2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 644862 times)
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 03, 2020, 11:09:59 AM »
Biden doesn't even need Florida...
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 11:12:10 AM »
It's 11.11 am in Florida.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 09:10:43 PM »
Guess it's coming down to PA then.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2020, 12:15:28 AM »
And Atlanta won't be counting tonight.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2020, 06:25:07 AM »
That's a rather big if.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2020, 06:27:19 AM »
No more results from NV until 11am EST Thursday.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2020, 06:40:49 AM »
It's not ending until 20 January.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2020, 06:45:24 AM »
Biden is at 50.1% of the popular vote and with a fair amount out on the solid blue West Coast, he could easily clear 51%.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2020, 06:49:01 AM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 04, 2020, 06:43:10 AM
Quote from: ibagli on November 04, 2020, 06:28:54 AM


Yup.  Per NYT, Trump's lead now down to 64,520. 

Why is it Wayne County when it should just be Detroit?
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2020, 06:49:28 AM »
Biden is at 62% on Betfair:

https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2020/11/04/the-betting-at-1136-gmt-nov-4th-2020/
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2020, 07:10:49 AM »
So closer to RCP's average than 538's...
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2020, 07:38:47 AM »
Quote from: Crumpets on November 04, 2020, 07:37:57 AM
Quick question since I'm just now getting back online - anyone know the story with the NYT needle saying Biden is favored in Georgia? Is that legit or is there some weird data oddity somewhere?

Legit, based on the outstanding absentee ballots in Atlanta.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2020, 07:40:33 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 04, 2020, 07:39:43 AM
Thank you to the morning crew here. You are way more substantial to talk to then the night crowd Smiley

Probably as they're less sleep-deprived.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2020, 07:48:47 AM »
Quote from: The Trump Virus on November 04, 2020, 07:48:01 AM
Biden actually has to get a lead in MI, ya know.  So far he hasn’t.

He's only 2k off at the moment.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2020, 07:58:00 AM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 04, 2020, 07:56:32 AM
Roy Cooper has now won North Carolina twice as Trump (likely) wins it, this time while we lose a Senate race too.

I think he’s a good option for 2024. Southerner with purple state appeal and strong executive experience.

2024 will be Kamala Harris having first refusal.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2020, 08:00:01 AM »

With 670,000 votes out, 500,000 of them in Clinton 2016 counties.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2020, 08:15:24 AM »
Dave Wasserman has come out of his 'cave':
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2020, 08:49:51 AM »
Latino culture isn't monolithic.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2020, 09:24:27 AM »
Quote from: forza nocta on November 04, 2020, 09:23:39 AM
This is a worst case scenario election for Dems

No, that would be a GOP trifecta.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2020, 09:36:19 AM »

To the courthouse and then to the prison.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2020, 09:59:38 AM »

Have they named it after a late night host?
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2020, 01:06:24 PM »
Quote from: 86 45 on November 04, 2020, 01:03:38 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 04, 2020, 01:02:11 PM
Quote from: 86 45 on November 04, 2020, 01:00:19 PM
Err, are we 100% sure about Arizona here? Biden's lead has been shrinking for a while now.

Wasn't that bc E-day vote was coming in?
Hopefully. But if the remaining ballots are E-day as well we're in trouble.

Maricopa County is releasing more results at 9pm EST.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2020, 01:07:06 PM »
Quote from: DaleCooper on November 04, 2020, 01:05:55 PM
If Arizona was potentially going to Trump then wouldn't we have gotten some indication from Fox or the AP regarding their calls? I doubt that both of them would be so confident as to not only call it, but then reaffirm that they were, in Fox's case, "100% sure" if they didn't actually know.

They weren't using the erroneous data feed.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2020, 03:00:47 PM »
If they thought Trump could win it, they would not have called it.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2020, 03:11:28 PM »
ABC never called Arizona.
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