Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Hollywood]

I have a theory why Rs are still trailing in Gov polls, they are obstructing VR, insurrection and the Debt Ceiling

Boehner tried that in 2011 and it cost Romney the WH, as R Congressional Approvals are abysmal

Polls indicate that people aren't interested in VR and the Debt Ceiling.  I imagine some people care about the riot in Washington D.C., but the most important issues on the minds of voters are Coronavirus, Economy, Employment, and Immigration.  Handling of the coronavirus is probably the most significant issue that is directly related to Gubernatorial office. 

The main reason Republicans aren't doing well in these Gubernatorial races is due to the fact that they aren't competing in many of the Blue areas.  In a state like Virginia, they don't even try to compete for some of the Delegate seats. 

Romney lost cause Obama was a popular President that straddled the line between different factions of his own party.  He worked with the establishment coalition in D.C., and came through on some liberal issues.  He was likable.  Romney wasn't that likable.  He was your prototypical establishment Neocon and corporate elite that kept repeating the same BS Republican talking points.  He also ran a bad campaign that appealed to the wrong votes. 

[Hollywood]

-4 since last month in Fox News, which has been left-leaning. Yikes!

Actually, this Fox poll was a bit more R-leaning than the last in Identification.

That's not unusual from other polls taken this year, because Fox and other pollsters are also measuring the generic congressional ballot (which party voters support).  There's been a trend towards voters identifying as Republican and away from the Democrat Party.  

The trend from Democrat to Republican is pretty obvious when one looks at independent voters in the Fox News Poll.  Biden's approval is 36-62% among independents in the Fox News Poll.  Biden does not really have strong support among Independents (9%), and only 45% among Democrats.   This tells me the numbers could get worse.  

It's a brutal poll.  

[Hollywood]

-4 since last month in Fox News, which has been left-leaning. Yikes!

Actually, this Fox poll was a bit more R-leaning than the last in Identification.

That's not unusual from other polls taken this year, because Fox and other pollsters are also measuring the generic congressional ballot (which party voters support).  There's been a trend towards voters identifying as Republican and away from the Democrat Party.  

The trend from Democrat to Republican is pretty obvious when one looks at independent voters in the Fox News Poll.  Biden's approval is 36-62% among independents in the Fox News Poll.  Biden does not really have strong support among Independents (9%), and only 45% among Democrats.   This tells me the numbers could get worse.  

It's a brutal poll.  

Lol, you are really looking at polls a yr before Election day, where we're all these R pollsters when Pollster and Sir Muhommed put in 61 percent approvals

RS only come on here when Biden is supbar we are 400 days out from Midterms and 1500 days out,RS haven't  lead in a single swing state Sen poll except NH

Lost Cali by a Landslide and is tied in VA, if there was a Red wave we would have isn't Cali recall which we didnt

It's the same pollsters all the time rehashing same pols a yr before an election


We certainly don't want Trump back he had Bush W Approvals when he left office

It's pretty silly for you to attack me or anyone for posting in a +100 page thread about Joe Biden's approval ratings. 

If you're tired of a thread where the same pollsters and polls are repeatedly posted, then don't post in the thread.  Some people like to examine the numbers and look for trends.  You don't have to start a political dogfight every time a poll is posted. 

So you're saying there would have been a California recall if there was a red wave?  No.  What you're describing is Reagan. 

I have no idea why you started gobbling about Trump and Bush.  I feel like you contorted yourself into a pretzel just so you could make some point about Trump.  We get it.  You don't like Trump.  A lot of posters feel the same way.  We can always swing back to him when someone makes a relevant point or comparison about his approvals ratings.  Can we move on?

[Hollywood]

(B+)-rated Gallup.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/356504/biden-job-approval-steady-lower-level.aspx
OCT 1-19, 2021
823   All Adults
   
42 (-1)
52 (-1)

Looks like the copium-addicted dems are wrong about Biden’s low approvals being mostly because of disapproval from dems. Biden approval among dems has barely dropped while his independent approval is in the 30’s.

I mean... most of these polls have shown that it's mostly been because of Indie support. I don't think anyone has disputed that.

Should be noted however that there has been fluctuations though - some polls have shown Dem support slipping to 80-85% versus 90-95% that this shows.

I mentioned some time ago that Biden's rating among Democrats has shifted from strong to weak, and  the same thing happened with Independents a few months ago.  Even Morning Consult has caught up to the trend.  Today, 60-65% of independent voters disapprove of Biden.  While I don't think we'll see any significant number of Democrats expressing disapproval, I think an appreciable amount of Democrats will sit-out on election day. 

Also, a startling number of educated voters now disapprove of Biden.  That new Morning Consult poll should be setting off alarm bells at Democrat HQ. 

Why?  Cause it's very clear from tracking the VA and NJ gubernatorial polls that Biden's approval rating has a significant effect on the Democrat candidate's support.  Polls that have Biden's approval around 47-51 in Virginia show McCaullife (D) with a 3-4 point lead while the others show a tie when Biden's approval falls lower than 45%. 

[Hollywood]

Most interesting part of that poll:

WI/MI vote clearly to the right of AZ/PA, which vote well to the right of GA.

GA is safe D imo.

I wish they polled NV/ME-statewide/NH/NC too.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/KvyeZ

That’s a map.

