2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2

[Rep Jessica]

FLORIDA


5,210,532 votes cast (mail + in-person EV)

Democratic: 2,262,736 (43.4%)
Republican: 1,873,912 (36.0%)
NPA/Other: 1,073,884 (20.6%)

Dem lead decreases to 388,824

~504,920 ballots were processed today

[Rep Jessica]

ET Breaking News
@breaking_et
·
13m

El Paso County, TX


In 2016, a total of 210,955 ballots were cast in the General Election.

As of now, 156,737 people have voted so far.

75% turnout from 2016

[Rep Jessica]

https://mobile.twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1320035870838325250
Ok this is bad. This is supposed to be souls to the polls weekend time

Starting to like what I am seeing!!!! I really doubt the opinions of the Florida voters have changed since 2018 and Trump is probably favored. That is the honest truth.

[Rep Jessica]

Andrew Bond
@AndrewBond3
·
16m
As of 4PM EST

In Florida there is a total of 5,595,759

There is currently
2,400,868 D ballots 42.91% (+155,836)
2,033,242 R ballots 36.34% (+177,472)
1,093,268 NPA ballots 19.54% (+97,463)
68,381 O ballots 1.22% (+5,909)

D+367,626 returns (-21,636)

% of RV
D 45.27%
R 39.34%

[Rep Jessica]

Two counties have now broken their 2016 total vote now.

Hays and Williamson.

Quote Tweet
Contented Independent
@ContentedIndie
 · 56m
Looks like Williamson County is the first Texas county to break its total vote from 2016.

[Rep Jessica]

Really ugly numbers in Florida. Let’s see if the Obama rally this weekend can turn things around but it may be time to consider redirecting resources to GA and TX.

🤔🤔🤔

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/1320142364044906496?s=21

If this is the case then Biden is going to LOSE BOTH. Historically Florida is at least ~5% to the left of Georgia.  Florida was won by the democrats in 2008 and 2012. Georgia when that goes democratic that will be huge and Michigan 2016 like!

[Rep Jessica]

Not encouraging
(Florida tweets)

lol right on schedule

Daily Schedule for Absentee/EV Thread (all times in Eastern):
Noon - 9 PM: Gloat about Texas
9 PM - 12 AM: Freak out over Florida
12 AM - 1 AM: Freak out over Nevada

The guy has been on top of this Florida stuff as good as anyone so if he is saying it’s panic time then it’s not a good sign

It's a great sign!!! Maga!

[Rep Jessica]

@TRElections
Whoa.
 2016 and 2020 basically reversed. Remember, nearly 80% of Arizona voters voted by mail in the 2018 general election. In 2016, nearly 69% of Arizona voters voted by mail. There may not be a huge general election in person surge for Republicans. AZ has a long VBM history
Quote Tweet
The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru
@Garrett_Archer
 · 29m
Just about to put the kid down, but this is worth a tweet.

Maricopa County:
2016 - all early ballots returned prior to election day:
Total: 1,025,703
R: 421,566
D: 327,546
O: 276,591

2020 - Early ballots
Total: 1,064,013
R: 379,435
D: 421,241
O: 263,337

Have a good night.

[Rep Jessica]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/status/1320828588820697088?s=21 Y’all were so mad this morning when I said a 50k day was in store.
I’m

308,000 lead for the democrats
7 more full days (Tue, wed, thurs, friday, sat, sun, mon) of 50,000 republican
50,000 x 7 = 350,000 votes for In person for the republican party if we continue days like this!
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/htmlview?pru=AAABdWY-2lM*RELmuWopShoDq9-h3Bl_Tw#

So that means that republicans have a chance at pulling ahead even with the mail vote advantage the democrats had. lol

[Rep Jessica]

UMichVoter
@umichvoter99
50% of registered dems have now voted in Florida

that is 2,648,984 voters

[Rep Jessica]

Texas Early voting party breakdown according to MSNBC:

Democrats: 37%
Republicans: 54%
Other: 10%

[Rep Jessica]

6,658,366 have now voted in Florida, which is more than the pre election day total in 2016 (6,607,004)

[Rep Jessica]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/status/1321155340902301697

Florida in-person EV Day 9 (2:10 PM UPDATE)

Rep 78,518  (+35,335)
Dem 43,183
NPA/Other 36,905
Total 158,606

Cumulative total

Rep 1,254,287  (+350,490)
Dem 903,797
NPA/Other 533,621
Total 2,691,705

[Rep Jessica]

Anyone want to give me a no-bullsh**t assessment of Nevada so I can go to sleep?

