CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[ON Progressive]

What are the interesting primaries in each state outside California?

[ON Progressive]

Sincere request for tonight: since California results will trickle in for days or weeks and the final results may be very different from tonight's returns, can we please avoid any hot takes based on tonight's returns?

Good luck with that. This is Atlas, after all.

[ON Progressive]

It really is ridiculous/disgraceful that CA can’t count faster

I wonder how much of it is to do with the fact they allow ballots to arrive three days after the election.

[ON Progressive]

It really is ridiculous/disgraceful that CA can’t count faster

Allowing for greater ballot access and flexibility is more important than counting fast, imo.

I support great ballot access and all, but there's no excuse for CA to take a month to count their ballots.

[ON Progressive]

This primary is showing Menendez is very vulnerable.

Welp he blew Van Drew losing so he’s got to find some trolling material

Did he seriously think someone with all the county lines in NJ would ever lose a Dem primary? LMAO.

[ON Progressive]

It appears that New Jersey is the slowest state so far.

Just wait until California

[ON Progressive]

Can the fag still lose?

Obviously. Given how poorly Fagg is doing in the Western part of the state, I’d say he’s still the underdog (though it should be closer than expected, I guess). Also worth noting that Rosendale’s base hasn’t even reported yet.

Where is Rosendale's base?

[ON Progressive]

We're hardly on the tip of the iceberg in terms of California votes counted and the hot takes have already begun, lol.

Welcome to Atlas.

[ON Progressive]

Woah, Montana!

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1004213519036887040

Proof that this board is full on hack: looking at primary turnout (that they mocked trump for bragging about in past instances) as if it predicts jack....while ignoring outright data that shows republican incumbents are all over SOCAL improving on their 2016 margins.

Something has got to be done about the cheer-leading in primary results threads. We have idiots on here claiming montana and iowa are blue because of fricking primary turnout.

You’re forgetting the early vote in CA skews GOP, and also nobody said MT sand IA were Dem states LMAO

[ON Progressive]

   2.2%   Rocky De La Fuente   GOP   41,501

Rockymania!

Feeling the de la Fuentum here!

[ON Progressive]

Democrats pick up AD-76 via shutout

Lmao the second-place candidate is named Elizabeth Warren

ENDORSED

[ON Progressive]

Looks like we escaped the lock outs well, but even if we get candidates in these potential pick up seats, the gop is still leading well in primary turnout for these districts and breaching 50% in like all of them. This is very bad and should not be happening. Not good at all...

Again, the vote that is in is very GOP skewed. Also, a lot more people will vote in November.

[ON Progressive]

How many times do we need to say this Bagel: EARLY. CALIFORNIA. VOTE. SKEWS. REPUBLICAN.

It will take weeks before we know the results of some of these races.

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1004229990471426053

Well then. That would remove any stress about this.

[ON Progressive]

Democrats really over-shot their coverage in a lot of these competitive districts - with the exception of the seats that California Dems have been typically targeting recently (CA-10, CA-25, and dear god CA-21 where Valadao crossed 60%).

After tonight I'm gonna just say CA-21 is Safe R for Valadao and CA-49 is looking more and more like Lean D (Dems are AHEAD of the GOP in a district that was basically made to be Safe Issa and a district with an R registration advantage).

I'd hold off on calling CA-21 safe right now. The Dem base there turns their ballots in last second (read: it'll take weeks to know what really happened), and always has pretty weak primary turnout

[ON Progressive]

Dems only got locked out in CA-8

Dems might be able to avoid that narrowly. Doyle is only down 760 votes, and the late ballots always break heavily Dem.

[ON Progressive]

When all the vote counting is over, Democrats might end up with more votes cast in Orange County:

https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/1004353533431468033

Dem's got more votes in Weak-Trump-voting Morris last night then Reps, I wouldn't be surprised if a similar situation emerges in Clinton-voting OC.

It's happening across the nation. DuPage County (IL), Gwinnett County (GA), Orange County (CA), Morris County (NJ), Chester County (PA), etc. Democrats are rockin' the suburbs, just like Michael Jackson did.

Don't tell RINO Tom!

[ON Progressive]

Any new updates on CA48?

Current count:

* DANA ROHRABACHER (REP)   38,629   30.5%
HANS KEIRSTEAD (DEM)   21,893   17.3%
HARLEY ROUDA (DEM)   21,806   17.2%
SCOTT BAUGH (REP)   20,332   16.0%

Next update at 5pm PDT Monday.  https://www.ocvote.com/fileadmin/live/pri2018/results.htm

That was the count yesterday so we got no new info dump today

The slow count in this election and all the recent elections in Washington, Oregon, and Colorado is a good argument against taking those voting systems national.

Outside of razor-thin elections, usually local ones, you'll know the night of who has won in WA. Can't speak for any other ones.

Would the 2016 Presidential results have been known that night.  What about 1960?  I do not think you undestand the possible trauma.

Regardless of in what sense you are asking about 2016, there is no crisis. If you're talking about the 2016 election in WA - Hillary won by a landslide and that was clear in the initial results. If you're talking about the ~70,000 combined vote margin in the three states that decided the election, that is outside of the sort of margin that typically would be decided by late ballots alone. If you're talking about the NPV - a two point margin of victory might take a couple of days to be fully confident in depending on the turnout level, yes - but that is a minor inconvenience, not a trauma. Most of America is not election geeks and should be able to handle not knowing the result right away. The security of the country is not at risk from not knowing the result of the election for a day or two.

And in the specific context of the elections we are speaking about here - primaries - there is little to no urgency to know the winner.

A day or two would be fine. But it really shouldn't take a month before you have an official result. California counts absurdly slow.

[ON Progressive]

Everyone's favorite thing in the world! Virginia turnout reports!

https://twitter.com/fairfaxvotes/status/1006545599859183617

But is it raining in NoVA?

It is not raining in NoVA.

[ON Progressive]

What county is in middle of VA that hasn’t reported yet?

Amherst. Stewart won that county 53.6-37.6 over Gillespie in the 2017 primary.

[ON Progressive]

Where are the second preferences of Craig Olson believed to go?

[ON Progressive]

So does this mean that Sanford can request political asylum in Argentina?

He could also become a professional Appalachian Trail hiker.

[ON Progressive]

Anyone know what's taking ME so long to count their votes? It's 8:30 AM the day after, and 29% of the vote is still out.

[ON Progressive]

Primary turnout is interesting to track, but it isn't predictive at all. OH, IN, MT, and ND are not going to be R wins just because Democrats didn't show up to vote in the uncontested Dem primaries those states had, while Rs turned out for the actually contested primaries.

[ON Progressive]

That should be scaring Brat big time. Dems didn't have a statewide primary while Republicans did, and the House primary for Dems wasn't competitive. Even with those advantages for Republican primary turnout, they still get romped.