2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 12:58:24 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 640922 times)
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P P
« on: November 04, 2020, 10:41:19 AM »

Biden and Trump's numbers for Antrim County, MI, must be flipped, right?
Logged
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2020, 06:26:21 PM »

I'm getting a little annoyed about how much many of my friends are going full-in on rigged election conspiracy theories right now

Yeah I'm seeing this all over social media. Finding ballots randomly in Michigan. And something about sharpie pens spoiling ballots in Arizona? I don't know.

Apparently there was a drop of 100K+ ballots in Michigan that went 100% for Biden.  That seems statistically implausible, but I tend to imagine that there was some sort of mundane sorting explanation rather than a massive conspiracy theory.

It was a mistake (an extra 0 added to Biden's vote total in a county) that has now been corrected.
Logged
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P P
« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2020, 08:19:19 PM »

So what are the differences that accounted for Republicans winning Ohio in a blowout and losing Wisconsin and Michigan?

The margin difference between MI/WI and OH is roughly the same as it was in 2016.
Logged
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P P
« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2020, 08:26:52 PM »

So is PA gonna go to Biden or not? I feel like he's not making up enough ground.

He should net well over 100k from Philadelphia alone.
Logged
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P P
« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2020, 07:46:51 PM »

Isn't this not true? Isn't there stuff out in Cobb and Gwinnett?


Assuming what this guy is saying it accurate, it's worth noting Clayton has a population 155k greater than Taylor and Floyd counties combined.

NYT does say that Taylor is 96% reporting and Floyd is 89% reporting. So yes, there are a few more votes there.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 8 queries.