Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/RonMilnerBoodle/status/1454592847613550592?s=20

It's getting even worse, when you see the video.

https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1454264981902577665

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/merica/status/1454500921606553601

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Two pieces of information straight off the Loudoun Presses...

One, the father (Scott Smith) of the girl sexually assaulted at the first school was at the Halloween Parade in Leesburg and was screaming and demanding to speak with Terry (who was there)... turns out he had a knife on him (like a hunting knife type thing) and he was almost arrested by the cops.

Second, (and this is big information that has not been leaked), the encounter between the rapist and this man (Scott Smith)'s daughter... was consensual (at least at first)... multiple charges of forcible fellatio in one encounter is a little bit unbelievable of a story (apparently to a judge as well)... The story going around is that they had hooked up a couple of times and either got caught, didn't want to continue seeing him, or was actually sexually assaulted (the least likely of these stories IMO) and told her father, a known conservative activist who donated 1.5k to a Republican statehouse candidate before this whole scandal even began. Additionally, this kid is simply not trans (a friend of a friend used to be friends with him), so if the girl or her father did make up this sexual assault story, I can imagine that she would also make up this detail. This explains why the DA placed him in another school (where he did actually sexually assault someone and should be facing severe punishment) but that detail explains a looooooot of why this hubbub is happening right around this election....

https://www.wjla.com/amp/features/i-team/teen-suspect-found-guilty-in-loudoun-county-public-school-stone-bridge-high-bathroom-assault

The rapist was convicted so as a matter of legal fact it was what you are trying to spin as the "least likely story". Dont spread bs.

Btw, I didn't find anything about Hyouzel's second story (about the father). Probably, he made up this one, too.

One, the father (Scott Smith) of the girl sexually assaulted at the first school was at the Halloween Parade in Leesburg and was screaming and demanding to speak with Terry (who was there)... turns out he had a knife on him (like a hunting knife type thing) and he was almost arrested by the cops.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/kcjohnson9/status/1454982202329030660

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/31/us/politics/virginia-governors-race-youngkin-mcauliffe.html
In the Final Days Before Virginia Votes, Both Sides Claim Momentum
Glenn Youngkin and Terry McAuliffe crisscrossed Virginia on the last weekend of what has become an increasingly close race for governor.

It was clear in interviews with voters over the weekend that many Virginians view this election as something symbolically greater than a face-off between two candidates for governor. The contest has exposed the country’s persistent divisions over questions of race, class, privilege and the appropriate role of government, and become an outlet for Virginians to register their dissatisfaction with the political culture.

“I’m a Hillary-Biden voter,” said Glenn Miller, a lawyer from McLean, as he walked into a Youngkin rally in southern Fairfax County on Saturday night that drew more than 1,000 people. He explained his tipping point: Working from home and hearing his teenage daughter’s teacher make a comment during a virtual lesson about white men as modern-day slaveholders.

“There are a lot of people like me who are annoyed,” he said, adding that he was able to vote for Mr. Youngkin because he did not associate him as a Trump Republican. “My problem with Trump was I thought he was embarrassing. I just don’t think Youngkin is going to embarrass me or the state.”

CRT doesn't exist? Cool.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1455174915880013825?s=20

It's clear, that Trump has seen the latest polls, thinks the win for Youngkin is fairly likely and wants to take credit for it! LMAO

https://twitter.com/Jaaavis/status/1455151061690470410

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1455174915880013825?s=20

I do wonder what the impact will be if terry mcauliffe actually does go on to win. If pollsters turn out to be wrong on this I can see the polling industry taking an even bigger hit to their credibility than they did in 2016

pollsters better hope that Glenn Youngkin does win this race because otherwise they will have a lot of explaining to do....

not really. If T-Mac wins by 1 or 2 I don't see how that would hurt pollsters on a level even close to the 2016 presidential election.

Yep. People here should really go Statistics 110.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455210988047937542

They seem to want to have it both ways because They are predicting Youngkin to win but then they add this....

