Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[MillennialModerate]

Senate is gone until 2024.

Wow.

Btw... anyone still wanna laugh at my Nevada Lean R?

[MillennialModerate]

Arizona and Nevada are absolute musts.

The Senate is gone until 2024... it’s even worse if they lose that.

[MillennialModerate]

LOL, I couldn't care less if Dems "underperform expectations" or not. They won the House. Therefore they won. Enjoy the "optics" circlejerk conservatives, I'll be enjoying killing the Trump/Republican agenda for at least 2 years.

LOL, exactly! The GOP can sit on their hands for the next two years. Their +2 in the Senate or whatever will be real useful when they can't pass a single bill!

Gridlock was expected going into tonight.

Laugh all you want, but it blocks conviction of Impeachment, and it ensures any further justices on SCOTUS, should there be further openings. And it provides building blocks for 2020. The GOP base is right behind Trump. GOP has the last laugh on this.

But ONLY the base is behind him.

He’s going to have a much harder time taking down the blue wall in 2020

[MillennialModerate]

Democrats need a Hail Mary in a Montana and Arizona

[MillennialModerate]

Arizona going to be called soon despite a razor thin margin

[MillennialModerate]

There goes Arizona

[MillennialModerate]

LOL, 55 seats for the Republicans.

That is ing embarrassing for the Democrats.

Literally embarrassing.

[MillennialModerate]

LOL, 55 seats for the Republicans.

That is ing embarrassing for the Democrats.

Literally embarrassing.

Didn't you create a whole thread insisting that the Republicans would hold the House? And, no, saying "well they didn't win by that much" isn't justification. 

Yeah, I said they’d hold the house and pick up 4 in the Senate.

I was wrong on the house and nailed it exactly on the Senate

[MillennialModerate]

LOL, 55 seats for the Republicans.

That is ing embarrassing for the Democrats.

Literally embarrassing.

Didn't you create a whole thread insisting that the Republicans would hold the House? And, no, saying "well they didn't win by that much" isn't justification. 

Yeah, I said they’d hold the house and pick up 4 in the Senate.

I was wrong on the house and nailed it exactly on the Senate

Fair enough, but as a left leaning Indy, I'm satisfied with taking the House and a number of governorships.   Scott Walker losing was delightful. 

The house isn’t a big enough majority to feel like it can be held for any longer than 2 years.

Losing Florida and Ohio Governors really hurts.

The Senate is gone for a long time.

I’m trying not tone negative but feels like a gut punch.

Worst of all I’m starting to accept that my country is supportive of the Trump way...
which makes me absolutely sick to my stomach to think about

[MillennialModerate]

LOL, 55 seats for the Republicans.

That is ing embarrassing for the Democrats.

Literally embarrassing.

Didn't you create a whole thread insisting that the Republicans would hold the House? And, no, saying "well they didn't win by that much" isn't justification. 

Yeah, I said they’d hold the house and pick up 4 in the Senate.

I was wrong on the house and nailed it exactly on the Senate

Well, no, your off by a guaranteed 1 in the senate, as Tester is likely to win reelection(90% in fact).

Not trying to be rude, but can you read?

Almost all votes in, Tester lost

[MillennialModerate]

LOL, 55 seats for the Republicans.

That is ing embarrassing for the Democrats.

Literally embarrassing.

55 is a worst case scenario. Montana is probably going D, and Arizona and Florida aren't over yet.

As I said to Zaybay.... read. Tester lost.

I’ve heard all night in all these different races “BUT LOOK WHERE THE OUTSTANDING VOTES ARE FROM!!!!” - rip the bandaid off. It’s over

[MillennialModerate]

If you had told me that Cindy Axne and Abby Finkenauer both won while Loebsack crushed it I wouldn't have predicted a Reynolds win

Agreed. I still have a hard time believing it wasn't closer.

LOL, 55 seats for the Republicans.

That is ing embarrassing for the Democrats.

Literally embarrassing.

55 is a worst case scenario. Montana is probably going D, and Arizona and Florida aren't over yet.

As I said to Zaybay.... read. Tester lost.