Idaho goes to the Democrats? lol

[Hollywood]

I feel like some of you are just learning about Biden's economic numbers and slipping Covid-19 support.  It's been five months since the trends emerged.  You need to stop consuming CNN, and find some alternative site that curates news stories that the right and left wing media outlets aren't reporting to their audience.  There's a site called ground.news, and they call this the blindspot (AKA stepping out of the bubble).  I pay $10 a month for it.  There are free sites that collect news stories like the one I mentioned, but there's always a bias.  https://ground.news/

And before ya'll pat yourselves on the back for lowest jobless claims, feel free to look at unemployment by state to see how unemployment in red states are drastically better than blue states.   
https://www.bls.gov/web/laus/laumstrk.htm

And please take the time to read the articles about jobless claims, because it's a pretty well-known fact that they're unreliable. Yahoo says "Take it with a grain of salt".  I didn't even have to read the article to know that little tidbit, because that particular caveat has been repeated in most articles with headlines proclaiming some sort of big accomplishment for Biden (Shameless).  https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wrapup-1-u-weekly-jobless-133802976.html

The only way to turn these approval numbers around is to go after political enemy number 1, Donald Trump.  If you put him prison, Democrats win.  That's a fact.  You know cause 2+2=Racism.  lol. Source: CNN.   

[Hollywood]

Dems have been calling on that but NY Prosecuted went after Whistleberg and the FBI cleared Trump before the Commission assembled that's why we have the Commission to go after the mistakes of FBI

No question if Maxine Waters mounted an Insurrectionists if Trump won she would be in jail

Your problem is that no one believes anything you, the Democrats or CNN argues.  If you fix the economy, the reward is Trump.  Not vice versa.  Nobody wants you guys to investigate Trump, and everyone can see right through the process. 

We are on the verge of a major war with Russia and China, and all you MFers can think about is how can we use the most exaggerated and effective claims about Trump inciting an insurrection so people forget the fact that they can't afford necessities with the higher paying jobs right now, and crises after crises after crises.  Russia and China could shut the energy tap, and freeze Europe and the US into submission.  That is why they are on the Ukraine Border.  It's obvious to anyone watching the situation that Democrats have completely lost control due to ineffective leadership and poor policy choices. 

Right now, the only way Democrats get back on track is if they push Biden and Harris out of a moving plane and put Sinema in office, because at least she's a pretty smart political operatives that has shown incredible balls.  Although she's probably a corporate stooge, she would have wide support over a vast majority of voters that mostly blame the far-left (65%) for many of the current problems. 

[Hollywood]

It's not even time to vote and the Rs are comparing Trump Approvals he didn't get a Rally Around the Flag like Biden is getting now because he got impeached during 2018/ over Ukraine and he had the Russia fiasco that Don Jr didn't get charged for having met with Russia oligarchy at Trump Towers to get Dirt on Hillary

It was in the Mueller report 2018/2019, Trump couldn't he indicted but got impeached as a sitting Prez

Mueller report had all of the wrongdoing bye Trump and he wants to be Prez again, plse

WTF are you talking about?  What rally around the flag?  These polling numbers by the left are utterly fanciful fantasies of left-wing pollsters who have increased their mean-reverted biases outside the margin of error in their own polls. The only people  rallying around a cause right now are the many Democrat weirdos who have finally realized that CNN's pedophilia ring is probably a bit too extreme for them.  Just a little bit.  When we actually start getting closer to the election, Newsmax might even catch up to CNN.   There on channel 1,200,743 and still pull some decent ratings.  MSNBC is doing okay, but the authorities might hit them next. 

Oh Man.  Trumps gonna be President again.  You guys are suck F ups with progressively worse ideas as you get more desperate.  Hey... maybe a Hilldog 2.0 campaign, huh?  Then she can read her 2024 victory speech on Masterclass when she loses again.  And you're still talking about Biden.  70% of your party has come to the conclusion that Biden and Harris are so bad at their jobs, it necessitates the party to reshuffle the deck.  Like 48% of voters would vote for Trump over Biden cause he can handle a job.  People hate him, and still said "Yep... That's my guy."  Wow have you misread the situation. 

[Hollywood]

It's laughable that Democrats bragged about Biden's polling numbers based on a 4-day trend where his Approval rises by 1-2 points.  I saw dozens of articles making celebrating an imaginary "Bounce Back" in support for Biden and Democrats, which Mandela Barnes, and other brainwashed Democrat lemmings, repeated throughout social media.  It was obvious from the data last week that the notorious Democrat pollsters were cooking the numbers in favor of the Democrats, which is why 538 gave them a D+2 to 4% Mean Reverted Bias.  The Democrat bias is much worse than Nate Silver, and it's likely that Biden has a Disapproval in the range of 54-58% at a time when the country is heading towards a disastrous Covid-19 Economic restriction/shutdown that will devastate Americans. 

InsiderAdvantage, Rasmussen and Marist are all illustrating a growing hatred for Biden and the Democrats among Independents and Hispanics.  The Democrats are becoming more fractured as the Republicans become a bigger, more united part of the electorate. 

In less than one year, we've come to the point where Democrats have convinced most Americans that Trump is a far superior Executive Branch Branch Leader than both Biden and Harris. 

Democrats can scream all they want about insurrection conspiracies.  I've said that from the beginning.  It's a crutch I knew would hurt them, but I didn't predict that it would catapult Trump. 

You have NY Democrats voting on internment camps for the unvaccinated Americans, in addition to drastic reductions in due process rights, this Wednesday. God help them if they pass it.  I can think of better way to turn 2/3rds of Americans into insurrectionists than creating a law that will result in the illegal detention of unvaccinated family members.       

