GA-SEN 2020 Class II Megathread (Perdue inc.)

[OneJ]

I don’t know what’s worse: this garbage or Nancy had a little Lamb.

[OneJ]

Democrats are not going to win GA in 2020, and it will be bittersweet because obviously I want them to but like it’ll be funny to come back here and all these other threads to laugh just like last time.

It's fine to disagree with others on the Democrats' chances in this race or any other race particularly when there's literally no path for them to be successful. What isn't fine is to concern troll and act as if your opinion is right when there literally is a path for a Democrat to win Georgia if cards are played right.

The point is that it's still early and it's foolish to be calling a race that is likely a tossup off because it's apparently your favorite thing to do.

[OneJ]

Democrats are not going to win GA in 2020, and it will be bittersweet because obviously I want them to but like it’ll be funny to come back here and all these other threads to laugh just like last time.

It's fine to disagree with others on the Democrats' chances in this race or any other race particularly when there's literally no path for them to be successful. What isn't fine is to concern troll and act as if your opinion is right when there literally is a path for a Democrat to win Georgia if cards are played right.

The point is that it's still early and it's foolish to be calling a race that is likely a tossup off because it's apparently your favorite thing to do.

I wouldn't call Georgia a tossup.

Well maybe Lean R for other statewide races thanks to the runoff as RFK stated, but still at least quite competitive.

[OneJ]

Why has the recruiting for these two seats suck so much?

I think everyone wants to wait until 2022

That is a terrible strategy cause if a Dem is in the WH then it will be very unlikely the Dems win that seat. The chances of Dems winning a seat in GA are like this


2022 With Trump in the WH> 2020 Senate Special Election> 2020 General Election > 2022 with a Dem in the WH

All you have to do is look back at 2018 Senate results and see that this isn't a sure a bet by any means. 2018 was a D+8 year and yet it didn't stop McCaskill, Donnelly, and Heitkamp from getting the boot. All three of those states were trending away from the Democrats and Georgia is doing the opposite. If anything, 2022 is likely Democrats' best chance considering how polarized this current climate is and Dems just have more realistic pickup opportunities that year even with a Democratic president.

[OneJ]

https://twitter.com/mbaram/status/1240844546008920065

This thread has been quiet for a while now and I thought it was relevant although Loeffler's understandably been receiving more coverage on the entire situation.

[OneJ]

Fortunately for Ossoff, I think he's in good enough position to avoid a runoff assuming that Landmark poll is pretty much correct.

[OneJ]

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1281259887012577283

[OneJ]

Is it just me or anyone else thinking it's actually good for Democrats that these two senate races are coming up at the same time with both Ossoff and Warnock running? Both campaigns support each other, right?

It's clear that the path for a Democratic win Georgia is a combination of white suburban/college grads and strong turnout from the African American community. Both candidates have different strenghts, it seems: Warnock certainly helps driving up black turnout, while Ossoff is a good fir for whites with high education and moderate suburbanites. So by conclusion, I think both campaigns benefit from each other. And I don't see that many voters voting for just one of them, especially now that Lieberman's campaign has collapsed in recent polling. Would actually be great if both win this thing outright.

Is there a reason they haven't done like a joint campaign event or anything? I agree with everything you said and am surprised they don't seem to be coordinating *at all*

They have actually.

https://twitter.com/ossoff/status/1312528279463583745

[OneJ]

And here's video of the duo campaigning together:

https://twitter.com/ossoff/status/1318900730363842562

Honestly, I think it's the media's fault for not covering if a lot of election fans who follow the race aren't aware that Ossoff and Warnock have been cooperating with each other but it's good that the duo have done/are doing this.