2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 649971 times)
Ferguson97
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« Reply #25 on: November 03, 2020, 07:16:26 PM »
Biden+8 in Pinellas County with 76% reporting?

Folks...
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #26 on: November 03, 2020, 07:19:28 PM »
Quote from: Beet on November 03, 2020, 07:18:52 PM
Dems' lack of Hispanic outreach is criminal.

Yeah, because Trump's "Mexicans are rapists" outreach is just phenomenal
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #27 on: November 03, 2020, 07:42:14 PM »
Are mail-in ballots really not counted yet in Miami-Dade? I'm seeing conflicting reports.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #28 on: November 04, 2020, 11:20:34 AM »
I don't think Biden has MI/PA/WI locked up yet, but I doubt an organization like AP or Fox would prematurely call Arizona. I think Biden's won that at least.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #29 on: November 04, 2020, 11:49:23 AM »
Quote from: Buzz on November 04, 2020, 11:48:27 AM
Minnesota caught be off guard last night.  Thought it would be much closer

Minnesota - titanium Likely D?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #30 on: November 04, 2020, 12:15:50 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #31 on: November 04, 2020, 02:25:26 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #32 on: November 04, 2020, 03:04:36 PM »
I'm guessing Michigan has Joe Biden/John James victories.

Nevada will come down to the wire but Biden should win.

Arizona is a tossup, no clue what's going on there.

Gut says Trump narrowly hangs on in Georgia.

If Arizona isn't a sure thing, we need Pennsylvania.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #33 on: November 04, 2020, 03:23:14 PM »

Meme map. What would even be the consensus here if Democrats win Georgia and the rust belt, but lose AZ/NV?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #34 on: November 04, 2020, 03:35:47 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #35 on: November 04, 2020, 03:50:10 PM »


Georgia looking very good...
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #36 on: November 04, 2020, 04:42:52 PM »
It's kind of darkly ironic that the result everyone expected in late 2018/early 2019 is what's happening.

Senate: Flip AZ and CO, lose AL.

Presidency: Biden/Harris win back PA/MI/WI, maybe one more
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #37 on: November 04, 2020, 04:45:14 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on November 04, 2020, 04:44:04 PM

It would be pretty crazy if Sabato had a perfect presidential map considering how much of a disaster his congressional picks were.

There'd have to be a huge comeback in North Carolina, but other than that they might nail it.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #38 on: November 04, 2020, 08:18:34 PM »
Quote from: Old School Republican on November 04, 2020, 08:17:11 PM
Quote from: Sadader on November 04, 2020, 08:13:51 PM
Quote from: Negusa Nagast 🚀 on November 04, 2020, 08:12:41 PM
ngl I like the Biden-306 map with Georgia surrounded by a sea of Republican states. A much better look than the last time that happened in 1980!

Yeah, this will genuinely be the (IMO) most aesthetic map since Lincoln



This was Bush 04 right?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #39 on: November 04, 2020, 09:03:59 PM »
The wait for Georgia is gonna kill me
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #40 on: November 04, 2020, 09:37:58 PM »


well sh**t
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #41 on: November 04, 2020, 09:44:43 PM »
what if it was the 278 freiwal all a long...
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #42 on: November 04, 2020, 10:07:49 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Electable (SEN: R+2) on November 04, 2020, 09:57:07 PM
Quote from: Peter Henderson/Kamelamela Harris 2020 on November 04, 2020, 09:52:14 PM
Quote from: Mr. Electable (SEN: R+2) on November 04, 2020, 09:50:05 PM
Kanye West received about 60,000 votes as of now. His best state was Tennessee.

https://www.nydailynews.com/snyde/ny-kanye-west-60000-votes-20201105-xje2ti6s3nd6noycwrnbnvapri-story.html

His first vote of his life was writing in himself. I wonder how many presidential candidates can say that. Even Trump probably voted before.

Eisenhower

I'm not sure about that one.

It's true: https://millercenter.org/president/eisenhower/campaigns-and-elections
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #43 on: November 04, 2020, 10:47:07 PM »
This would be such a weird goddamn map but I'd take it
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #44 on: November 04, 2020, 10:49:40 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #45 on: November 04, 2020, 10:51:16 PM »
Quote from: brucejoel99 on November 04, 2020, 10:48:31 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 04, 2020, 10:46:44 PM
116-117k ballots are outstanding in NC, per CBS.

Where are they from, what are they (in-person or mail-in), & what does this all mean for Biden/Cunningham's chances? Presumably nothing, given the current margins?

I think Biden would have to win like 62% of all of those ballots but my math may be wrong
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #46 on: November 04, 2020, 10:56:42 PM »

They aren't counting mail-in ballots at all until next Tuesday
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #47 on: November 04, 2020, 11:03:48 PM »
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on November 04, 2020, 11:02:33 PM

We're going to know who won PA as soon as tonight. With that, we will know who won the Presidency.

Not necessarily. If Trump wins PA and then Biden wins 2/3 of Nevada, Georgia, and Arizona, Biden wins.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #48 on: November 04, 2020, 11:12:18 PM »
Quote from: 2,868,686 on November 04, 2020, 11:07:36 PM
So does Gross actually still have a shot?

Probably not with the massive polling error we've seen for downballot candidates
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #49 on: November 05, 2020, 12:01:18 AM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on November 04, 2020, 11:57:59 PM
If Biden wins AZ, GA, NC, NV, and PA, 538 just may have been the site to follow all along.


Sabato, Selzter, and Rasmussen would be our new gold standards
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