2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[gf20202]

This forum never disappoints. People exclaiming President Biden, meanwhile Nate Cohn's needle is saying great things for Trump in Florida.

[gf20202]

I'l admit to being scared sh**tless right now but people begging for them to turn off the needle is non-sensical. They went with those states because they give full reporting of which results are which. Trump is heavily favored in Florida at this point. Insisting Miami Dade reporting is the ED vote doesn't make it true.

[gf20202]

If Reps get the house the Democratic Party America is officialy dead.

Fixed that for you.

To be clear, not saying they won't.

Fox called the House for the democratic party a freaking hour ago.

[gf20202]

Anybody have a way of tracking the results in NE-02?

[gf20202]

You need to sign in but here is the direct link for NE-02.

[gf20202]

Nebraska-02, is currently plus Biden 8.4.

[gf20202]

Trump held Robeson County by a substantial margin. I'm not sure to what extent Biden's endorsement of federal recognition for the Lumbee tribe helped him there. Every vote is critical in a race as close as this. And thus far, we have not seen any truly surprising outcomes in the Senate races. Marshall in Kansas and Graham in South Carolina have both won, as has Cornyn in Texas, thus taking reach seats out of contention for Democrats.

IA, ME, and AK will determine whether the Senate flips tonight.

Yes, give up on a Montana Democratic Senate Candidate on election night, that always works out.

[gf20202]

Does a Biden Presidency and a GOP Senate mean no stimulus checks?

Yeah. Mitch is not going to do any big bills for President Biden.

The run-off in Georgia could be huge

The top two Republican candidates combined for over 50%.

That's not even true CURRENTLY let alone once more DEM votes come in. Can you please avoid talking out of your butt? There is enough misinformation out there without people making broad factually incorrect pronouncements. They add up to 48.6%

[gf20202]

NE-02 looks done for Biden:

Aaron Sanderford @asanderford
Biden appears to have held his ground on the first Douglas County releases of Election Day voting from 2p-8p. It appears  @JoeBiden will win #NE02's single electoral vote. Story coming quickly on
@OWHnews

https://twitter.com/asanderford/status/1323866707472113664

[gf20202]

Does a Biden Presidency and a GOP Senate mean no stimulus checks?

Yeah. Mitch is not going to do any big bills for President Biden.

The run-off in Georgia could be huge

The top two Republican candidates combined for over 50%.

The counting isn't done yet, genius.

And they aren't even over 50% NOW. They are under 49%

[gf20202]

If North Carolina is 100% reporting, why hasn't it been called?

Where are you seeing 100%? Everywhere I see says 95%.

[gf20202]

AP is saying 100% of NC is reporting.

Could you please provide a link to that? I am looking at site fed by the AP and it says 95%.

[gf20202]

AP is saying 100% of NC is reporting.

It's been a few minutes. Find the link for this yet?

[gf20202]

AP is saying 100% of NC is reporting.

It's been a few minutes. Find the link for this yet?

Just go to where AP is doing this.

They still say 100%, so why not call NC already?

I have gone to sites using the AP total. It says 95%. Will you please direct me to the site you are seeing this at? Why are you being so obtuse and evasive?

[gf20202]

AP is saying 100% of NC is reporting.

It's been a few minutes. Find the link for this yet?

Just go to where AP is doing this.

They still say 100%, so why not call NC already?

I have gone to sites using the AP total. It says 95%. Will you please direct me to the site you are seeing this at? Why are you being so obtuse and evasive?

https://microsoftnews.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/results-map?ocid=msedgntp

Shockingly Microsoftnews.msn.com isn't a real viable news source. Congrats on finding the world's worst fake scammy news page and choosing it over literally other any other accredited news source.

[gf20202]

Biden about to net 9k before the Milwaukee vote dump.

Cassidy Williams
@CassidyWtv
BREAKING: after all three machines tabulated

19,700- Biden
10,103-Trump

The absentee ballots in Kenosha are not enough to take over the county for Biden. Final results should be on the county website soon

[gf20202]

Nate strafing over what I just posted:

A Nate Silver retweet with an added thought:
Biden now behind like 98k after Kenosha absentees counties.

The thing is, these Milwaukee absentees are likely to be VERY blue. They are *city*, not county, absentees. And absentee ballots were thought to be quite a bit bluer than the e-day vote in Wisconsin.

Ryan Matsumoto
@ryanmatsumoto1
 ·
169,341 early/absentee ballots yet to be counted from Milwaukee.

Biden is down 107k in Wisconsin right now.

Biden net gains if Milwaukee ballots break:
90% Biden: 135k
85% Biden: 119k
80% Biden: 102k
75% Biden: 85k
70% Biden: 68k
65% Biden: 51k
60% Biden: 34k

#Election2020

[gf20202]

Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn

Based on my replies, I don't think people have fully internalized how Democratic these mail and absentee ballots will be in MI/PA/WI. It's going to be close, but these ballots will be overwhelmingly Democratic

That's been my read.

[gf20202]

Nate Cohn just tweeted that he is anticipating that this vote dump will easily be over 75% for Biden.

[gf20202]

Vote dump happened. LEAD SWITCH. Biden winning the state by 2k votes.

CANNOT WAIT FOR THIS KORNACKI MOMENT

[gf20202]

I’m sorry but what are you guys seeing that gives Wisconsin to Biden?! 9k is not holding up

The remaining vote is basically all absentee votes which will either go slightly to Biden or heavily to Biden.

[gf20202]

I’m sorry but what are you guys seeing that gives Wisconsin to Biden?! 9k is not holding up

The remaining vote is basically all absentee votes which will either go slightly to Biden or heavily to Biden.

Even the Green Bay ones?

Yes, Kenosha was red with what came in previously but even then Biden gained 9k in the absentee portions. This is the reverse of what happened earlier in Florida where it started dem and finished republican because Wisconsin counted mostly election day first.

[gf20202]

NV ended up being way closer than it should have been. Biden only up 9k before the final vote drop in Clark that *should* help him but you never know.

[gf20202]

We had an issue with the printer on one of our machines too...I was stuck at the precinct for an extra hour because I had to sign *one* receipt that wouldn’t print.

America’s election infrastructure remains terrible.

Why are absentee ballots being the last to be counted despite being the first to be received?

It looks incredibly suspicious that votes are suddenly materializing but only once they already knew what Trumps lead was from the people who turned up in person to vote.

The republican legislatures in these states willfully choose to do it this way so people like you could be tricked into questioning the normal counting process.

[gf20202]

Kenosha actually finished mail a while ago

https://twitter.com/CassidyWtv/status/1323916855556349954?s=19

I posted that some time ago. We are waiting for Green Bay/Brown.