[Hollywood]

Lol the Election is 10 mnths away and it's a VBM not same day voting and Covid goes away in April after Winter Flu season only lasts thru the Winter

Biden only needs to be at 50/45 which O expect him to be in Nov 22 to get a 304 map it's not over yet til the fat last sings we won 80 M/74 votes last term the Rs didn't

Yeah but pretty much all your predictions have been total BS, and plagiarized propaganda talking points. lol.  You obviously don't have a good handle on the situation.  The other day Biden was on the rise, and within a couple days you're just falling back to your whiney stance of "None of this matters cause were a long ways from election day" and "Remember2020".      

Furthermore, Biden has already lost at least 12 million (15%) of that 80 million from 2020, and the Republicans have gained at least half of those voters. lol.   Then there's the 10-20% of left-leaners and Ds that aren't motivated or enthusiastic to vote.  About 44-49% of Voters have already decided to vote for the Republican candidate, and they are absolutely going to vote that way in 2022.  These numbers are getting worse by the month.  Marist even gave you more Democrats, and it got worse.  

And you're plan is 'We will wait out Covid-19' and 'VBM will save us'?   The damage will already be done, and the combination of supply disruption and the economy picking up in the summer will cause major rolling inflationary issues.  It just happened. lol.  I know Democrats are going to lose, because their plan is basically "Let's make the same mistakes we made last year".  

[Hollywood]

Axios-Ipsos Poll of Hispanic Adults

"Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?"

Favorable - 53%
Unfavorable - 35%
Don't Know / Skipped - 12%
Favorable + 18%

1,064 Hispanic Adults living throughout the nation were surveyed between December 02 and December 14, 2021.
The margin of error is ±3.8 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.


This pollster has a B- Rating from FiveThirtyEight:

In the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election, it underestimated the Republican margin by 2.5%
In the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election in AZ, it underestimated the Republican margin by 1.7%
In the 2020 U.S. Senate Election in AZ, it underestimated the Republican margin by 6.7%
In the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election in FL, it underestimated the Republican margin by 7.4%

So much for the allegedly-strong and swift (Atlas) Red shift of Hispanic voters nationwide. The Trump campaign and the GOP front groups were pushing a Red (as in Marxist-Leninist) scare on Spanish-language media especially in Florida, and that ha gone quiet. I would expect Hispanic voters of all kinds to drift R as their economic conditions improve. Note also the heavy intermarriage by Hispanics with non-Hispanic white people, which has already changed the "ethnic" meaning of "Hispanic". With persons born to such mixed marriages, the issue is not so much appearance as culture.

I call BS.  If you dig through the numbers, you'll find that almost half of the respondents did not vote in 2020.  Only 66% said they could vote, and the other 'did not know' or were 'inapplicable/unregistered'.  Over 50% received news from the internet or Spanish Television stations, and they never indicate the percentage of voters in each generation. 

[Hollywood]

Hollywood and many Rs don't believe that Hillary won 65M/62 and Biden won 80M/74 and Blks, Latinos make up 30 percent of the D vote and 20 percent of non Evangelical White men and Females make up the remainder of the 50 of the vote of course outside of TX and FL all Minorities including females are Liberal and in TX and FL and OH blacks store still 90/9  devoted to Ds including Asians and Muslims and mixed races

We don't have to get 80 M this Midterm but Biden has an easy path to get 50 percent to Rs 45 percent the only PVI the Rs have won is the House 16/20 abd that was due to Lewinsky from 1995/2007 the Senate has been evenly split between the parties that's why Ds have a g9od chance of having a 52/48 S bye netting WI and PA

Except McAuliffe only got 55% of Biden's vote while Youngkin received 85% of Trump's vote in an election where Biden's approvals were 46-53%.  The biggest factor in the race in terms of turnout and core enthusiasm was the fact that 45% of the electorate strongly disapproved of Biden.  Civiqs, Rasmussen and Trafalgar are right on the money with state and national numbers.  

Avg with Civiqs:
GA = 32-55
OH = 31-61
PA = 39-54
WI = 38-54
NV = 37-56
MI = 38-54
NC = 36-57

National Avg Civq/Trafalgar/Rasmussen = 39-55% with 46% strongly disapproving nationally.  

We don't even have nominees yet and I still think Democrats would be lucky to hang on to 48 Senate Seats.  

[Hollywood]

Racial Breakdown 15/15/20 Blks/Latinos and Mixed and Asian and Muslims and Non Evangelical whites make up 50% of D and Evangelical whites makeup 45% of the R vote especially White men so Latinos breaking with D's is hogwash

The same 304/234 map the Biden won which will be replicated as of now but there can be a blue or red wave come October

LOL You're F-ing hysterical.  If whites make up 45% of Rs Nationally, as they did in VA, then Democrats will be crying on election night. All they would need is  25% Hispanic, 25% Asian, 10% AA, 40% Mixed to cross 52%, and that would be underperforming Trump. 

Get it through your think F-ing skull... The Democrat path of victory in 2020 was based on pulling enough Independent conservative white (to a lesser extent hispanic) voters from the suburbs in PA, GA, WI, NC, AZ, and MI.  You might have had us in FL if the Jews, Cubans, Asians, and Suburban Whites in Broward hadn't shaved off the margin.  The reason Biden was the nominee is white people,  and the reason Democrats will lose in 2022 is white people. 

