Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not over, we have to wait til next yr before we know the Vaccines worked, but Homeless people whom spread the virus aren't gonna get vaccinated If they aren't mandated.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Covid isn't gone by next Summer, the South is gonna vote Red and that can hurt Ds in TX, FL, we know that's where the House is gonna be decided in Red TX and FL, they are gaining 6 seats

That's why I criticized your TX map

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The question isn't are Ds gonna win next Election, they can hold the Senate and win Govs with a Biden mediocre rating by reaffirming the blue wall, the question is TX and FL are gaining 6 new seats and 5 D's are vulnerable in TX and whether D's can get a Supermajority Senate to get Crt packing and Filibuster reform and DC Statehood.  It's possible that it could be a Split R H and a D Senate with D's winning NH, WI, and PA


DEMS CAN WIN WITHOUT SOUTH

We won't know that question until Summer of 2022, but Covid needs to be better than it is now.

Biden has the 278 EC votes to beat Ron DeSantis due to Senate map, but I highly doubt with Covid cases rising, Biden is at 60 percent

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is not at 60 percent, the other polls show him at 52 percent among RV and 49 percent LV

That's how we got messed up last time Biden +14 in RV in QU polls and D's were doing alot better like Bullock plus 4 in RV and trailing in LV

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Instead of giving us Biden Approvals give us a Generic ballot test for Midterms it was D plus 4, down from plus 8 in March when Biden passed 1400 checks for everyone, the money is running out again

Boehner is ou again and taking role of RS so that Mccarthy becomes Speaker

But, if boarder security and Covid gets better in 500 days we can see a blue wave in pbower2A map

It's not news TX, FL and IA are gonna stay R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If they would poll Senate races in NC, OH and FL and GA that will confirm that Biden is at 60% it would be believable, but since D's aren't releasing internals other than WI Sen, shows that's something is admist

So far GA, NH, WI Senate races have been polled

PA Senate only polled Fetterman approvals no Senate matchup numbers
If Biden was at 60 wouldn't we see NC, OH and FL Sen correlation with Biden 60%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's clear that the ongoing Covid is realigning the EC map again, between the North v South, I don't have much faith in TX when it comes to House Redistricting

The Southern Dems were wiped out in 2010 wave as well

H goes R with new Redistricting maps in TX and FL and Senate goes D with D's netting WI, PA and winning NH

It's a broken campaign promise he would cure Covid, just like he promised as Veep to cure Cancer, and my mom died of Cancer in 2015/ the same yr his son died

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden has a far higher approval than Trump so far, who only narrowly lost in 2020. Great sign for re-election as of now, because the country is more polarized now than ever.

We already know he has the 291 votes to solidify Reelection but in a Pandemic he can lose the H base on TX and FL Redistricting if Covid and Border Security isn't taking care of and the battleground in the H, not the Senate is in the South

I keep saying this, that North has no qualms about Biden, but the South is likely to realign and go back Red

The only state that Biden won was GA and the Deep S and it has voter suppression, Kemp is gonna get Reelected

D's can lose the H in 2022 and gain it back in a R +10 and, gain it back in 2024/2026 too the Senate map is just as bad for Rs as the H map is for D's for the decade

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden at 60 percent, well MO polls show that every D gets crushed in Senate races, told you the S will shift R since Covid cases went up

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Quinnipiac: 48% Approve, 42% Disapprove


Snap back to reality...

Yeah because Covid cases has gone up, as soon as Covid is taken care of, the Ds will be up again

It's not gonna be a landslide no ways but a D3.1 Election is probably the best case scenario D's will have

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's win by 3.1 as last time and keeps the H and a 53/47 Senate WI,PA, NH, GA and win either OH or NC, the End

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Qpac should not be taken seriously anymore, one way or another

They have shown time and time again they have horrid sampling problems that produce inaccurate results

In fact, I don’t know why they haven’t gotten the zogby treatment yet

Biden set out BOLD GOALS WHEN HE RAN FOR PREZ AND COVID IS STILL WITH US, AND HE ALONE WOULD GET RID OF IT, JUST LIKE WITH CANCER, he didnt solve that either

But a 3.1 D Election can be in the cards right now, I don't see Rs cracking the blue wall ever as long as we have a Senate map with D's fav to win WI, PA, NH and replicating the 291 Gov ekections

I appreciate you saying this as a Republican. Donald Trump's Toupee meanwhile suddenly seems to trust polls again when they validate what he wants to think.

