Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread

[Alben Barkley]

Trump not signing this bill or at least forcing a $2000 vote on the floor of the senate would’ve given Dems the only prayer they had. But alas it’s over

Oh my god, we’re DEFINITELY winning these seats now!

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1343228374257459202?s=20

RIP

[Alben Barkley]

This is going to suck. And by suck I mean really suck

Can we start a poorly aging quote train for you like the one Woodbury had? You really deserve it.

We get it. I was relentless about Georgia in November and was wrong by a hair.

This is much much much different ballgame.

Name a (reasonable) number... Venmo wager.

Tonight’s not happening. The cult will prevail, evil over decency wins tonight I’m afraid

You used this exact same kind of apocalyptic language in November, annoying the hell out of the entire forum with your bizarre, relentless, extremely intense and irrational fixation on Georgia. That made you more than just “wrong by a hair.” If you simply said “I still think Trump edges it out,” then you’d have been wrong by a hair. Instead you went on and on AND ON about how there was absolutely no chance whatsoever for Dems to win Georgia, even WELL after the math made it clear that was the most likely outcome. That made you extremely, comically wrong. And if you had any shame or sense of self-awareness/embarrassment, you would refrain from ever commenting on Georgia again, frankly.

[Alben Barkley]

I was watching Fox News and the mirror to the honesty numbers is that both Warnock and Ossoff rate higher for "extreme views" than the others, and I think it was over 50.

Not surprisingly considering how the GOP calls Democrats socialists daily whereas Democrats don’t tend or labale the GOP as anarchists or something like that very often

GOP are not anarchists, they are fascists, and they should be called that all the time now that they have largely stood by a fascist president trying to pull off a fascist coup.

[Alben Barkley]

AP/FOX/VoteCast apparently did an exit poll too, and it's looking different than CNN's, just like in Nov.  Warnock/Ossoff also way better trustworthy than Loeffler/Perdue...

https://twitter.com/PoliticsWithPri/status/1346592738943254528

More think it will be counted fairly now and was counted fairly in November too than in the CNN poll.

And I’m pretty sure the Fox/AP poll was generally more accurate.

[Alben Barkley]

If Warnock and Ossoff are elected will their bond be strong enough to rejuvenate Jimmy Carter as Rey and Ben’s did for the Emperor in Rise of Skywalker?

Wait, so is THAT what happened in that movie???

They never really explained it...

[Alben Barkley]

Watched Fox for a second to get their exits:

Direction of the Country? 36% right direction / 64% wrong direction

Worried about Perdue/Loeffler insider stock trading? 56% yes / 44% no

Most important issue?
Coronavirus 43%
Economy/Jobs 27%
Healthcare 8%
Racism 8%

Perdue’s support of Trump? 44% too much, 9% too little, 47% right amount
Loeffler’s support of Trump? 47% too much, 9% too little, 44% right amount

Ossoff trust worthy & honest: 50/50
Perdue trust worthy & honest: 46/54

Warnock trust worthy & honest: 52/48
Loeffler trust worthy & honest: 44/56

Trump’s handling of 2020 election results: 44% approve / 56% disapprove
Raffensberger’s handling of 2020 election results: 59% approve / 41% disapprove

Confident votes were counted accurately in 2020 election? 62% yes / 38% no

It’s almost as if exit polls were particularly unreliable this year, the Fox and CNN exit polls once again paint completely different pictures, and we still don’t know enough to draw any real conclusions.

[Alben Barkley]

I'm feeling pretty good right now, they seem to be getting the numbers they need. Fingers crossed...

[Alben Barkley]

MSNBC: A few small counties down. Most look like a wash with about the same as November or a few votes in either direction

Basically what I'm seeing across the board so far is a wash in those small rural counties, while slight gains for the Ds in the Atlanta area.

That points to good news. But yeah it's definitely gonna be close.

[Alben Barkley]

Gotta hand it to polls this time. They’re probably going to be close.

GA polls for whatever reason seem to be the most reliable lately.

[Alben Barkley]

PredictIt flipped blue.

[Alben Barkley]

Still think Perdue and Loeffler are slight favorites. We knew that Dems would likely outperform Biden in the early vote, but the e-day vote is still the big unkown.

Not really seeing as the e-day vote is also being counted, Dems are still largely outperforming expectations or it's a wash, and completed small rural counties show for the most part that R turnout is down and margins are not any better than they were for Trump.

[Alben Barkley]

These numbers aren't matching the CNN exit polls...

If CNN's numbers were right a lot of these 100% complete counties would have different numbers than last time but few do.

It's almost like CNN exit polls are crap or something.

[Alben Barkley]

Douglas County numbers say RIP Perdue, doing several points worse than Trump. So much for King of the Suburbs meme.

[Alben Barkley]

Still think Perdue and Loeffler are slight favorites. We knew that Dems would likely outperform Biden in the early vote, but the e-day vote is still the big unkown.

I'll listen to Wasserman thx

Wasserman is a Dem hack and he was wrong about the November election.
That hack is forgetting that the Dem areas also have depressed turnout. For example, Fulton County turnout is at about 86% of November turnout.

Sounds like someone's getting nervous that his beloved Nazi Party might be out of power soon.

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346624596804513797?s=20

[Alben Barkley]

Will we actually know tonight? The vote's coming in so fast it seems like we might...

[Alben Barkley]

Two words and the second one is mirage

Two words and the second one is "you."

[Alben Barkley]

Can we send Stacey Abrams to Florida, let her fix the state party there?

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346628431019200513?s=20

It's almost like when Trump isn't on the ballot, Rs don't show up as much.

Who could have predicted this???

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346628431019200513?s=20

It's almost like when Trump isn't on the ballot, Rs don't show up as much.

Who could have predicted this???

I was thinking it’s more they didn’t show up because they thought the election was stolen and that there is no point in voting.

That too but also look at 2018.

[Alben Barkley]

It’s kind of crazy how almost every post 2016 election has been great for Dems except for 2020-which was merely good.

I remember being so disappointed when one of the earliest post-2016 elections happened to be a narrow loss in Georgia featuring a Democratic candidate called "Jon Ossoff."

Who could have predicted this?

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346630145134702594?s=20

[Alben Barkley]

Wasn’t Trump way ahead in Georgia around this time on Election Day?

This time they processed all the early votes to be ready to count at poll close, which is why everything's coming in faster.

[Alben Barkley]

Assuming we pull this out, will Kamala be the most active VP in the Senate since John Adams or something? She'll have to be there all the time to cast deciding votes.