2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617369 times)
NYSforKennedy2024
Kander2020
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« Reply #625 on: November 03, 2020, 02:54:12 PM »
L O N E

S T A R

S T A T E
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RI
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« Reply #626 on: November 03, 2020, 02:54:26 PM »
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redjohn
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« Reply #627 on: November 03, 2020, 02:55:04 PM »
The insane delusion from Trump supporters this entire cycle about this election being a safe Trump win has been unlike anything I've ever seen. Betting on Trump winning NY, CA, etc. It's unbelievable how many MAGA people think Trump is going to easily win this tonight. That's all I have to say for now.
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7,052,770
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« Reply #628 on: November 03, 2020, 02:55:14 PM »
Tick tock. Not much time left for Trump to get to 400,000.
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YE
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« Reply #629 on: November 03, 2020, 02:55:57 PM »
Quote from: ExSky on November 03, 2020, 02:52:49 PM
looks like those +4/5 Florida Biden polls are gonna be money

Way too soon to make that declaration.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #630 on: November 03, 2020, 02:56:11 PM »
Quote from: 2,868,686 on November 03, 2020, 02:55:14 PM
Tick tock. Not much time left for Trump to get to 400,000.

At this rate, I don't think it even gets to 250K
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roxas11
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« Reply #631 on: November 03, 2020, 02:56:22 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2020, 02:59:58 PM by roxas11 »
Quote from: Rep Jessica on November 03, 2020, 02:49:20 PM

I think Trump takes Florida and Arizona tonight. I am a little worried about the rust belt and North Carolina but it will be a lot closer then the rats think.

Even if he does win both of those state it will not matter becuase if Biden just takes back Pennsylvania..... its game over for Trump
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Holmes
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« Reply #632 on: November 03, 2020, 02:56:53 PM »
Quote from: 2,868,686 on November 03, 2020, 02:55:14 PM
Tick tock. Not much time left for Trump to get to 400,000.

Or even 300k.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #633 on: November 03, 2020, 02:57:03 PM »
Quote from: MAGugh on November 03, 2020, 02:54:12 PM
L O N E

S T A R

S T A T E


A former Irish TD has the inside track on the Texas Republican Party.. lol.
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redjohn
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« Reply #634 on: November 03, 2020, 02:57:31 PM »
These appearances from Biden across PA are electrifying. Trump's hiding in the White House while Biden is out on offensive in the battleground state.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #635 on: November 03, 2020, 02:57:32 PM »
Quote from: Dr. RI, Trustbuster on November 03, 2020, 02:54:26 PM

Hmm.

So improved 20K, or about 24K if you take out the update from Miami-Dade which I think was Biden +4K?
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The Mikado
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« Reply #636 on: November 03, 2020, 02:58:04 PM »
Quote from: Rep Jessica on November 03, 2020, 02:49:20 PM

I think Trump takes Florida and Arizona tonight. I am a little worried about the rust belt and North Carolina but it will be a lot closer then the rats think.

Wait, you think those numbers are GOOD for Trump in AZ? That's pretty terrifying numbers for the GOP in AZ. Look how small that partisan gap is and how many indies there are.
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #637 on: November 03, 2020, 02:58:54 PM »
Only 4 hours left until the first polls close!
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ExSky
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« Reply #638 on: November 03, 2020, 02:59:31 PM »
What im getting from this is that Barack Obama held Joe Biden back in 08 😤
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #639 on: November 03, 2020, 02:59:48 PM »
Quote from: Unbeatable Titan Gary Peters on November 03, 2020, 02:54:01 PM
Quote from: Hammy on November 03, 2020, 02:41:27 PM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 02:35:44 PM
There's like 10 conflicting reads of the data here but it sounds less DOOMERY than an hour ago.  Must mean the numbers are looking better for Biden.