D's aren't losing MI, PA or WI period in 2020/22/24

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden doesn't have to win over R voters in the Deep South, D's should hold their own in the H, D's only have to keep defectors to minimium to secure MI, WI and PA to keep the Prez and 2022/24 Senate maps favor Ds

Dont ever bother listening to Trump Toupee, Fetterman, Hassan and D's will win WI, PA and NH Senate races.

The Approvals has to be more disapprove than Approve and be at 44 percent like Clinton, Bush W, Obama and Trump were when they loss seats

Trump lost the H due to the first Impeachment

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I previously said they are giving us Biden Approvals, they aren't realistic, if Biden is at 59 percent we would get a landslide election

He is at 52 RV and 49 LV beware of false poll numbers just like we had in 2020 when it was 14 numbers on Trump among RV in QU polls

The max the Number of Senators is probably 53/47

In a non Prez year, Congressial ballot test matters more than a Prez Approvals last I check it was D 4

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Pew Research, April 5-11, 5109 adults (change from early March)

Approve 59 (+5)
Disapprove 39 (-3)


You really think that Biden is at 60 and the Generic ballot is plus 4 not 8 or 10, this isn't a Prez Election it's a Midterm

America loves Uncle Joe!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said many times in this thread show us the polls don't just show us Biden Approvals show us the Senate numbers, in PA, NH, GA, OH, FL and NC and Gov races in KS and GA and AZ that will equate these good 60 percent

We were fooled by QU plus 14 RV numbers last time

Pollsters are selectively giving us polls again

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden isn't at 59% we were told Biden plus 14 numbers in 2020, there is Buyers remorse in the S towards his amnesty program. The only states he has increased support in are the blue wall states. That's why the Biden 14 numbers last time were inflated

NY, Chicago, LA and SF are the main metros that inflate Biden numbers

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's gonna be a D plus 3.1 Election like last time which is neutral Environment, there is gonna be some buyers remorse in the S but since D's are gonna hold most Gov, Rs are gonna have a difficult time

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TX ISNT HAPPENING UNLESS MCCOUNGHEY SAYS HE IS GONNA RUN don't forget what happened to HEGAR last yr

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is turning out to be a D plus 2.5 to 4.0 Election I don't expect it to be a plus 8 Election but enough for 53 Senate seats and Hold the H

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The reason why Biden Approvals are staying above 50 is due to Police brutality and Gun violence and Insurrectionists, there had been absolutely no accountability on the part of RS on Gaetz, Hawley and Cruz for their role in Insurrectionists and sex sting

But, the Rs were quickly to denounce Foley and Craig on SSM

No difference between Vitter and Ensign whom also resigned

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TX is ground zero for Cruz and his assistance to Insurrectionists because he is a tea partier and ground zero for Energy crisis

Rs can keep their Cruz and Hawley but they dont have to Majority party

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Stop it, Biden Approvals isn't 59 percent, I will not be convinced of any 59 percent approvals unless Covid is over or substantially reduced to the point that everyone returns to work

There are LIMITS TO WHAT FED GOVT CAN DO ERADICATING COVID AND THE 1400 CHECKS WERENT ENOUGH, AS LONG AS COVID CONTINUES

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We need to see polls from every state, I won't be confident about any R or D wave until there polls lots of them, and aren't many except Biden approvals 49 one minute and then 60 again

Midterms are determined by Generic ballot numbers anyways, not Prez Approvals, we need to see the Generic ballot test

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I miss Zogby online polling, back during 2000 and 2004 they were inaccurate, but we are in a post 2006 era where Sunbelt can vote D and you would see D's doing well in WI, PA, NH, NC and GA