2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 622552 times)
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« on: November 03, 2020, 11:42:53 AM »

Hey, Atlas hasn't crashed yet. Good job, servers that are currently held together with duct tape.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 12:36:51 PM »

Per CNN, southeastern PA is looking really bad for Trump while the southwest is on par with 2016.

Well I’m sure Alleghany is looking like a disaster for Trump.

They said Pittsburgh area, which is more than just Allegheny. I have no doubt that Biden will improve over Hillary in Allegheny.

I'm very curious what the margin in Westmoreland ends up looking like. Obviously no way Biden wins there, but I do think he could get over 40% of the vote on a good night.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 12:39:24 PM »

I just. I just can't with this dude.




Literally the only person who I want to be hearing from today less than Comey is Anthony Weiner.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 01:32:41 PM »




Now THAT would be a holy crap number if true.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 02:13:47 PM »



There's quite a story to be told about respect for democracy that it's the Democratic officials voting to keep the polls open to address this problem while the Republican officials are opposed.

Edit: And in a county that usually votes Republican.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 02:18:02 PM »

Guam update (61% partially reporting, 14k total votes): margin stays pretty consistent since last update at Biden 55.7, Trump 41.5.

Guam update (73% partially reporting, 19k total votes): marginal improvement for Biden to 55.8, Trump at 41.4.

Appears Guam has a similar pro-incumbent bias that Hawaii also has.

I love that memes that were born here, what, 16 years ago are still going strong.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 02:56:11 PM »

Tick tock. Not much time left for Trump to get to 400,000.

At this rate, I don't think it even gets to 250K
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 03:21:06 PM »



To me this is probably the single worst tweet for Trump I've seen today.

I have mixed feelings about Rendell's politics, but he knows this state as well as anybody.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2020, 03:23:00 PM »

I'm not saying it's over, but I am saying I need to go get that Woodbury quote ready.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2020, 04:54:59 PM »



Oh hey, I know him.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2020, 05:02:50 PM »

Unfortunately, it looks like Trump will lose the election. What a sad day for the world.



Sad!
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2020, 05:08:37 PM »

From CNN: early exit polls:

What's more important?:

contain coronavirus 52%
rebuild the economy 42%

Early exit polls are always dubious, but as of yet, I see no alarming warning signs.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2020, 05:29:45 PM »

Alright, I'm going to go eat my traditional election night pizza. Yall enjoy overanalyzing things here.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2020, 06:11:17 PM »

Alright, I'm going to go eat my traditional election night pizza. Yall enjoy overanalyzing things here.

Update: The pizza was quite good.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2020, 06:12:51 PM »

Alright, I'm going to go eat my traditional election night pizza. Yall enjoy overanalyzing things here.

Update: The pizza was quite good.
What toppings and where did you get it from?

Pepperoni and sausage, and from a local place.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2020, 06:20:13 PM »

Greene county IN, 68.4% Trump with 52% reporting, was 74.1% Trump in 2016... good sign in rural Indiana. Cross your fingers...

If Trump is down even slightly in rural areas, he's going to get obliterated. He needs larger margins in those places to offset what is going to happen in the suburbs.

Obvious caveat that we are looking at a tiny fraction of counties in two states that may not even be particularly representative.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2020, 06:25:13 PM »

That fact that IN was not quickly called for Trump is a very bad sign for him

They're not going to call it until the polls are closed in the Central Time Zone portion of the state, as they do with every state where there is a time zone split.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2020, 06:29:00 PM »

What's a good site to see live county maps? NY Times isn't showing me counties.

I'm looking at Daily Kos like the die-hard liberal I am.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2020, 06:30:45 PM »

Biden already up to 61K votes in Fayette County, Kentucky with 53% reporting, Hillary got a little under 70K there in 2016.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2020, 06:36:35 PM »

Biden has already passed Hillary's vote total in Franklin County, Kentucky, 11,191 vs 10,717. Trump more than 2,000 votes behind his 2016 total.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:50 PM »

Biden has passed Hillary's 2016 total in Boone County, Indiana, 11,378 vs 10,181
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2020, 06:54:50 PM »

Biden at 11,042 votes in Bartholomew County, Indiana with 76% reporting; Hillary got 9,841 there in 2016.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2020, 06:57:34 PM »


We did it yall. We achieved better website stability than predictit.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2020, 07:04:46 PM »

Biden at 127,112 in Volusia right now, already ahead of Hillary's total of 109,091
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2020, 07:07:41 PM »

Just a reminder:



Trump at 66.41% on the early vote here.
Logged
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