I’ve heard all night in all these different races “BUT LOOK WHERE THE OUTSTANDING VOTES ARE FROM!!!!” - rip the bandaid off. It’s over

Where are you seeing that? The NYT results page only has 83% of MT in, and it's really close.

CNN has 95% in, with Rosendale up by 0.5 points.  It is too early to call it an R victory, but it is heading in that direction. 

I guess I’m “embarrassing myself” by stating the obvious.

[MillennialModerate]

Dems are happy to take the House and Senate in 2020 and 2022 are Dem years. This is the peak for the GOP

Stop lol.....

[MillennialModerate]

Update from AZ: "estimated 500K uncounted ballots in Maricopa. Update on uncounted ballots at 10 am".

Half a million?

That’s a typo right

[MillennialModerate]

So if Tester wins(looking more and more likely) and Sinema pulls it out with all the ballots left, than a Dem +36 in the House and a Rep +2 in the Senate would be a pretty decent night for democrats all things considered.

Those are some massive IF’s

[MillennialModerate]

Tester might pull it out, thank god.

If only Sinema didn’t choke.

+2 R’s wouldn’t be THAT bad.

If Florida had done it’s job then it would have been +1 which would be even better.

But like 2016, so close but so far

[MillennialModerate]

Wait, Nelson could seriously still win?!

I thought this was quite obvious.

Anyway, the trend here should worry Rick Scott, especially since Democrats always win ultra-tight Senate races for some reason.

I know I’ve been a little pessimistic and have been wrong on some things but does anyone seriously think that Bill Nelson has a snowballs chance in hell. All the votes are counted?...

[MillennialModerate]

Nelson is only down by 21,000 now. Woah. He could actually pull this out.

For him to pull it out they’d have to be like 60k odd outstanding votes

[MillennialModerate]

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

[MillennialModerate]

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

Can you please stop trolling.

AZ has like 600,000+ votes left to count. And FL is literally at like a 21k margin.

600k? Is there any official source because the numbers I’ve seen are everywhere.

I was under the impression that the area the votes are from should Lean McSally....

And Florida might be out of votes so 21k might as well be 21 million.

[MillennialModerate]

Arizona looking to be out of reach.

Florida obviously shouldn’t even be a discussion.

How many total house seats we looking at? 229?

How did you not learn your lesson yesterday with Montana?

Hope to learn my lesson on arizona. We need that seat badly

[MillennialModerate]

The House keeps looking better and better for Dems. We could possibly reach 234.

I see 229-230. Where do you see those 4 extra

[MillennialModerate]

The AZ and FL GOPs sound... nervous.

Arizona GOP might have a reason to be

Florida on the other hand... I don’t get it

[MillennialModerate]

So assuming Sinema holds on, the Senate will end up R+1 or R+2 depending on Florida (which I refuse to make any predictions on at this point).  I expect that most Democrats would have taken that along with D+~35 in the House if it was offered to them a week ago!

I’m getting a what could have been feeling. Florida is going to sting for a while.

And the realization that literally nothing Trump does is going to change the mind of the rural cult following is depressing and honestly makes me think he can win in 2020 and that’s sobering enough to overshadow the good things from this midterm

[MillennialModerate]

So assuming Sinema holds on, the Senate will end up R+1 or R+2 depending on Florida (which I refuse to make any predictions on at this point).  I expect that most Democrats would have taken that along with D+~35 in the House if it was offered to them a week ago!

I’m getting a what could have been feeling. Florida is going to sting for a while.

And the realization that literally nothing Trump does is going to change the mind of the rural cult following is depressing and honestly makes me think he can win in 2020 and that’s sobering enough to overshadow the good things from this midterm

lol, your act is getting old.

It’s not an “act”. I’m thrilled at the house results but it’s worth considering that for the past two years I’ve told myself that a lot of people supported trump to try something new but after seeing the way he really is, his support would significantly decrease - to see that his supporters are more emboldened is scary to me. I would’ve bet the house on him being a one term President, now I’m not sure.

In a normal political environment where voters held the President responsible - Missouri, Indiana and Florida would have been Democratic wins. It’s sobering to see that not be the case.

I’d gladly take 53-47 for a Senate result, Florida will sting though because that one extra seat probably puts the Senate out of reach for 2020.