[Hollywood]

Hollywood and many Rs don't believe that Hillary won 65M/62 and Biden won 80M/74 and Blks, Latinos make up 30 percent of the D vote and 20 percent of non Evangelical White men and Females make up the remainder of the 50 of the vote of course outside of TX and FL all Minorities including females are Liberal and in TX and FL and OH blacks store still 90/9  devoted to Ds including Asians and Muslims and mixed races

We don't have to get 80 M this Midterm but Biden has an easy path to get 50 percent to Rs 45 percent the only PVI the Rs have won is the House 16/20 abd that was due to Lewinsky from 1995/2007 the Senate has been evenly split between the parties that's why Ds have a g9od chance of having a 52/48 S bye netting WI and PA

Except McAuliffe only got 55% of Biden's vote while Youngkin received 85% of Trump's vote in an election where Biden's approvals were 46-53%.  The biggest factor in the race in terms of turnout and core enthusiasm was the fact that 45% of the electorate strongly disapproved of Biden.  Civiqs, Rasmussen and Trafalgar are right on the money with state and national numbers.  

Avg with Civiqs:
GA = 32-55
OH = 31-61
PA = 39-54
WI = 38-54
NV = 37-56
MI = 38-54
NC = 36-57

National Avg Civq/Trafalgar/Rasmussen = 39-55% with 46% strongly disapproving nationally.  

We don't even have nominees yet and I still think Democrats would be lucky to hang on to 48 Senate Seats.  

Fetterman is ahead in PA 44/42 and Warnock is behind 49/48 so just because Biden Approvals are low don't mean they match exactly with Ds


The reason why we won 2020 TRUMP screwed up Covid

I never said it would be exact.  Also, we won't have good state poll numbers until the nominees are settled, voters get a chance to meet the candidates, and issues are defined. 

Trump never screwed up Covid.  In fact, he actually did very well in comparison to Cuomo, who killed his own people and tried hiding the evidence. If the vaccines come out a two weeks earlier, Trump is likely still the President.  Biden really has no excuses after Trump gifted him the vaccines and a recovering economy. 

If Biden had succeeded on one major issue (just one), he'd be ahead in the polls.  But he's F-ed Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia (gas), Border Crises, supply chains, inflation, the Russian-Eureopean pipeline, Russian Aggression, Texas Energy Crises, Crime, student loan extensions, the BBB, etc., etc., etc.  Everyday, I hear another hardcore Democrat ask the question, "Who's really President?"  I think 70% of Democrats want to switch him out, because they know he's not up for the job. 

I mean just two weeks ago you morons were celebrating lower gas prices as if he had some control over the Omicron variant cause global shutdowns, restrictions, and restrictions (consequently lowering gas prices).  This week the Adminsitration claimed that they saved Christmas cause people were getting their Presents on time, and also claimed that the supply chain crisis was a figment of everyone's imagination. 

[Hollywood]

Hollywood and many Rs don't believe that Hillary won 65M/62 and Biden won 80M/74 and Blks, Latinos make up 30 percent of the D vote and 20 percent of non Evangelical White men and Females make up the remainder of the 50 of the vote of course outside of TX and FL all Minorities including females are Liberal and in TX and FL and OH blacks store still 90/9  devoted to Ds including Asians and Muslims and mixed races

We don't have to get 80 M this Midterm but Biden has an easy path to get 50 percent to Rs 45 percent the only PVI the Rs have won is the House 16/20 abd that was due to Lewinsky from 1995/2007 the Senate has been evenly split between the parties that's why Ds have a g9od chance of having a 52/48 S bye netting WI and PA

Except McAuliffe only got 55% of Biden's vote while Youngkin received 85% of Trump's vote in an election where Biden's approvals were 46-53%.  The biggest factor in the race in terms of turnout and core enthusiasm was the fact that 45% of the electorate strongly disapproved of Biden.  Civiqs, Rasmussen and Trafalgar are right on the money with state and national numbers.  

Avg with Civiqs:
GA = 32-55
OH = 31-61
PA = 39-54
WI = 38-54
NV = 37-56
MI = 38-54
NC = 36-57

National Avg Civq/Trafalgar/Rasmussen = 39-55% with 46% strongly disapproving nationally.  

We don't even have nominees yet and I still think Democrats would be lucky to hang on to 48 Senate Seats.  

Fetterman is ahead in PA 44/42 and Warnock is behind 49/48 so just because Biden Approvals are low don't mean they match exactly with Ds


The reason why we won 2020 TRUMP screwed up Covid

I never said it would be exact.  Also, we won't have good state poll numbers until the nominees are settled, voters get a chance to meet the candidates, and issues are defined.  

Trump never screwed up Covid.  In fact, he actually did very well in comparison to Cuomo, who killed his own people and tried hiding the evidence. If the vaccines come out a two weeks earlier, Trump is likely still the President.  Biden really has no excuses after Trump gifted him the vaccines and a recovering economy.  

If Biden had succeeded on one major issue (just one), he'd be ahead in the polls.  But he's F-ed Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia (gas), Border Crises, supply chains, inflation, the Russian-Eureopean pipeline, Russian Aggression, Texas Energy Crises, Crime, student loan extensions, the BBB, etc., etc., etc.  Everyday, I hear another hardcore Democrat ask the question, "Who's really President?"  I think 70% of Democrats want to switch him out, because they know he's not up for the job.  

I mean just two weeks ago you morons were celebrating lower gas prices as if he had some control over the Omicron variant cause global shutdowns, restrictions, and restrictions (consequently lowering gas prices).  This week the Adminsitration claimed that they saved Christmas cause people were getting their Presents on time, and also claimed that the supply chain crisis was a figment of everyone's imagination.  

Lol the Rs are Filibustering everything and Manchin and Sinema have been going along with it on Jan 17th it's D Day for Voting Rights and we will see if D's get it done but if the don't they can still solidify the Senate but the House needs Voting Rights to pass

After Voting Rights is passed Biden will negotiate with Manchin with BBB


Omnicrom will be over in April after flu season but we still are gonna be wearing masks COVID won't disappear

LOL OH Yeah?  I'm just gonna put that that down on my long list of Mandella's absurdly wrong predictions and broken dreams.

