Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread (user search)
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  Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread  (Read 269803 times)
musicblind
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« on: January 05, 2021, 05:08:12 PM »

56%-41% think November was fair  - CNN Exit poll

95% of Dems thought it was fair
76% of Republicans think it wasn't.

Not to be a doomer, but those numbers aren't particularly GREAT for us (Dems).

That said, early exit polls leaned way right on election day before making a sharp correction.
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musicblind
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« Reply #1 on: January 05, 2021, 05:27:51 PM »

56%-41% think November was fair  - CNN Exit poll

95% of Dems thought it was fair
76% of Republicans think it wasn't.

Not to be a doomer, but those numbers aren't particularly GREAT for us (Dems).

That said, early exit polls leaned way right on election day before making a sharp correction.

I don’t see why this would be bad

Because while a majority think it was fair, that belief does not split evenly along party lines. I didn't see those results were a definite defeat for the Democratic Party tonight; I said they weren't great (in all caps) for the Democratic Party.

Great would have been something to indicate a solid, nearly guaranteed, win.

I also pointed out that early exit polls in November skewed way farther right than the actual results, and so these numbers should be taken with a grain of salt.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #2 on: January 05, 2021, 05:30:11 PM »

The anecdotal turnout reports (for whatever they're worth) are all pretty good for the Rs now. Earlier this morning they were pretty mixed.

Dekalb County?

the highest turnout is in the Republican corner (Dunwoody) which follows what's happening statewide

Dunwoody was like Biden +20 this year.

So by the standards of DeKalb, it's pretty Republican. Which is to say it's like the warmest part of Alaska.

Imma steal that idiom you just used.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #3 on: January 05, 2021, 05:33:56 PM »

Holy shìt. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the fûcking fùck is Perdue losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a fücking breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want Perdue to continue to be senator and fix this broken country. I cannot fúcking deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in Georgia?Huh This is so fûcked.

This meme is tired. Tongue
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #4 on: January 05, 2021, 05:47:04 PM »
« Edited: January 05, 2021, 05:56:24 PM by musicblind »

Ok at this point this thread is full of people either setting their expectations way too low or high based on nothing of substance. This will remain a tossup till polls close at 7:00, though I personally believe the GOP are slight favorites

I agree with this, and I'm guilty as charged, but I can't help it. I'm not doing it on purpose.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #5 on: January 05, 2021, 05:55:20 PM »

Is there another runoff six months later if the results are within a point of each other? I feel like I saw that somewhere or something like that?
You got pranked my dude.

And thank Gosh... I don't think I could take six more months of this crap.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #6 on: January 05, 2021, 05:57:00 PM »

Does anyone remember if the 1st exit polls in November also seemed very positive for Republicans?

Yes, they were. The FIRST exit polls were way out there.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #7 on: January 05, 2021, 06:01:17 PM »

Not sure why but betting markets have swung wildly in Perdue's favor (57-43)

Wow, they really have, but Warnock is leading in his? How can the markets think Perdue is so heavily favored (now at 61 percent), but Warnock wins his race?
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #8 on: January 05, 2021, 06:06:16 PM »

Not sure why but betting markets have swung wildly in Perdue's favor (57-43)

Wow, they really have, but Warnock is leading in his? How can the markets think Perdue is so heavily favored (now at 61 percent), but Warnock wins his race?
Because they don't know anything and are going purely off of emotion?

They need to check their emotions for multiple personality disorder.
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musicblind
Jr. Member
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Posts: 335
United States


« Reply #9 on: January 05, 2021, 06:35:55 PM »




God help us if these are true. My god.
Do these count mail in voters or no?

Someone earlier in the thread said CNN was counting mail-in and early voters. They put up a paragraph from CNN's website explaining their methodology.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #10 on: January 05, 2021, 06:44:33 PM »

CNN just said four Republican-leaning counties are having to extend voting hours due to long lines.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #11 on: January 05, 2021, 06:46:55 PM »

CNN just said four Republican-leaning counties are having to extend voting hours due to long lines.

