2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Andy Hine]

You all need to relax. There are very good signs for Biden in Texas.

[Andy Hine]

Not good at all, and the fact Atlas STILL hasn’t learned to not be an echo chamber is shocking.
After last night, I would expect at least a bit more caution.

The fact that Michigan was called for Biden I would think you a little more humble and aelf-aware, but apparently not.

The fact that Elliot county went for Trump by a greater margin might teach you a bit, but apparently not.

Stop posting about Elliott County. Nobody besides weirdos on this forum care.

[Andy Hine]

The current margin in PA is 164,414.

Philly is now about 70% in. Trump + Biden current total = 571,552.

That implies that there are 244,000 mail in votes left in Philly.

Up until now, VBM in PA has been Biden +68%.

This means from Philly alone, Biden can expect to gain 166,000 votes.

That's just enough to erase the gap.

Philly has 120k left, can find remaining ballot counts here https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx (some are outdated, particularly York where they actually have close to 0 ballots left).

Philly has 70% reported on NYT. and has reported about 570,000. So they're are roughly 820,000 votes in total. So about 250,000.

[Andy Hine]

The current margin in PA is 164,414.

Philly is now about 70% in. Trump + Biden current total = 571,552.

That implies that there are 244,000 mail in votes left in Philly.

Up until now, VBM in PA has been Biden +68%.

This means from Philly alone, Biden can expect to gain 166,000 votes.

That's just enough to erase the gap.

Philly has 120k left, can find remaining ballot counts here https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx (some are outdated, particularly York where they actually have close to 0 ballots left).

Philyl has 70% reported on NYT. and has reported about 570,000. So they're are roughly 820,000 votes in total. So about 250,000.

Why are you relying on NYTimes when I literally provided a data source from the state?

[Andy Hine]

If GA flips, hopefully Trump wins AZ after all with the remaining 500k ballots there.

I want my 1000€ from the betting organization (Trump needs to end up with 240-268 votes).

Change your avatar.

[Andy Hine]

If GA flips, hopefully Trump wins AZ after all with the remaining 500k ballots there.

I want my 1000€ from the betting organization (Trump needs to end up with 240-268 votes).

Change your avatar.

You don't even have one.

I don't need one; the world is my avatar.

[Andy Hine]

Every foreign leader is cheering because they know the U.S. is now going to be a predictable push over again. Or at least one that can be pushed over with deals that favour very few americans.

Odds on the dems finding another foreign country to bomb?

I think within 6 months Iran will be an absolute shambles with the U.S. likely to find a reason they need to drop some bombs there.

Trump literally praises Kim Jong Un and Putin as great leaders and you're claiming Biden will be a pushover on Foreign policy? You also contradict yourself. If Dems are bombing other countries, how are they pushovers?

[Andy Hine]

A bit concerned about Arizona

Of course you are.

[Andy Hine]

A bit concerned about Arizona

Of course you are.

Rack off mate. I'm sitting in the mental ward of my hospital because I suffered a mental collapse yesterday.

I'm sorry to hear that. You shouldn't take elections that seriously. None of this matters in the grand scheme of things.

[Andy Hine]

Hmmm could be trouble in Arizona?

What is with Dem bedwetters on this site?

[Andy Hine]

Hmmm could be trouble in Arizona?

What is with Dem bedwetters on this site?

We were scarred by 2016.

It's time to get over it.

[Andy Hine]

Hmmm could be trouble in Arizona?

What is with Dem bedwetters on this site?

I think I've been highly optimistic basically everywhere since the polls closed but the figures in Arizona surely mean Biden taking the state is no certainty.

Biden will win Arizona.

[Andy Hine]

Hmmm could be trouble in Arizona?

What is with Dem bedwetters on this site?

I think I've been highly optimistic basically everywhere since the polls closed but the figures in Arizona surely mean Biden taking the state is no certainty.

Biden will win Arizona.