For me I just need some idea of what this or that statistic that's being dropped means as this is the first time I've watched the election day vote and it gets aggravating when I'm told to just read 25 pages as if I have the time to do that rather than a quick explanation

Maybe I’ll make a doomery tracker: number of doom posts on the last 5 pages

Edit: excluding R partisans, only 2 (this includes the joeisdone.github post)

Only if you include a needle.
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forsythvoter
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« Reply #640 on: November 03, 2020, 03:00:13 PM »
Interesting - Dems are holding up surprisingly well among election day voters today. Was thinking Reps would be up at least 200K at this point given their registration advantage. Given higher R crossover voting + NPAs leaning Dems, Biden is still very much in contention to win the state.

Quote from: Dr. RI, Trustbuster on November 03, 2020, 02:54:26 PM
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #641 on: November 03, 2020, 03:01:06 PM »
Quote from: new_patomic on November 03, 2020, 02:57:32 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI, Trustbuster on November 03, 2020, 02:54:26 PM

Hmm.

So improved 20K, or about 24K if you take out the update from Miami-Dade which I think was Biden +4K?

What was the final R advantage in Florida in 2016?
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Rand
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« Reply #642 on: November 03, 2020, 03:01:32 PM »
Quote from: Beida on November 03, 2020, 02:57:31 PM
These appearances from Biden across PA are electrifying. Trump's hiding in the White House while Biden is out on offensive in the battleground state.

Putin P. Pussygrabber is worn out from all those rallies. And the residual effects of COVID.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #643 on: November 03, 2020, 03:01:35 PM »
Quote from: The Mikado on November 03, 2020, 02:58:04 PM
Quote from: Rep Jessica on November 03, 2020, 02:49:20 PM

I think Trump takes Florida and Arizona tonight. I am a little worried about the rust belt and North Carolina but it will be a lot closer then the rats think.

Wait, you think those numbers are GOOD for Trump in AZ? That's pretty terrifying numbers for the GOP in AZ. Look how small that partisan gap is and how many indies there are.

If you assume AZ Rs all vote R and AZ Ds all vote D, or at the very least there's zero net crossover vote (an unsafe assumption, but whatever), Biden just needs to win those Others 53-47 to win the AZ. That's hardly an impressive hill.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #644 on: November 03, 2020, 03:02:45 PM »

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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #645 on: November 03, 2020, 03:03:03 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on November 03, 2020, 02:56:53 PM
Quote from: 2,868,686 on November 03, 2020, 02:55:14 PM
Tick tock. Not much time left for Trump to get to 400,000.

Or even 300k.

To clarify, Trump doesn't necessarily need +300k or +400k to win FL; he could win it with fewer. Failing to reach those targets makes the road much more difficult and likely makes him the underdog, however.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #646 on: November 03, 2020, 03:03:42 PM »
Quote from: Beida on November 03, 2020, 02:55:04 PM
The insane delusion from Trump supporters this entire cycle about this election being a safe Trump win has been unlike anything I've ever seen. Betting on Trump winning NY, CA, etc. It's unbelievable how many MAGA people think Trump is going to easily win this tonight. That's all I have to say for now.

They've already been conditioned to think anything less than a Trump landslide is due to voter fraud, and if Biden does emerge victorious, you'll be hearing the cries of fraud for at least the next 4 years.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #647 on: November 03, 2020, 03:04:01 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 03, 2020, 03:02:45 PM



I think there's a long history of R's vote disproportionately in the morning and D's voting disproportionately in the evening?
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ExSky
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« Reply #648 on: November 03, 2020, 03:04:26 PM »
Trumpers in here trying their weak attempts at scaring the rest of us 😂😂😂. It isn’t gonna work. The country is burying Trump in votes right now.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #649 on: November 03, 2020, 03:04:33 PM »
Colorado Election Day update

Democrats at 99% of their returned ballots (will definitely exceed their 2016 total in the next couple days as the last ballots come in)
Independents, who lean D in CO, returned their ballots at 118% (!) of their 2016 total.
Republicans only at 87% of their 2016 total. Very unlikely to hit 100%

We're pretty much guaranteed to get a double digit Biden win out of CO with these numbers.
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