GA-SEN 2020 Class II Megathread (Perdue inc.)

[Blair]

Was reading about this race earlier & had a question that I'm hoping GA posters (and people generally in the know will know)

Why is there such a lack of a strong/well known candidate? The field looks on paper like the type of field you see from democrats in places like South Dakota.

I mean the three leading candaites are a former congressional staffer, a pastor and a surname... I know I'm being flippant but I'm surprised there isn't a well know recruit (who could absord a load of fundraising & push this seat higher up) either someone who served in Congress, the State House or some relatively big name like Sally Yates

I also wonder if it's the reason why Georgia seems quite low on the list of targets.

[QAnonKelly]

Was reading about this race earlier & had a question that I'm hoping GA posters (and people generally in the know will know)

Why is there such a lack of a strong/well known candidate? The field looks on paper like the type of field you see from democrats in places like South Dakota.

I mean the three leading candaites are a former congressional staffer, a pastor and a surname... I know I'm being flippant but I'm surprised there isn't a well know recruit (who could absord a load of fundraising & push this seat higher up) either someone who served in Congress, the State House or some relatively big name like Sally Yates

I also wonder if it's the reason why Georgia seems quite low on the list of targets.

If I had to guess, everyone pretty much wants to run in two years for statewide office. Frankly, the senate sucks and it gives the state two more years of shifting. I’d much rather be an AG or SoS than a senator.

[QAnonKelly]

Lmao this is turning into a creeper race.

[wbrocks67]

This seems delusional. She's polling lower than Ossoff against Perdue, so how are Dems squandering it?

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1262877189139300353

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

This seems delusional. She's polling lower than Ossoff against Perdue, so how are Dems squandering it?

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1262877189139300353

Perdue is at 45% against Ossoff, Tomlinson and Amico. The differences in Perdue's margin comes down to variations only in their figures, which is mostly name recognition. Turnout will be the key differentiator between the candidates in Georgia.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Tomlinson should put up or shut up. The reason she is losing to Ossoff is because her campaign sucks, not because national Democrats are ignoring her.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

she's right, we could squander this chance against Purdue. We'd be doing it by nominating her.

[Rookie Yinzer]

If we go to a run off between her and Ossoff it's going to get nasty. Her high profile surrogates and staff have very colorful language about Ossoff's candidacy.

[Rookie Yinzer]

I finally did my absentee ballot yesterday and just went ahead and voted for Tomlinson. I think she’s going to get blown out after the latest round of polling so I might as well vote for who was closest to me on policy!

The final margin will be interesting but the past week has shown Tomlinson is desperate to pull him under 50 and he is already looking toward November and pumped an extra $450k of his own money into the campaign to shut this thing down Tuesday.

[wbrocks67]

I finally did my absentee ballot yesterday and just went ahead and voted for Tomlinson. I think she’s going to get blown out after the latest round of polling so I might as well vote for who was closest to me on policy!

The final margin will be interesting but the past week has shown Tomlinson is desperate to pull him under 50 and he is already looking toward November and pumped an extra $450k of his own money into the campaign to shut this thing down Tuesday.

..... so if you don't mind me asking, why wouldn't you rather help Ossoff blow past 50 so he doesn't have to deal with another primary? It would make it a hell of a lot easier for him to win in Nov if he didn't have to deal with another runoff.

[Rookie Yinzer]

I finally did my absentee ballot yesterday and just went ahead and voted for Tomlinson. I think she’s going to get blown out after the latest round of polling so I might as well vote for who was closest to me on policy!

The final margin will be interesting but the past week has shown Tomlinson is desperate to pull him under 50 and he is already looking toward November and pumped an extra $450k of his own money into the campaign to shut this thing down Tuesday.

..... so if you don't mind me asking, why wouldn't you rather help Ossoff blow past 50 so he doesn't have to deal with another primary? It would make it a hell of a lot easier for him to win in Nov if he didn't have to deal with another runoff.

I've told everyone who has asked me who to vote for to vote for Ossoff. If my one *quietly cast* vote for Tomlinson sends this thing to a run off, my bad y'all.

[OneJ]

Fortunately for Ossoff, I think he's in good enough position to avoid a runoff assuming that Landmark poll is pretty much correct.

[Heebie Jeebie]

Tomlinson should put up or shut up. The reason she is losing to Ossoff is because her campaign sucks, not because national Democrats are ignoring her.

