2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Roronoa D. Law]

Can Biden really break 80% in Multnomah?

[Roronoa D. Law]

Can Biden really break 80% in Multnomah?

Wouldn't be too shocked. Would certainly be in line with what we've seen so far.

Yeah, Biden has raised the ceiling in a lot of urban counties. Has already surpassed both Carter and Clinton vote share in Fulton and Pulaski county.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Anybody got an idea what's going on in suburban NY that NJ and CT missed?

[Roronoa D. Law]

We are still missing a good bit of votes in Richmond-Augusta, Bibb, Chatham, and once again where is Dougherty votes at?

[Roronoa D. Law]

Why was Georgia the only state where the polls seem to be accurate?

Because most GA poll overestimates Democrats % of the white vote but also underestimates the non-white share. The reason it seems GA polling looks so good is that minorities have been turning out and Democrats have been doing better with white Georgians in 2016, 2018 and now 2020 although still not as high as in the polls.

[Roronoa D. Law]

<60k in GA

[Roronoa D. Law]

Georgia down to 1.2% with around 200k votes to go.

[Roronoa D. Law]

If we assume the GA pres race will narrow down to within a couple tenths of a point, that would indicate Perdue missing 50 by a very small margin.

Does anyone know what's left out in GA and an estimate of how much?

[Roronoa D. Law]

https://twitter.com/JustinGrayWSB/status/1324112940010770432?s=20

Current margin <60k

[Roronoa D. Law]

Yeah the GOP is ready to cut him loose.

[Roronoa D. Law]

So is Biden favored to win Georgia at this point?

If you ask everyone yes. But ... well you’ll see

Honey, Trump lost.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Kanye West received about 60,000 votes as of now. His best state was Tennessee.

https://www.nydailynews.com/snyde/ny-kanye-west-60000-votes-20201105-xje2ti6s3nd6noycwrnbnvapri-story.html

His first vote of his life was writing in himself. I wonder how many presidential candidates can say that. Even Trump probably voted before.

Eisenhower

[Roronoa D. Law]

Kanye West received about 60,000 votes as of now. His best state was Tennessee.

https://www.nydailynews.com/snyde/ny-kanye-west-60000-votes-20201105-xje2ti6s3nd6noycwrnbnvapri-story.html

His first vote of his life was writing in himself. I wonder how many presidential candidates can say that. Even Trump probably voted before.

Eisenhower

Eisenhower voted Republican before 1952, according to himself

Did he? I thought he wasn't a registered voter until 1951.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Is there any indication of why AP and Fox News were confident in calling AZ for Biden?

Idk, but I saw someone on Twitter pointed out the total number of votes in Biggs and Lesko district are higher than those in Gallego and Stanton districts.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Is there any indication of why AP and Fox News were confident in calling AZ for Biden?

Idk, but I saw someone on Twitter pointed out the total number of votes in Biggs and Lesko district are higher than those in Gallego and Stanton districts.

Total number LEFT or total number COUNTED. If it’s the latter, I feel quite good about it.

Present count total for Gallego: ~172k
Present count total for Stanton: ~293k
Present count total for Lesko: ~357k
Present count total for Biggs: ~368k

I'm okay with this. Remember, Gallego's district is very immigrant-heavy so it never has as many total votes.

Which is another problem Democrats need to solve. Stanton's and Gallego's district are on the overpopulated side.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Late in the game but I voted for Jorgensen. Can’t wait until we have a Republican candidate I feel good about supporting again.

What if it's Trump?

[Roronoa D. Law]

Even if Fulton finished we still have votes left in Clayton, Gwinnett, Richmond, Muscogee, and Bibb.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Yeah, Nevada is gone.

[Roronoa D. Law]

So far, Colorado has voted for Biden by a greater margin than Illinois

Probably vote to the right once Cook county finish. Surprised how Trump didn't make gains in Metro East.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Biden up 13 points in Jefferson County AL, home to Birmingham. Largest Democrat margin since FDR landslide in 1944.

[Roronoa D. Law]

These counties are already insanely D but any chance Biden raises the ceiling in LA, Cook, NY, and Philadelphia county?

[Roronoa D. Law]

Trumpists including Ljube embarrass themselves by repeating their God Emperor's whining over fraud. Where is the proof? Where is the evidence? Accept the fact he's on the edge of losing.

Not a Trumpist and you know it.

The entirety of your post history would imply otherwise aNd YoU kNoW iT.

Do you see me shedding a tear for Trump?

People express grief in different ways.

[Roronoa D. Law]

If Biden wins Georgia. Stacy Abrams needs to be the chair of the DNC cause whatever she doing she's doing it right.

[Roronoa D. Law]

If Biden wins Georgia. Stacy Abrams needs to be the chair of the DNC cause whatever she doing she's doing it right.

Lol

She lost her own election and hasnt done anything of note since. Biden won Georgia because Trump is a lemming. They're going to lose both senate seats in a moth or so anyways.

We're not talking about her race in 2018. We're talking about the infrastructure she made for this to be possible. 

[Roronoa D. Law]

Sen. Bob Casey: No future Republican candidate (president, governor) will ever be as effective in PA as Donald Trump

That may actually be true like how Obama was with the Midwest.