afleitch
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Atlas Star
Posts: 29,847
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« Reply #352 on: May 20, 2022, 01:51:31 PM » |
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So the excellent Ballotbox Scotland has collated the polling district results for Glasgow. Most of the districts are still easily collapsable into the old 1999-2007 wards; the last to be fought on the old FTP.
So here are the results
You're probably thinking; 'help'
So here's a quick analysis. SNP support is across the city and elsewhere so wide that's it's hard to tie it to any set of indicators, but it does tend to be younger.
It's much easier to look at the 'not SNP' pattern of support.
Labour
For Labour it's very much tied to two factors; age and Tory-ness. Labour are dominant in the old middle class wards that used to vote Lib Dem and long before, Tory. You can see this in places like Kelvindale and Jordanhill. Here very strong Tory performances collapsed with most of the first preferences (which is what these tally) going to Labour. They are also strong in other older post-war peripheral middle class estates in places like Mount Vernon. They don't perform as strongly in places straddling the East Renfrewshire boundary (a council where the SNP made strong advances this year) in places like Newlands and Cathcart. More on that later.
Labour also have some strengths but also some weaknesses in many of the post-war overspill estates; Drumchapel, Easterhouse, Pollok (but not Castlemilk) where there is an aging population and period of both population decline and housing demolition.
A few other Labour successes are in the 'villages' of Robroyston and Carmunnock again for reasons above.
In terms of 'sectarianism' Labour perform well in known 'Orange' boltholes in the city; places like Bridgeton and Shettleston.
Also worth noting they won Kingston and Anderston which are the most Hindu parts of Glasgow.
Green
It's hard not to speak of the Greens without understanding the long standing 'osmosis' between SNP and Green voting in Glasgow. There are three pockets of Green support.
The first is the 'West End'; not the mansions further west, but around the University. This is the earliest base of Green support; Hillhead. But Green support there isn't just students; with successes in Hayburn and Kelvingrove (home of the 'talked about in the Sunday supplements' Finnieston area), Green support is young (ie under 40) and those who have created areas of city living.
The second smaller pocket is Dennistoun which has a similar profile.
In the green pocket in the south of the city (which is where I live) Green support is strong in wards surrounding Queen's Park, and in another sunday supplement favourite; Strathbungo, But support is also found in more established but...'socially conscious' wards like Langside and Battlefield.
In short, where you 'want to be', or 'you're supposed to be', votes Green.
Also, the Green vote correlates very strongly where areas of 'No Religion' scored high in the last published census.
SNP
Everyone else.
In all seriousness, the 'donut' around the Green wards in the south of the city is Sturgeonland which has overflowed much beyond where she represents. There is a very strong correlation with the Muslim vote with both the SNP and the Green successes across the city.
The area around Govan is still a good area for the SNP as is Maryhill and most of the East End. There's still a very curious correlation between parts that voted SNP this year and where they performed well in the 'high water' locals as far back as 1968 and 1977, with some sectarian switching.
Speaking of, the SNP still performing well in Catholic parts of the city relative to Labour; the East End, Maryhill, the strip from the Gorbals to Castlemilk near the South Lanarkshire boundary.
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