UK Local Elections 2022

[Oryxslayer]

Presently completed council counts and their overall natures:

Amber Valley:  Conservative 30 (+2), Labour 11 (-4), Green 3 (+2), Others 1

Brentwood: Conservative 21 (-2), Labour 2, Lib-Dem 14 (+2),

Broxborne: Conservative 26, Labour 3, Others 1,

Basildon: Conservative 25 (+1), Labour 10 (-1), Others 7,

Bolton:  Conservative 23 (+1), Labour 19, Lib-Dem 5, Others 13 (-1)

Chorley:  Labour 32 (+3), Conservative 10 (-3)

Fareham:  Conservative 25,  Lib-Dem 5, Others 1

Epping Forest:  Conservative 35 (-1), Lib-Dem 4 (+1), Green 3, Others 16

Hartlepool:  Conservative 15 (+2), Labour 11, Others 10 (-2)

Harlow: Conservative: 21 (+1), 12 (-1)

Hart:  Conservative 11 (-11), Lib-Dem 11 (+1), Others 11

Halton:  Labour 48, Conservative 3 (+3), Lib-Dem 3, Green 0 (-1)

Hull: Lib-Dem 29 (+3), Labour 27 (-2), Others 1, Conservative (-1)

Lincoln:  Labour 22, Conservative 9 (-1), Lib-Dem 2 (+1),

North east Lincolnshire: Conservative 30 (-1), Labour 8,  Lib-Dem 3, Others 1 (+1)

Nuneaton and Bedworth: Conservative 27 (+1), Labour 5 (-2), Green 2 (+1),

Peterborough: Conservative 28, Labour 17,  Lib-Dem 8, Green 3, Others 4

Redditch: Conservative 28, Labour 17,  Lib-Dem 8, Green 3, Others 4

Rochford: Conservative 21 (-6), Lib-Dem 5 (+2), Greens 1, Others 12 (+4)

Rushmoor: Conservative 28, Labour 9,  Lib-Dem 2,

Sefton:  Conservative 20 (-3), Labour 7 (+3),  Green 1, Others 1

Sunderland: Labour 41 (-1), Conservative 18 (-1), Lib-Dem 14 (+2), Others 2

South Tyneside: Labour 41 (-4), Conservative 1 (-1), Green 6 (+3), Others 6 (+2)

Stevenage: Labour 24 (+1), Conservative 9 (-1), Lib-Dem 6

Tameside:  Labour 48 (-2), Conservative 4 (+2), Green 1,

Tandridge: Conservative 10 (-3), Lib-Dem 11 (+1), Others 21 (+2)

Thurrock: Conservative 30 (+3), Labour 14 (-3), Others 5

Wigan:  Labour 61 (+3), Conservative 7 (-1), Others 7 (-2)


NEW CUMBERLAND (compared to old covered areas): Labour 30 (+12), Conservative 7 (-14), Lib-Dem 4 (+2), Green 2, Others 3 (-2)

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1522394094739337219?s=20&t=5rzXZLc...

Bonfire of the conservatives in Portsmouth.

[YL]

Tories failed to win a single seat in Stockport.

[Oryxslayer]

Reports from some of the smaller cities:

Plymouth Remains in No Control, though now the Tories and Labour and tied on 24 to a green and some others.

Worcester a falls to No Control from it's Conservative majority, with seats flaying towards all the opposition parties. Labour-Green Coalition looks likely here.

Conservatives also lost seats in every direction in Colchester, the Conservative coalition here looks DOA to a returned Lab-lib one.

Conservatives are losing Southampton seats hard, but it might go NOC rather than straight Labour. 

Blue to Red swings in Derby, as well as the UKIP councilor's personal vote going to Reform UK now.

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1522411527394971648?s=20&t=fWp1gJd...

[soundchaser]

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1522411527394971648?s=20&t=fWp1gJd...

Johnson HAS to go after this, right?

[S019]

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1522411527394971648?s=20&t=fWp1gJd...

Johnson HAS to go after this, right?

Well we'd have to wait for the final results, but while he may not go, let's just say, this does not improve his position, it confirms that there is a real decline in Tory support, as indicated by the opinion polls.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1522411527394971648?s=20&t=fWp1gJd...

Johnson HAS to go after this, right?

It's been Johnson's allies who have been going on TV to say things like "Oh Labour isn't gaining as an opposition" or "200-300 losses is just midterm blues," but they don't hold the knives. Its the others on the frontlines or the backbenches who have to decide if a 6-7% swing against them, council party chairs consistently blaming the PM, and gutter approvals is enough to get the necessary requests for an internal vote.

[TheTide]

Labour's gains in the likes of Dudley will be ignored by the media in favour of its gains in London. Which will then be followed by the usual stuff about how Labour is an out of touch metropolitan party. So predictable.