It's because of technical issues, not long lines.

I believe you. If they did, I genuinely missed it. I walked back into the room just as John King was finishing up at the wall.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #12 on: January 05, 2021, 06:48:07 PM »

CNN just said four Republican-leaning counties are having to extend voting hours due to long lines.

You don't extend due to long lines.

I apologize. That is my mistake and misunderstanding.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #13 on: January 05, 2021, 06:50:22 PM »

NBC/CNN have no college degree now at 63%, college degree at 37%. It was 64% a little bit ago.

Is that a good or bad sign?
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #14 on: January 05, 2021, 06:53:37 PM »

Regarding long lines as long as someone is in line (lol) by 7PM they are allowed to vote. I wouldn't classify that is extending hours though.

Thank you for the correction.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
United States


« Reply #15 on: January 05, 2021, 06:57:22 PM »

I just heard that CNN has a county named Gilmer. My uncle's name was Gilmer, and I've never seen that name anywhere else until now. Given how his death went down, hearing that name called out was... uncomfortable.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #16 on: January 05, 2021, 07:23:59 PM »

Honestly I’m just more sad it will be this close considering how bad both reps ran their campaigns

I mean... it is Georgia.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #17 on: January 05, 2021, 07:35:59 PM »

How come every single really postive bit of news feels like sniffing pain killers off of a super models ass and every bit of negative news feels like I just watched my childhood dog get hit by a bus

Quoting for accuracy.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
United States


« Reply #18 on: January 05, 2021, 07:46:09 PM »

Was the NY Times needle in Nov.... on Trump for most of the night on ED?

Yes. It flipped over at around 43%, I think? Don't quote me on that, though.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
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« Reply #19 on: January 05, 2021, 07:51:10 PM »

You know what sounds good? Fried peaches and vanilla ice cream.

That reminds me to get the Timothee Chalamet 'Call Me By Your Name' peach f***ing gifs ready if Ossoff and Warnock end up winning. Though they are probably NSFW, come (no pun intended) to think of it.

That would be the perfect gif for this though... IF they win.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
United States


« Reply #20 on: January 05, 2021, 07:55:49 PM »
« Edited: January 05, 2021, 08:03:07 PM by musicblind »

So what non-political things are you guys doing tonight?

I’m playing Call of Duty right now.

Vomiting and hyperventilation.

Oh, wait, you said non-election things.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
United States


« Reply #21 on: January 05, 2021, 08:11:28 PM »

Just thought.  If the two Democrats win and Dems get the Senate at the last minute, this will have been the most painful possible election cycle for Republicans.  First they get their hopes up to win the White House, lose it a few days later.  Then lose the senate... their heads would explode.

By the numbers, 2008 was far more traumatic for Republicans, though.
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musicblind
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Posts: 335
United States


« Reply #22 on: January 05, 2021, 08:28:06 PM »

If Ossoff wins tonight I’m gonna have to roll up my sleeves and undo my belt and give him a real good spanking.

He is exceedingly handsome.
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musicblind
Jr. Member
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Posts: 335
United States


« Reply #23 on: January 05, 2021, 08:44:06 PM »

30 minutes after polls close: "We are doomed!"

60 minutes after polls close: "We are gonna win!"

90 minutes after polls close: "We should all settle down"


What's the next blanket take on the schedule?

Depends on when everyone is let out of horny jail.

Do we really want out, though?
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musicblind
Jr. Member
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Posts: 335
United States


« Reply #24 on: January 05, 2021, 08:53:42 PM »

The writers came up with a great twist in having the Republicans lose the Senate because Trump had to be a whiny b!tch for two months but they refused to support him on the one thing he wanted that was popular. Also bringing back Ossoff, a forgotten character from the first act and making him one of the big heroes at the end was an interesting touch.

Very Game of Thrones.
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