[Hollywood]

I never thought of President Biden as the sort to slam the hammer, but he did so on Thursday. He kept the skewering of the Putsch as non-partisan as possible... but it is obvious that Democrats have no cause for fear of consequences.

Polling this weekend might be interesting. 

ZOGBY and IPSOS HAVE BIDEN AT 50/48 AS I have always said it's about turnout in 2018 it was 46/43 M vote turnout and it was same day voting and in 2020 it was VBM 80/75 M turnout the polls underestimate  Minority turnout

It's freaking 10 mnths before the election and to secure WI/PA and MI it won't take much so I don't know why Vaccinated Bear keep polling these 40 percent Approvals it's freaking 10 mnths before the Election and 10 pts to 50 can be increased by Minority turnout to solidify the blue Wall which Trump didn't have he was a criminal

Biden's Approval Rating is more like 40-56%, and it's like 33-60% in swing states according to Civiqs.  His approval has been ticking down since the VA/NJ races, while disapproval has continued to elevate towards a Rasmussen like result.  46-49% of voters strongly disapprove of Biden.  The crazy swing that's been popping up in all the polls is among young voters (27-57%), as well as the 25% of Democrats the either Disapprove or Don't have an Opinion.  Georgia is most likely going to the Republicans, and I'm struggling with whether to lock-in my call right now.  42-46% among 18,000 Hispanics in the Civiq Poll continues the trend of lowering support for Biden (Biden has lost 6% of his Hispanic support since November).  It's the younger Hispanics that really hate Biden across the sunbelt.   https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_biden?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true&map=true   

Zogby is at 45-51 at the time of your post, and both that pollster and Zogby are extreme outliers.  The pollsters you usually mention are plugging in some crazy numbers that would suggest a Democrat tsunami in 2022, and Biden's approval is still ticking down among even the most biased data samples (i.e. D+5-13).  Yet Morning Consult and Change Research still have Biden under-water 40-52%, and it's really 55/56% Disapprove when you apply their bias.  That makes Rasmussen, Suffolk and Trafalgar look like real solid performers going into the 2022 election season.       

Hysterical Note: The Zogby Poll indicates that a majority of voters think Biden and the Democrats are taking credit for Trump's accomplishments. lol. 
 
Moreover, the polls didn't underestimate minority turnout in 2020.  The difference between data in the Zogby/Ipsos polls as opposed to other pollsters has nothing to do with minorities.  2020 had nothing to do with strong minority turnout.  Joe Biden is President because he won a real good portion of suburban, small town and rural white vote in swing districts.  This obsession you and other Democrats have with race has totally blinded you from the obvious.  If Republicans get 59-62% of white voters as some polls are indicating, the game is over for Democrats. 

BTW... You know the pollsters have done a better job inputting turnout numbers into their data sets (motivation/enthusiasm of voters).   The Strongly Disapprove data is also pretty good for turnout predictions, because hating someone is great motivation for showing up to the polls, and those numbers will last for the next 10 months.       

Everything I've seen indicates that Democrats are going to be pretty well-F'ed by the time the 2022 elections role around.   

[Hollywood]

ZOGBY Poll have Biden at 49 Job Approval percent for your info, but 43/50 Job Performance


https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/1081-the-zogby-poll-president-biden-s-job-approval-and-performance-biden-s-job-approval-improves-job-performance-remains-underwater-biden-losing-ground-with-swing-voters



I never said D's were ahead theyre destined to lose 10 seats in the H but it's preposterous to think think that Biden is gonna be in all polling including ZOGBY and IPSOS THAT HE ON ELECTION NIGHT IS GONNA BE AT 40 PERCENT And BBB and Voting Rights still might pass and it's 3.9 percent Unemployment

.lol Trump in IPSOS AND YOU GOV ARE AT WORSE APPROVAL THAN BIDEN 39 in You Gov and IPSOS 44 because Trump is an Insurrectionists

Sorry.  I mixed up Zogby with Ipso's latest poll.  My bad. I get the distinction that you've explained from the Zogby Poll between approval and job performance.  The data just doesn't make any sense to me.  How is it that 25% of Conservatives and 20% of Republicans approve of Biden when that is an embarrassingly incorrect data point that is 250-500% outside of the average, as well as the results in Virginia and New Jersey.  You know 93% of Conservatives voted for Youngkin?  Come on. 
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

Also, Zogby has it 30-65% among Independents, but Biden is getting 5 times as many Republicans?  No way.  Look at the 2017 VA exit poll political identification data.  There's a 50-50 split among independents, and Democrats had a 41% while the GOP had low turnout.  In 2021, Rs had a 10 point advantage and had pretty even turnout with the Ds.  So... If a poll is showing approval from a bunch of people in the opposition party, it means they aren't showing up.  That's what happened to the Rs in 2017 and the Ds in 2021.  If 65% of Independents disapprove and 5% don't know/won't answer, then how is it that Biden has approval from the our base?  Go to CNN to find the approvals for Biden during the 2021 race, and it's in line with the Civiqs statewide poll that came out 1/6. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2017-election/va/     

Why Civiqs?  Civiqs has better data with 144,000 respondents across the 50 states, and opinions are routinely updated to mark the trends of the whole groups.  They are a Democrat pollster indicating similar results to Trafalgar, Rasmussen, Suffolk, Change, RMG, Gallup, Marist, InsiderAdvantage, Monmouth, Q, and the Wall Street Journal.   https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_biden?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true&map=true
 
I'm going to LMAO when GA, NC, AZ, NV, WI, and PA all flip to the GOP.  If I'm looking at the WV and AZ data as Manchen and Sinama, I'd sooner join the Republican Party before I voted for BBB and Make Voter Fraud Great Again Legislation.  The biggest downfall for the Democrats and establishment Republicans will be the "Trump is an insurrectionist" card and the Twitter bans.   

