Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 27, 2024, 08:29:33 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 115 116 117 118 119 [120] 121 122 123 124 125 ... 226
Author Topic: Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread  (Read 264861 times)
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,850


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2975 on: January 05, 2021, 07:16:51 PM »

The needle has Perdue and Warnock right now. I really doubt it'll be a split result though.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2976 on: January 05, 2021, 07:16:55 PM »

Ossoff doing 12 points better in the mail vote in Murray County (!) than November.
Logged
Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,916
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2977 on: January 05, 2021, 07:17:15 PM »


And it’s swung slightly to both Rs.
Logged
BudgieForce
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2978 on: January 05, 2021, 07:17:34 PM »


I wouldn't read to much into the reporting precinct percentage.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,949


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2979 on: January 05, 2021, 07:18:07 PM »


And Loefller is doing better than Perdue!
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2980 on: January 05, 2021, 07:18:11 PM »

first hot take... the counties are filling in pretty similar to the November election so it's going to be all about what areas turn out more... unless the suburbs really do shift as the CNN exit polls indicate (but I think they're BS).
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,869
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2981 on: January 05, 2021, 07:18:19 PM »

Extrapolated toplines (with decimals) from the AP VoteCast & Edison exit poll:

AP:
- Perdue 50.3%/Ossoff 49.7%
- Warnock 50.24%/Loeffler 49.76%

Edison (literally exactly the same for both):
- Ossoff 50.32%/Perdue 49.68%
- Warnock 50.32%/Loeffler 49.68%

Hm, I got Warnock and Ossoff with about 50.6 by doing age (on CNN/Edison)

I just did it by gender.
Logged
AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,469
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2982 on: January 05, 2021, 07:18:26 PM »

Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,851
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2983 on: January 05, 2021, 07:18:50 PM »

I am going to do a needle dance in the hopes that it influences the needle to bestow good results. Also I encourage everyone to make a sacrifice to the needle (though not one that harms any person or creature).

I had to throw out a sock with too many holes in it yesterday, can that count?
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2984 on: January 05, 2021, 07:18:53 PM »

Webster has 1 precinct and the 100% reporting is likely just in-person vote.
Logged
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2985 on: January 05, 2021, 07:19:07 PM »

The needle will go red and never go back by 8pm.

Cash it in. It’s gaining interest.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,745


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2986 on: January 05, 2021, 07:19:28 PM »

Also don't forget, the NYT needle had Trump winning by +1.7-3 when there was 43% in.
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,869
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2987 on: January 05, 2021, 07:19:41 PM »

Please stop posting exit polls. It’s not like they matter.

This is an election. Elections produce exit polls. This is literally the "Talk Elections" forum. No, the "Talk Elections" forum isn't gonna stop talking about an aspect of an election.
Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,093
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2988 on: January 05, 2021, 07:19:51 PM »

I am updating my projection:

51-49 victory for Republicans

Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2989 on: January 05, 2021, 07:20:23 PM »

Dems better hope there's a single black precinct outstanding in Webster. 91% of it's Nov total and it swung 4 points to Rs.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,745


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2990 on: January 05, 2021, 07:20:31 PM »



omg we're really doing this again when we either don't know or people are misinterpreting the % as whether it's actually done or not
Logged
ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,952
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2991 on: January 05, 2021, 07:20:54 PM »

Logged
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2992 on: January 05, 2021, 07:21:03 PM »

I am updating my projection:

51-49 victory for Republicans



Isnt that exactly what you said before lol
Logged
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,605
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2993 on: January 05, 2021, 07:21:07 PM »

Honestly I’m just more sad it will be this close considering how bad both reps ran their campaigns
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2994 on: January 05, 2021, 07:21:20 PM »

Ah, I see we're overreacting right on schedule.
Logged
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2995 on: January 05, 2021, 07:21:25 PM »

Dems better hope there's a single black precinct outstanding in Webster. 91% of it's Nov total and it swung 4 points to Rs.

It's also one very small county that is not necessarily indicative of statewide results.
Logged
Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,719


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2996 on: January 05, 2021, 07:21:44 PM »

Just thought I’d point out that Webster has less than 3000 people.
Logged
Alcibiades
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,916
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2997 on: January 05, 2021, 07:21:58 PM »

Fulton just had its first set of results drop.
Logged
AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,469
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2998 on: January 05, 2021, 07:22:16 PM »



omg we're really doing this again when we either don't know or people are misinterpreting the % as whether it's actually done or not
Wasserman has suggested Webster is close to done.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,745


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2999 on: January 05, 2021, 07:22:27 PM »

Honestly I’m just more sad it will be this close considering how bad both reps ran their campaigns

Yep. Especially if they win.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 115 116 117 118 119 [120] 121 122 123 124 125 ... 226  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.063 seconds with 12 queries.