This was an incredibly tough pick, so if it goes the other way with a McAuliffe win, I won’t be surprised in the slightest. Virginia is, after all, a leftward-trending state where Republicans haven’t won a statewide election since 2009

It is, what tilt means. Both ways won't surprise, but one side is slightly more likely win.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/TheGoodLiars/status/1455243036795998212

Videos like this are always dumb.  Like, do you think that if they found a Youngkin voter who could actually articulate what CRT is they would be plastering his facae on social media trying to get him to go viral?  lol

My money says 95% of Youngkin voters cannot do this.  Yet it's their number 1 issue.  

C'mon, man, c'mon! Everyone intuitively knows, what CRT is. It's White People BAAAD. As simple as that. A lot of {white} libs think this way, and believe or not, some of them are teachers. And, of course, some will inject it in some way in theirs teaching.


Condoleezza Rice explains like a Queen she is, what many normie parents worry about:

https://twitter.com/realchrisrufo/status/1451038600242544642
Here is the full video:

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.

Show

Youngkin/GOP should make an ad of it.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

People here are really taking a Youngkin internal at face value?

It IMO gives us more value than Early Voting #s to be honest.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

"X didn't publish poll - must be a good news for T-Mac!". You basically unskew the non-existence of a poll!  

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

"X didn't publish poll - must be a good news for T-Mac!". You basically unskew the non-existence of a poll!  

Why would they spike a Youngkin lead when most polls we've gotten in recent days either have a low Youngkin lead or Fox with a +8 Youngkin lead? Media says he has the 'momentum', so a T-Mac lead would certainly go more against the grain

You can apply same logic and say they had Youngkin +15.

The main point, though, that there is 0 (zero) evidence, they've "spiked their poll", but you pretend, that it's almost a fact. "likely". Eh, whatever.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Friendly reminder TO NOT COMPARE COUNTIES TO PAST ELECTIONS UNTIL ALL THE VOTE IS IN.
I repeat, do not extrapolate from a county with 60% of the vote in.
Otherwise you will be Alben Barkley 2020.

Shut up, killjoy!


Flashback from 2017https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1455268589913710596

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

It’s raining in NoVA today, if anyone cared.

The weather says it is but so far it’s dry.

WEATHER FRAUD!

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455543074646544387
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455546005273858048

I've seen enough. Youngkin wins thanks to Trump's endorsement!

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

🚨🚨🚨Virginia Ratings Update🚨🚨🚨

https://twitter.com/Elections_Daily/status/1455542715265945600

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

"The kiss of death"
https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/1455569874961448967?s=20

I've seen enough. Youngkin wins this race.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455587257411379205

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

I can’t believe people are taking a victory lap now. Just wait for real results.

By people you mean like 3-4 posters?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1455591885909659651
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1455592074808594438

And someone here said, Wasserman's prediction about turnout was wrong to large.


Perhaps, 114% of 2017!

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455592521078300675

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Dave changed his opinion on Charlottesville.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455592521078300675?s=20

It must've been painful for him to tweet this.

Is there a new conspiracy theory among left-wings that Wasserman is anti-D or something?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Did any of the polls model an increase over 2017’s turnout? I thought the consensus was that turnout would be lower, but it seems like there’s a good chance it’s actually higher now?

You're right - I believe Fox or one of the more recent polls only estimated turnout at like 2.2-2.3M

How did you calculate their "estimated turnout"?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher. Probably, not true, but to early to confirm.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher.

This is not playing out in the actual votes.  It is clear at this point that for Youngkin, everything is riding on him getting a significant crossover of Biden suburban voters.

I edited my post with

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher. Probably, not true, but to early to confirm.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Higher turnout was, indeed expected - "debunked" by this forum.

No. Nobody said Dems lack enthusiasm. Just that GOP had it higher. Probably, not true, but to early to confirm.

Aslo. No, Wasserman's track records are not bad - they are very good - nor he is somehow pro-R.