I'm yet to see a convincing argument for why the Maricopa ballots still out won't continue trending Trump. Do we know these are not later arriving ballots (Monday, Tuesday) which so far have Trump on track?

Later batch is more independent and will not favor Trump by nearly as much.

[Andy Hine]

Trump needs to prove it with real evidence or he needs to shut up. He doesn't have the right to attack our democracy and to divide this country. I'll say the same thing about the far left and their behavior this summer but Trump is ripping this country apart.

Prove it or I'll probably never vote for a Trump in the future. Idiots.

You won't vote for him in the future because Trump's career in politics is done after tomorrow.

[Andy Hine]

Trump most likely won when SCOTUS rules Trump won PA. I was right about election all along.

Trump lost; deal with it. Fascists like you think Trump is above the Constitution.

[Andy Hine]

LOL.  Biden will never pull ahead in PA.  

WTF are you talking about? Are you in 7th Grade? Basic math shows he will win easily.

[Andy Hine]

Kinda want Trump to chill out because this might hurt his 2024 prospects, on the other hand I feel there is plenty of things that can be exposed in our voting system.  Also Trump has already proved he can go full moronic idiot mode and it doesn't matter.

Do you mind me asking why you’d like to see him run again/support his run again?

He almost won in this terrible environment, he would win in 2024 easily.

That's why you think he'd win, why do you want him to run?

The first three years of his presidency were amazing. Without COVID he's running away with this thing and extremely popular. He's gonna improve with everyone except white men from 2016.

If you call what Trump did in his first three years amazing, then you probably think James Buchanan is a good president. Trump will go down as the worst president ever. Bank on it.

[Andy Hine]

Imagine being SN.

Imagine your heroes Donald Trump AND John James both lost your state despite you annoying the hell out of this forum for almost a f—king year insisting they would win.

Imagine now actively rooting for the end of democracy solely so the dumbest man on the planet (besides yourself, of course) could continue being president.

Imagine living in Kentucky.

[Andy Hine]

Why isn't Biden ahead in PA?

The writing is on the wall.

Trump will win.

Stop posting.

[Andy Hine]

Kinda want Trump to chill out because this might hurt his 2024 prospects, on the other hand I feel there is plenty of things that can be exposed in our voting system.  Also Trump has already proved he can go full moronic idiot mode and it doesn't matter.

Do you mind me asking why you’d like to see him run again/support his run again?

He almost won in this terrible environment, he would win in 2024 easily.

That's why you think he'd win, why do you want him to run?

The first three years of his presidency were amazing. Without COVID he's running away with this thing and extremely popular. He's gonna improve with everyone except white men from 2016.

You guys talk out of both sides of your mouth on this.

First you say COVID is what hurt Trump, and he would win with ease without it.

But you also say Trump had way more support than expected (and some of you blue avatars said he would win) because of the lockdowns.

Look, the guy and his racist nonsense about "looters" (we know exactly what that's code for), and dog-whistling to groups like Proud Boys and such just isn't popular with the majority of the country and you're seeing that now. Biden is on track to get 4 or 5 million more votes than him, and that's because despite a solid economy, low unemployment, and no foreign entanglements, it's himself and his mouth that's to blame here.

The silent majority isn't what it was in 1968 and you're gonna have to come to terms with that.

I can see his viewpoint.

Before COVID-19 came this year, Trump built up a good reputation with a fair percentage of the population, through the credit that was attributed to him in some areas, like the economy and foreign policy.

When COVID-19 came this year, the weakness of Trump were exposed, particularly in his inability to deal with the pandemic effectively, and worse, by running away from the situation during the last few months.

The truth is, a President needs to be the entire package, like FDR was, with his handling of both the economy and a crisis situation like World War II. Trump might have passed in the economy aspect, but he failed miserably in the crisis management category.

It does not matter that COVID-19 happened in just the last year of his first term. This year, 2020, can easily outweigh all of the good things that he accomplished in the first 3 years.

I am just repeating his viewpoint, but seeing it with a different lens.

Trump was never popular.