candidates.  Meaning on all three of her issues, Sanders is the least likely candidate to actually enact positive change.

So I personally find a good number of Sanders' plans somewhat unrealistic, but one of Trump's major campaign points was also unrealistic (building a big beautiful wall along the Mexican border AND Mexico will pay for it).  

All I'm saying is that I'm not sure how much "unrealistic plans" affect whole-scale voting in today's political climate, though it might be different for Republicans vs. Democrats.  

The wall though costs around 50 billion while Bernie’s plan costs more than 60 trillion . Trump actually could have got the wall passed if he wanted to but it’s just that he likes it more as a political issue rather than a policy one

Well, The GOP wants to build a wall, while Bernie wants everyone to be covered by healthcare insurance, takes care of the climate and incentivize millions of workers with a new deal, and while the GND costs a lot, it will also be good for the economy and yield earnings. Climate change should be no.1 priority. Scale back military costs, and increase tariffs, taxes on the rich and multinationals and we have the money.

I agree it isn't likely to be enacted, but sometimes a presidency is about prestige rather than ideas. Sanders as president would be a political revolution, which will dramatically change the Democratic Party, inspire young people, expand the progressive caucus and that's what we want.

64 trillion over 10 years isn’t at all possible though

If Sanders just taxes the Top 1% at an effective tax rate of 200% then he can pay for his health care plan. Simple! I did enjoy this tweet: https://twitter.com/charliekirk11/status/1231005642413858816

You seriously believe Charlie Kirk on Sander's tax plan?

[Gass3268]

CNN now has county delegates at:

Sanders 29%
Warren 19%
Biden 17%
Buttigieg 17%
Klobuchar 9%
Steyer 7%

Only 1% in though

MSNBC has these same results, from the Nevada Democratic Party.

[Gass3268]

North Dakota is not a bad place for Klobuchar to go campaign.

[Gass3268]

So who's ready for Pete to miraculously jump from fourth place and win in the final party results?

[Gass3268]

So who's ready for Pete to miraculously jump from fourth place and win in the final party results?

Nice non-response to cheating that has absolutely and categorically already happened once.

Cheating? Yeah no...

Incompetence? Sure

[Gass3268]

NYT precinct map with 4%:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/22/us/elections/results-nevada-caucus-precinct-map.html?action=click&module=ELEX_results&pgtype=Interactive&region=Navigation

[Gass3268]

Biden camp expects they will finish second:

https://twitter.com/jeneps/status/1231376132257218560?s=20

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1231364521664688128?s=20

JMC is projecting a turnout of ~147,000. 75% increase from 2016, 24.5% increase from 2008.

Best news regardless of what Democrat you support.

[Gass3268]

I really wish we had more than 89 precincts reported.

[Gass3268]

Nevada Democratic Party now has 237 precincts!

[Gass3268]

That last dump was pretty good for Biden.

[Gass3268]

Biden now at 25% of county delegates, Buttigieg 3rd with 14.9%

Taking a look at NYTs precinct map, the only area that actually can be considered a map right now is North Las Vegas. So yeah, this was a Biden favorable batch.

Biden looks to actually have some decent strength North Las Vegas and Henderson.

[Gass3268]

Has Warren spoken yet?

She has event in Seattle.

[Gass3268]

This dude is a massive Biden supporter, but it looks like the entrance poll has been revised to the benefit of Biden:

https://twitter.com/ChrisDJackson/status/1231411004921257984?s=20

 

[Gass3268]

Congressional Districts with 23% in:

CD-01:

58.75%   Sanders
20.95%   Biden
8.27%   Buttigieg
8.27%   Warren
2.79%   Steyer
0.75%   Klobuchar
0.11%   Gabbard
0.11%   Uncommitted

CD-02:

43.60%   Sanders
19.20%   Buttigieg
11.80%   Klobuchar
11.00%   Warren
7.80%   Biden
6.40%   Steyer
0.20%   Uncommitted

CD-03:

39.24%   Sanders
22.10%   Buttigieg
20.92%   Biden
13.19%   Warren
3.61%   Klobuchar
0.92%   Steyer

CD-04:

45.02%   Sanders
32.31%   Biden
9.31%   Buttigieg
5.59%   Steyer
5.27%   Warren
2.06%   Klobuchar
0.26%   Bennett
0.13%   Gabbard
0.06%   Patrick

[Gass3268]

Time to take Biden out back lmfao...

Seriously, what an embarrassment. Wasn't he leading in polling in Nevada just a couple weeks back?

That's because there wasn't any Nevada polling until this week since like before Christmas.

[Gass3268]

I lived in Vegas for 5 years. I don't need to be explained to which minority groups live where.

Good for you...

[Gass3268]

So... Are we getting any more votes tonight?

[Gass3268]

NYT has results from the Area 51 precinct...

Warren with 100% (1 vote)

I want to believe!

Aliens and UFO's for Warren!

[Gass3268]

NYT has it at 50% of precincts reporting. Buttigieg seems to be gaining on Biden in every batch. Looks like he'll secure statewide viability as well.

[Gass3268]

Funny thought, imagine all complaining there would be in here and Twitter if Biden or Buttigieig had 33.6 in the first round but that expanded to 46.6 in the delegates allocated, but Sanders only had an increase of 2 points. Oh the conspiracy theories that would be told!