2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[iceman]

What's up with Hardin county, Illinois? No results ever since the election night. Practically 0 votes counted and it's unshaded in all maps.

[iceman]

Virginia gets certified today but some jurisdictions are still not >99% like Fairfax county, Arlington, Alexandria, Norfolk city are in 90%. Does anyone know why counting is slow? Where are the updated figures?

[iceman]

what's wrong with Hardin county, IL? There has been no results since election night!

[iceman]

There's a few new results from Ohio:

Trump +45,352
Biden +52,899

link please...

[iceman]

what's wrong with Hardin county, IL? There has been no results since election night!

Politico has those results:

Trump 78.2%
Biden 20.8%

There's a few new results from Ohio:

Trump +45,352
Biden +52,899

link please...

I'm following the Politico Ohio results page. I just subtracted the previous results, frozen since election night, with the new ones.

https://www.politico.com/2020-election/results/ohio/

alright! apparently the newly counted ballots from Hamilton and Franklin were more democratic while in Cuyahoga it was more republican.

[iceman]

Question: will Trump get to 1 Million votes in Maryland?

[iceman]

I think Ohio is mostly in now, fell short of reaching 6 million vote mark.

[iceman]

The AP says Virginia's election commission has now certified the results, but their website still says otherwise.

https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-joe-biden-donald-trump-senate-elections-constitutions-0f2cd3a854432b25d0d4122b399fa8e8

I wonder if there were more votes added than to the figures on NYT... several blue areas aren't even 90% yet.

[iceman]

What up in Duchess Co.? is Trump really winning or they failed to count absentees and mail ins?

https://www.poughkeepsiejournal.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/19/absentee-vote-count-complete-dutchess-has-new-judge-keeps-incumbents/3775855001/

Seems they've actually finished counting, Biden+10 overall - larger margin than Obama 2008.

Dutchess county apparently had around 150,000 votes this year compared to 131,000 in 2016. If we correlate that data with the rest of the state, we may see New York having 8,600,000 votes this year.

[iceman]

It's a bit crazy to think that 100 years ago, there were only around 26 Million votes cast in the Presidential election of 1920, 100 years later it's around 158 Million. It's just so amazing. Perhaps there would be around 250 Million votes cast in 2120?

[iceman]

Update on Ohio:

They seem to have stooped updating the absentee vote tally, and so far, Trump continues to lead Biden in those ballots:

Trump +78,277
Biden +74,582

I think there’s not much left. AFAIK, Cuyahoga and Franklin already certified their results.

[iceman]

Update on Ohio:

They seem to have stooped updating the absentee vote tally, and so far, Trump continues to lead Biden in those ballots:

Trump +78,277
Biden +74,582

I think there’s not much left. AFAIK, Cuyahoga and Franklin already certified their results.

Yeah, plus Ohio plans to certify the results Tuesday so not much is left. The big chunk out there is basically all concentrated in New York. California only has 269,434 ballots yet to process.

It's a shame cause I've wanted Ohio to reach 6 Million votes. They fell short by about 75,000.

[iceman]

Seriously, what's wrong with New York? They haven't updated their numbers for quite a while.

[iceman]

Seriously, what's wrong with New York? They haven't updated their numbers for quite a while.

They're incompetent at running an election, that's about all there is to it.

Cuomo should fire the whole BOE and do significant reforms, this is embarassing

Embarrassing is an understatement. They should take Florida lessons.

[iceman]

Texas is not a purple state.... yet!

[iceman]

Is all of upstate NY done counting? If so, the only counties left to post their final numbers are Suffolk and Westchester.

[iceman]

At this point, is NY the only state with a lot of outstanding ballots?

California as well in some counties.

California is basically done. Less than 20,000 votes I presume left to count.

[iceman]

As bad as NYC is, Suffolk and Winchester still have more than 100,000 votes each to report

Total number of votes in New York probably hovers around 8.5-8.6 Million. In contrast to Florida which has about 11.4 Million votes. Why such big discrepancy in turnout between the 2 states with approximately the same population size?

[iceman]

As bad as NYC is, Suffolk and Winchester still have more than 100,000 votes each to report

Total number of votes in New York probably hovers around 8.5-8.6 Million. In contrast to Florida which has about 11.4 Million votes. Why such big discrepancy in turnout between the 2 states with approximately the same population size?

one is a swing state  while the other isnt. Also no campaign spends money in NY and lastly the election board in NY are laughably incompetent

Not really, there are safe states with arguably very high turnout e.g. Washington, Oregon, Massachusetts. In fact all 9 states in the NE US have very high turnouts, except for New York. I reckon this is probably due to the fact that NYC has a very low turnout which would probably drag down the state as a whole. But then again, the upstate NY also has very low turnout compared to other areas in the rust belt.

[iceman]

As bad as NYC is, Suffolk and Winchester still have more than 100,000 votes each to report

Total number of votes in New York probably hovers around 8.5-8.6 Million. In contrast to Florida which has about 11.4 Million votes. Why such big discrepancy in turnout between the 2 states with approximately the same population size?

one is a swing state  while the other isnt. Also no campaign spends money in NY and lastly the election board in NY are laughably incompetent

Not really, there are safe states with arguably very high turnout e.g. Washington, Oregon, Massachusetts.

Oregon and Washington mail ballots to every voter.  NY has an antiquated system that makes it difficult for people to vote, especially absentee

If that so, then an electoral reform should be in order after this embarassing predicament.

[iceman]

Why is Ontario county, NY still not atlas red on the map?

[iceman]

IL election results will be certified at a board meeting in 2 hours (10:30am).

Illinois has already posted the certified results.
https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/ElectionVoteTotals.aspx?T=637426681322107555

Nebraska is also certifying today.

https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/sos.nebraska.gov/files/doc/elections/2020/2020-General-Canvass-Board-Agenda.pdf

so Illinois was a swing to R

[iceman]

IL election results will be certified at a board meeting in 2 hours (10:30am).

Illinois has already posted the certified results.
https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/ElectionVoteTotals.aspx?T=637426681322107555

Nebraska is also certifying today.

https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/sos.nebraska.gov/files/doc/elections/2020/2020-General-Canvass-Board-Agenda.pdf

so Illinois was a swing to R

Interesting, so were Arkansas and New York (apparently especially New York City.) The most obvious thing these 3 states have in common is they're all home states of Hillary Clinton.  I don't know if that had any impact in the 2016 election, though, of course.

Nah, New York was a slight swing to Biden. But was a strong trend R though.

[iceman]

Amazing to see there is a continuous corridor of democratic areas from Topeka to Kansas City. It could have been connected all the way to Riley county.