Louisiana 2023 gubernatorial election megathread (user search)
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  Louisiana 2023 gubernatorial election megathread (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate the 2023 Louisiana gubernatorial election
#1
Safe R
 
#2
Likely R
 
#3
Lean R
 
#4
Tossup/tilt R
 
#5
Tossup/tilt D
 
#6
Lean D
 
#7
Likely D
 
#8
Safe D
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 170

Author Topic: Louisiana 2023 gubernatorial election megathread  (Read 25449 times)
Birdish
Bartlet2002
Jr. Member
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Posts: 760
United States


« on: October 14, 2023, 10:01:20 PM »

Cant wait for the Politico article on the implications this has for 2024.
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Birdish
Bartlet2002
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 760
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2023, 10:06:28 PM »

Perhaps a dumb question, but was Shawn Wilson so awful?
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Birdish
Bartlet2002
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 760
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2023, 10:36:29 PM »

Will this carry over to Cameron or not now, that is the question.

Or does KY defy Louisiana again as per tradition, with 2019 as an outlier, just as 2013 was a break for Virginia?

Is it a question?
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Birdish
Bartlet2002
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 760
United States


« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2023, 10:44:23 PM »

Will this carry over to Cameron or not now, that is the question.

Or does KY defy Louisiana again as per tradition, with 2019 as an outlier, just as 2013 was a break for Virginia?

I would be more worried about all those Biden +8ish districts in Southside VA given LA Dems are losing a Biden +8 HD near New Orleans right now.  Kentucky is a different dynamic entirely, more about persuasion of presidential R’s than turnout.

Respectfully, this is a "primary" on a saturday in October in a deep red state. It seems foolish to try and translate that to Virginia. Not to mention democrats are actively spending money there, as opposed to these races.
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Birdish
Bartlet2002
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 760
United States


« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2023, 10:51:06 PM »

Will this carry over to Cameron or not now, that is the question.

Or does KY defy Louisiana again as per tradition, with 2019 as an outlier, just as 2013 was a break for Virginia?

I would be more worried about all those Biden +8ish districts in Southside VA given LA Dems are losing a Biden +8 HD near New Orleans right now.  Kentucky is a different dynamic entirely, more about persuasion of presidential R’s than turnout.

Respectfully, this is a "primary" on a saturday in October in a deep red state. It seems foolish to try and translate that to Virginia. Not to mention democrats are actively spending money there, as opposed to these races.

Referring specifically to the black belt part of VA here.  Agree none of what’s happening in LA is comparable to the rest of VA.

Also, are we sure this was about turnout vs. all the pro-life Dems just defecting for good?

Turnout does seem very bad. Bel Edwards easily netted 80k from New Orleans in 2019 in the primary. Wilson is barely going to get 40k.
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