[Oryxslayer]

Labour's gains in the likes of Dudley will be ignored by the media in favour of its gains in London. Which will then be followed by the usual stuff about how Labour is an out of touch metropolitan party. So predictable.

I mean there is a numeric reason right now in addition to the geographic one. Labour +2 in Dudley, whereas it's looking like say +6 at least right now in Southampton, +3 in Hillingdon, +5 in Barnet, and +8 in Wandsworth.

There is also the signal and noise phenomenon. The Black Country was one of those areas where Labour fell backwards hard in 2019 and 2021, so just holding the 2018 map from when they we still decent in these types of areas is a clear victory. But it doesn't look like a victory.

[YL]

Confirmed: Labour take Wandsworth after 44 years of Tory control

[DL]

Word is that Labour has won Barnet and will also win Westminster!

[TheTide]

Labour's gains in the likes of Dudley will be ignored by the media in favour of its gains in London. Which will then be followed by the usual stuff about how Labour is an out of touch metropolitan party. So predictable.

I mean there is a numeric reason right now in addition to the geographic one. Labour +2 in Dudley, whereas it's looking like say +6 at least right now in Southampton, +3 in Hillingdon, +5 in Barnet, and +8 in Wandsworth.

There is also the signal and noise phenomenon. The Black Country was one of those areas where Labour fell backwards hard in 2019 and 2021, so just holding the 2018 map from when they we still decent in these types of areas is a clear victory. But it doesn't look like a victory.

Gaining two in Dudley is proportionally equivalent to gaining about five in Wandsworth, given the number of seats being contested.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The scoreboard method of covering these things is only done out of laziness and convenience anyway.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Word is that Labour has won Barnet and will also win Westminster!

Something to note about Westminster is that while the Conservatives won twice as many seats as Labour last time, they only had a tiny lead in votes: because of population movements since the last re-warding (for the 2002 elections) a serious issue with malapportionment had developed. Westminster has been re-warded for these elections.

[Oryxslayer]

Bristol has voted to ditch it's mayoral system by about 60-40.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Gaining two in Dudley is proportionally equivalent to gaining about five in Wandsworth, given the number of seats being contested.

Part of the issue is that the way the media reports on local elections (essentially from a national perspective: what do these results tell us about how party X or Y is doing now and will do at the next real election) does not align very well with the sort of things they like to highlight in their coverage. Scoreboard changes of councils and councillors are not much use for that given the length of councillors terms in office and the same is true of vote share changes on the last time the seats up were contested.

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1522426286949294080

[Filuwaúrdjan]

By the way it's worth noting that Barnet Council has attracted attention for all the wrong reasons for a long time. I suspect that the result there is the delayed punishment of an administration well-overdue a battering but which did not receive one four years ago for other reasons.

[Blair]

Haha oh the mental meltdown that losing all three London boroughs will have will be hilarious- I expect some Tories will basically insult these areas and say they either the voters were thick or that they don’t actually want to win these wards.

[Sestak]

The scoreboard method of covering these things is only done out of laziness and convenience anyway.

Sky news has been pushing a particularly...interesting line throughout the night. They note that Labour are roughly even on 2018 results. Since 2018 came a year and a half before the 2019 GE and this is likely one to two years before the next GE, this means things are roughly in line with 2019; thus despite the polling disadvantage the Conservatives are in fact in line to retain their current majority at present. Meanwhile, results inside London don't matter because Labour has always been improving there anyway. They conclude that Keir Starmer's leadership of Labour must be called into question.

[Oryxslayer]

Tories officially on 100 losses, without the Scottish or Welsh results which are expected to be worse.

[beesley]

https://twitter.com/bbcelection/status/1522424454776766472?t=bXC4xWM8trzAvDzvKwa...

HAHAHA TAKE THAT

Posting this one because it's personal to me - but Labour did very well here. There are still Brexit /demographic trends / whatever on show however - Labour nearly lost a few wards on the Western edge of the city like Redbridge while gaining the more middle class ward of Bitterne Park

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/bbcelection/status/1522424454776766472?t=bXC4xWM8trzAvDzvKwa...

HAHAHA TAKE THAT

Posting this one because it's personal to me - but Labour did very well here. There are still Brexit /demographic trends on show however - Labour nearly lost a few wards on the Western edge of the city while gaining the more middle class ward of Bitterne Park.

Our long national nightmare is over.

[Oryxslayer]

Barnet is now called for Labour, with a thumping +10 seats right now with 9 left to declare. Westminster is presently +6 Labour with more to come and the Tories already threw in the towel.  Conservatives in the SW London councils are getting swept by the Lib-Dems. They went down 9 in the Wimbledon side of Merton - all to the Lib-Dems, -8 in Richmond-upon-Thames so far, and there are rumors of a sweep in Kingston. Tories are way down all across the capital.

Meanwhile, the Kensington and Chelsea Tories almost got off the night with zero losses. Truly a wealthy enclave in its own world.