[Hollywood]

WI, ME and NV are very similar to AZ, KS and GA and MI and PA Govs and PA Sen is likely D D's aren't gonna sweep AZ, KS and GA likewise Rs aren't gonna sweep WI, ME and NV

But Katie Hobbs, Laura Kelly and Abrams are the Underdogs while Whitmer and Shapiro are the Favs and Mark Kelly and Raphael Warnock and Mandella Barnes are the Favs

Naturally female candidates are the underdog were gonna have SPL voting in AZ and GA, GA Rs have reelected their R Govs since 2002/ and AZ have have an unbroken chain of R Govs too, when was the last D Gov of AZ Janet Napolitano and she was LATINA

We're gonna have an R net 10 seats 223R/215House and 51/49 D Senate depends on GA Runoffs and 26/24R Govs and Rs are gonna sweep 2023 and net KY, LA and NC which will bring their total to 29R/21 GOVS THEY WONT HAVE 35 govs

I spoke to a friend of Nikki Fried cause she's running for Governor, and were all within the same Jewish circle down in Hebrew Hills.  People close to her think she should bow out of the race cause DeSantis has a Huge War Chest, and nobody is showing up to her political events except reporters.  Her family is worried about her campaign, because that's how it is for Ds in areas where people actually practice Judaism.  The People in her circle do no think she is ready at the moment, and her left-wing extremism and poop-throwing is turning her into a laughing stock.  There's no backing from any direction.  What's the point?  You can't be praising a guy for targeting the Hassidic Jews in NY and asking for people in the community to help you. 

She has no funds, so she's decided to accept cryptocurrency as a means to bring in donations (and probably launder money from Mary-Jane Companies).  She's announced it to the public like a novice, and completely forgot that she had tweeted her concern about cryptocurrency being used to launder money.  In 2018, she had a Well Fargo Account shutdown which was receiving electronic payments from a medical marijuana lobbyists that's directly transferring money from the business.  Every lawyers knows this rule. 

She worked in the cannabis industry?  I wouldn't rust her to handle any corporate or financial legal matters if she doesn't even the first rule.  Charlie Christ is going to kick her in her girl nutsack. lol.

[Hollywood]

When Polls are adjusted based on historical data and trends, as well as polling trends of demographics, Biden’s real approval rating is around 41-55% (-14%).  Remarkably, this is pretty close to the Real Clear Avg. of 42.1 to 54.8, but a bit higher than the 538 Adjusted Avg. of 43.1-51.5.  The biggest concern for Democrats seems two-fold: 1) Independents disapprove of their policies and administrative handling of situations; 2) They have lost the confidence and enthusiasm of Democrats, and this has been shaving away at their base. 

From an intuitive political strategy perspective, the January 6th coverage should have brought more Democrats back into the fold.  However, Joe Biden’s Approval has only seen a negligent bump over the weekend after the media shifted to January 6th coverage early last week.  Per Civiqs and others, the only effect it seems to have had is to push Undecided Democrats back into Biden’s camp, and shift a tiny amount of Independents towards the undecided group.       https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_biden?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true&net=true&party=Democrat

The J6 content seems to have only really had a divisive effect on voters.  According to Rasmussen, many people that slightly approved or disapproved joined those people who strongly approved or disapproved.  However, the impact was negligible. https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/biden_approval_index_history

Democrat Pollster, Morning Consult, has finally joined the consensus of polls tracking trends in approval when they released a poll of registered voters showing Biden 11-points underwater on December 28-29.   Why they didn’t publicly release it with the other data released on December 28-29 is very strange?   It’s interesting to note that Democrats did not support withdrawal when Trump was in Office, but flip-flopped when Biden pulled them out.  https://morningconsult.com/2022/01/10/iran-nuclear-deal-poll/

While it may be bit early to conclude the results of the J6 coverage, it should worry Democrats that it did not have any compelling influence on voters other than the ones who were already likely to vote for them in elections.   Also, the Biden and Democrats are losing approval for their handling of the Covid-19 situation, and he is likely underwater when you calculate the average of polls.  The message from Democrat posters about waiting until spring for good news is simply a propaganda tool that is present in the analysis of Democrat and Establishment Neo-Con Pollsters.   It’s time for Democrats to hit the panic button. 

Note: The IBD poll has 29-55% Disapproval among Independents, but by some sort of wizardry, Biden is only down by 1 point.  How?

[Hollywood]

Joe Biden has been thoroughly defeated in less than a year.  Can't even given Republicans the credit.  Biden and Progressive Democrats beat themselves up badly enough to never fully recover without some miraculous event outside their control.  

Going forward, the strategy for Republicans as explained to me will focus on the widespread nursing home deaths due to policies that New York spread to other states, and Republicans are 100% certain that multiple Governors released fraudulent Covid-19 death statistics just like Cuomo.  For example, it was just revealed that Whitmer undercounted by 30-40% after a Senate Republican investigation look into it.  Two other states with potentially fraudulent Covid-19 statistics include NJ and PA.  Democrat-controlled states like CT will not investigate due to the implications of a systemic Democrat Covid-19 scandal.  This is the motivation behind the investigation against Cuomo being dropped quietly, and the constant false accusations that DeSantis is fabricating numbers over insane allegations that he is killing people.  