Does her campaign suck, though?  I mean, just because she's losing doesn't necessarily mean she's run a bad campaign.  I haven't been following this race super closely for a few weeks, but my outside take is that her campaign has been fine.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Tomlinson should put up or shut up. The reason she is losing to Ossoff is because her campaign sucks, not because national Democrats are ignoring her.

Does her campaign suck, though?  I mean, just because she's losing doesn't necessarily mean she's run a bad campaign.  I haven't been following this race super closely for a few weeks, but my outside take is that her campaign has been fine.

Not it hasn't. Her fundraising would have been unimpressive even for a House candidate and she has already shaken up her campaign team once.

[Heebie Jeebie]

Tomlinson should put up or shut up. The reason she is losing to Ossoff is because her campaign sucks, not because national Democrats are ignoring her.

Does her campaign suck, though?  I mean, just because she's losing doesn't necessarily mean she's run a bad campaign.  I haven't been following this race super closely for a few weeks, but my outside take is that her campaign has been fine.

Not it hasn't. Her fundraising would have been unimpressive even for a House candidate and she has already shaken up her campaign team once.

Right, but lousy fundraising isn't necessarily a result of bad campaigning.  It seems like Ossoff started with a massive donor list and a clear fundraising advantage that just crowded Tomlinson out, despite her early start.  What's more, there were several potential high-profile candidates waiting in the wings for months (Abrams, McBath, Yates, etc.), and that uncertainty kept Tomlinson from being able to lock up support.  It's hard to see what her campaign could do about all that.  Lastly, shaking up an underperforming campaign team seems like good decision-making on Tomlinson's part, even if it was ultimately ineffective.  I guess my point is that politics is as much circumstance/luck as it is skill/talent.  It doesn't seem fair to castigate Tomlinson for factors beyond her control.

[Heebie Jeebie]

https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1270398316153458688

[Rookie Yinzer]

I'm livid. Dem leaders and party activists need to put the pressure on the local BOEs now in preparation for November. This is unconscionable.

[Heebie Jeebie]

I'm livid. Dem leaders and party activists need to put the pressure on the local BOEs now in preparation for November. This is unconscionable.

And yet completely expected.  The Republicans responsible for this attack on democracy need to be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law wherever possible.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fulton County polls will remain open until 9pm per order of the county Superior Court.

[QAnonKelly]

I'm livid. Dem leaders and party activists need to put the pressure on the local BOEs now in preparation for November. This is unconscionable.

Thanks John Roberts

[Mycool]

At this point, Democrats should probably be rooting for Ossoff to clear 50 to avoid a runoff. I like Tomlinson, but Ossoff is showing some strength in these early numbers and the Atlanta metro isn’t even in yet

[Sir Mohamed]

At this point, Democrats should probably be rooting for Ossoff to clear 50 to avoid a runoff. I like Tomlinson, but Ossoff is showing some strength in these early numbers and the Atlanta metro isn’t even in yet

Yup. Or Tomlinson drops out. Ossoff is leading 48-14% with 90% of the vote in. I don't know any example a candidate this far behind still pulled it off in a runoff.

[Rookie Yinzer]

At this point, Democrats should probably be rooting for Ossoff to clear 50 to avoid a runoff. I like Tomlinson, but Ossoff is showing some strength in these early numbers and the Atlanta metro isn’t even in yet

Yup. Or Tomlinson drops out. Ossoff is leading 48-14% with 90% of the vote in. I don't know any example a candidate this far behind still pulled it off in a runoff.

Re: Tomlinson dropping out- not happening:

https://twitter.com/ChristineOnTV/status/1270592593978671106?s=20

Voting for Ossoff in August. 😩😬

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Maya Dillard-Smith seems to have come out of nowhere to have kept up with Amico and Tomlinson. Is it a given that Tomlinson will be in second place?

[Landslide Lyndon]

At this point, Democrats should probably be rooting for Ossoff to clear 50 to avoid a runoff. I like Tomlinson, but Ossoff is showing some strength in these early numbers and the Atlanta metro isn’t even in yet

Yup. Or Tomlinson drops out. Ossoff is leading 48-14% with 90% of the vote in. I don't know any example a candidate this far behind still pulled it off in a runoff.

Re: Tomlinson dropping out- not happening:

https://twitter.com/ChristineOnTV/status/1270592593978671106?s=20

Voting for Ossoff in August. 😩😬

Give her a few days. If Georgia Democrats coalesce around Ossoff and her fundraising continues to be as pathetic as it is now then she will have no reason to continue a quixotic campaign.