From my conversations with Republicans, the demise of Biden has been effective in creating a vulnerability for Democrats in safe D districts.  The goal of the investigating nursing home deaths is to bring down all the state Democrat candidates that may have better favorables or approvals than Biden, and they are 100% confident that the D Governors hid nursing home deaths.  They know the evidence exists, and only have to pursue it.  The importance of the D stonewalling investigations at the Federal and State level is critical.  

[Hollywood]

CBS Poll: 44% Approval.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-inflation-first-year-opinion-poll/

Based on that CBS Poll, I have a great amount of confidence that the real approval number may be somewhere between 44% and upper 30s that Civiqs, Rasmussen and Q are indicating.  Look at the economy number for Biden slipping to over 60% negative. His disapproval on inflation is 70%.  Every Republican has known that inflation was the biggest issues since Biden took office.  Some of us were drawing straight lines between Biden's action and inflation, but the Biden solution has bee denial, complacency, and then scapegoating.  It was very obvious to the veterans of the election forum that Democrats were focusing on the issues voters didn't care about, and kept doing it until voters became pissed that they were wasting time with 'Build Back Better' and Insurrection nonsense.  Outlets like CNN and MSNBC are truly rotting the minds of their viewers in a similar fashion to Fox with the War in Iraq.  

Additionally, 61% of people think Biden is doing a bad job handling Covid-19 cause of vaccine mandates and bad information, but 49% approve?  Doesn't make any sense to me.  How does 40% think Biden's policies are making the situation worse and 25% say no impact, but 49% approve?  Something is off with that number.  

At the end of the day, 44% approve and 56% disapprove.  That's close to the Rasmussen polls last month that had 42-56% approval.  The real disaster for Democrats is that a big majority of the people in that 44% that CBS has in the topline are more passive (25%).  Strongly disapproves outnumber the Strongly Approve by a margin of 2-1 margin.  Biden is down by about 60% on almost every major issue: Crime, inflation, immigration, foreign policy, race relations, etc., and this poll is also indicating that he is extremely vulnerable on Coronavirus.  57% think thinks are getting worse during his Administration.  

[Hollywood]

A 44 percent Approvals in a CBS poll isn't the death penalty in Jan 2022 he only needs to be at 50/48 which he is on track to be at on Election day it's 3.0 Unemployment and 3.0 GDP and Whitmer, Warnock and Kelly aren't at 34 percent as Civiq says Biden Approvals are at in MI, AZ and GA they're at neat or close to 50 we will keep our blue states and Rs will keep the Red states because entrenched incumbent in 3.0 unemployment and Biden is at 30/65 at Border wall states especially in FL/TX but the H can go either way

How is Biden at 35 at MI and GA and Whitmer is at 48 percent and so is Warnock but Biden is at 35 percent in NC and OH because Tim Ryan and Beasley are at 40 percent

The CBS Poll says voters don't care about anything you just said in regards to the economy.  Biden is not on track to be at 50-48%.  He is on track to be at 38-62% given that the is that deep underwater on practically every issue.  

Democrat Governor of Virginia had good numbers in comparison to Biden's much better approvals in November, and McAullife got smacked cause none of you understood the state and local issues.  Polls consistently show that solid Democrats haven't a clue which way the wind is blowing, or what issues are important to most people.  

In Michigan, it's been discovered that Whitmer hid Covid-19 nursing home deaths just like Cuomo, but came up with a better excuse for her deception.  The landscape in GA and AZ just keeps getting worse for Democrats.  Sinema might have saved AZ by opposing build back better.  

The fact that you think FL could flip just demonstrates my point about Democrats not having clue about the environment and issues in these states.  There are Democrats that don't even want DeSantis out of office, and many of them won't even donate cause it's so futile.  DeSantis is considered best Governor in the country by most Floridians.  Hundreds of thousands of refugees from blue states came to FL to get away from the Cuomos and the Whitmers.  Not only will Republicans be more enthusiastic in the next election, they will a voter registration advantage.  The Republicans had a 38-30% lead over the Democrats in turnout, because most of the independents are basically Republicans that didn't choose a party at the DMV.  

[Hollywood]

That's why hopefully, Sinema comes to her senses and pass Voting Rights, a 303/235 blue wall isn't guarenteed but it's not DOOMSDAY SCENRIO UNTIL ALL THE VOTES ARE COUNTED AND THATS ALL BIDEN NEEDS WITHOUT AZ, GA AND KS to get reelected

But, Rs blocking Biden on BBB and Voting Rights is hurting Rs with swing state voters top Collins which is a fake moderate is endangered her reelection prospects in 26

The number one issue in AZ is opposition to Biden and the progressive left Democrats.  Nobody even knows what's in the Voter Rights Bill or how it will effect them at the moment just like with the BBB Bill.  Even with the biased polls, only about 52-58% support the proposals they are asked about, but none of them are aware the the voting ID portion is not in the Bill despite it receiving 67-80-% approval from voters.  Just like the BBB did until it didn't pass cause people actually discussed, and now CBS says a vast majority don't think it helps.  Based on that CBS poll, 70% of voters just want Democrats to focus on the issues that are important to them.  

Real talk though... Sinema and Manchin aren't going to let Democrats enact a bill that will inevitably used to defraud them out of a Senate seat.  Same day voting and automatic absentee ballot, as well as 22 day residency requirement, are all means to commit voter fraud.  

In a Paterson, NJ election, 20% of ballots were rejected due to fraudulent activity by the Menendez Campaign where the margin of victory was 240 votes.  https://thenewamerican.com/what-dems-want-nationally-locality-s-mail-in-vote-fraud-so-bad-judge-orders-new-election/

In Philadelphia, PA, an election judge was convicted of taking bribes to add ballots tot he tally.
https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/former-philadelphia-judge-elections-convicted-conspiring-violate-civil-rights-and-bribery

Sinema and Manchin aren't going to put voting integrity in the hands of their own party when they know these issues are commonplace.  So the Federal Voting Control Act is not passing.  

[Hollywood]

A 44 percent Approvals in a CBS poll isn't the death penalty in Jan 2022 he only needs to be at 50/48 which he is on track to be at on Election day it's 3.0 Unemployment and 3.0 GDP and Whitmer, Warnock and Kelly aren't at 34 percent as Civiq says Biden Approvals are at in MI, AZ and GA they're at neat or close to 50 we will keep our blue states and Rs will keep the Red states because entrenched incumbent in 3.0 unemployment and Biden is at 30/65 at Border wall states especially in FL/TX but the H can go either way

How is Biden at 35 at MI and GA and Whitmer is at 48 percent and so is Warnock but Biden is at 35 percent in NC and OH because Tim Ryan and Beasley are at 40 percent

The CBS Poll says voters don't care about anything you just said in regards to the economy.  Biden is not on track to be at 50-48%.  He is on track to be at 38-62% given that the is that deep underwater on practically every issue.  

Democrat Governor of Virginia had good numbers in comparison to Biden's much better approvals in November, and McAullife got smacked cause none of you understood the state and local issues.  Polls consistently show that solid Democrats haven't a clue which way the wind is blowing, or what issues are important to most people.  

In Michigan, it's been discovered that Whitmer hid Covid-19 nursing home deaths just like Cuomo, but came up with a better excuse for her deception.  The landscape in GA and AZ just keeps getting worse for Democrats.  Sinema might have saved AZ by opposing build back better.  

The fact that you think FL could flip just demonstrates my point about Democrats not having clue about the environment and issues in these states.  There are Democrats that don't even want DeSantis out of office, and many of them won't even donate cause it's so futile.  DeSantis is considered best Governor in the country by most Floridians.  Hundreds of thousands of refugees from blue states came to FL to get away from the Cuomos and the Whitmers.  Not only will Republicans be more enthusiastic in the next election, they will a voter registration advantage.  The Republicans had a 38-30% lead over the Democrats in turnout, because most of the independents are basically Republicans that didn't choose a party at the DMV.  

If you go bye the IPOS NOT CHERRY PICKING POLLS IPSOS HAS HIM AT 47/51 AND 50/48 AND ZOGBY HAS HIM AT 50/48 Job Approval and 43/50 Job Performance

He isn't there now but can be by Nov

Rassy is a partisan pollster from Fox news it's just like looking at PPP polls and PPP hasn't come out with Amy polls since they had Ds ahead in OH Sen

I gave you three polls (2Ds and 1R).  You can add YouGov, Gallup and Trafalgar to the mix. InsiderAdvantage and NBC/Hart.  Change, Suffolk, Marist, Monmouth 

You're cherry picking two polls that aren't even normally used for Approval Ratings, and one of them is from a month ago.  They are not even in a reasonable margin of error.

The reason the ones I mention are so important is due to the many voters that don't have an opinion, which demonstrates a lack of enthusiasm by voters in the Democrat base.  And the reason for this is due to them disagreeing with almost every single one of Biden's policy, except maybe Covid-19. 

Civiqs is a poll of 150,000 people from all 50 states, and that map that's disturbing you shows a lack of support in even the blue states.  They've been sniffing the same trend as Rasmussen since the summer and fall.  If Ipso and Zogby were correct as D polls modeled, Youngkin would not be Governor. 

As you can see from the IPSO graph, they've been behind the trend of the dynamic approval polls, and haven't had any idea which way the wind was blowing since August.  As we saw from VA exit polls, they wrong, Rasmussen was correct, and they were backed by many A polls. 
https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-polls/ipsos-core-political-presidential-approval-tracker-01132022

Stop watching CNN and go talk to people.  Hicks, blacks, and Hispanics, as well as construction workers, white collar workers, and moms.  I went to the two college campuses near my house, and there was a huge Republican presence and Democrat absence. 

[Hollywood]

Whitmer is up 48/39 in MI or tied and Warnock is behind 49/38 and Mark Kelly is up 41/40 or 43/39; how does that equate to Coviq polls showing 35 percent Approvals in AZ, GA and MI it doesn't but Beasley is behind 42/40 in NC and Tim Ryan is down 44/40 which does coalace around 34 percent Approvals, in NC and OH, that's why I am cherry picking blue state v red state polls

Rassy has Biden at 38/60 Approvals overall trash can poll

So you are truly hack with the polls.  Glengariff and Detroit News?  They showed Peters with the same 10 point lead over James in October 2020, and it ended up as a 1 point lead for Peters on election day.   I love how the fake news calls Glengariff an Independent source when they are Democrats.  You always use Trafalgar over some other nonsense.  Always.  They got MI Senate Race wrong by 2 points, and they averaged within margin of error.  75% over the Cell Phone without demographics?  I'm trashing that poll and your entire post.    

So Trafalgar has Craig up by 6.  We use Trafalgar we there isn't anything better on 538.  The fact you didn't use Trafalgar after in a Republican year when it just nailed VA means I'm at least right about you having no clue.  Whitmer is currently getting hit by the Republicans for killing people in nursing homes and a manipulating the nursing home deaths by 30-40 percent.