Are Dems actually in trouble?

Are Republicans gonna be able to steal it due to late VBM ballots?

Is Ralston for real or is he just screwing with us?

I am seeing signs that this election will be quite close and we'll be waiting late into the night to find out who wins. Nevada could be closer then it has been in a long time and NC and Florida will go to Trump!

[Rep Jessica]

FL. D lead down to 221k. More than half way to 200k since the morning. On target to reach 200k by end of the day. I'll update the graph next hour— au ng (@athein1) October 28, 2020

[Rep Jessica]

Florida VOTE-BY-MAIL (3:30 PM UPDATE)

Democratic: 1,928,569  (+625,663)
Republican: 1,302,906
NPA/Other: 941,189
Total 4,172,664

UNRETURNED BALLOTS:
Democratic: 752,478  (+185,507)
Republican: 566,971
NPA/Other: 503,435
Total: 1,822,884

https://tinyurl.com/y2wulups

[Rep Jessica]

Different tune from last night:

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1321609718607958017?s=20

A sign that his base is coming out big time! Hopefully they can overpower the democratic base.

[Rep Jessica]

FLORIDA

Votes Cast:
Democratic: 3,083,486  (+169,291)
Republican: 2,914,195
NPA/Other: 1,676,716

Total: 7,674,397

Registered voters who have NOT voted yet:
NPA/Other: 2,292,887
Republican: 2,254,817 (+35,049)
Democratic: 2,219,768

Total: 6,767,472

[Rep Jessica]

Florida VOTE-BY-MAIL (8:50 PM UPDATE)

Democratic: 1,989,021  (+635,732)
Republican: 1,353,289
NPA/Other: 987,291
Total 4,329,601

UNRETURNED BALLOTS:
Democratic: 692,708  (+175,296)
Republican: 517,412
NPA/Other: 457,696
Total: 1,667,816

https://tinyurl.com/y2wulups

[Rep Jessica]

ichael McDonald
@ElectProject
·
1m
More CO reg Dems have now voted (779K) than the Election Day mail ballot report in 2016 (753K). There were actually slightly more reg Reps who voted in 2016, but they are currently about 150K shy of their 2016 total

[Rep Jessica]

Florida in-person EV Day 12 (4:40 PM UPDATE)

Rep 113,440  (+46,590)
Dem 66,850
NPA/Other 62,926
Total 243,216

Cumulative total

Rep 1,723,817  (+522,888)
Dem 1,200,929
NPA/Other 793,907
Total 3,718,653

https://tinyurl.com/y2wulups

[Rep Jessica]

FLORIDA


8,223,936 votes cast

Democratic: 3,252,647 (39.6%)
Republican: 3,138,373 (38.2%)
NPA/Other: 1,832,916 (22.2%)

Dem margin decreases to 114,274

~395,500 ballots were processed today

[Rep Jessica]

Vote-By-Mail
Democratic: 2,033,800  (+641,787)
Republican: 1,392,013
NPA/Other: 1,023,952
Total: 4,449,765

In-Person EV
Republican: 1,746,360  (+527,513)
Democratic: 1,218,847
NPA/Other: 808,964
Total: 3,774,171

Turnout at 57% statewide -->

[Rep Jessica]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/status/1322961850267504640

Florida in-person EV Day 14 (12:40 PM UPDATE)

Rep 26,181  (+2,187)
Dem 23,994
NPA/Other 20,679
Total 70,854

Cumulative total

Rep 1,910,621  (+561,502)
Dem 1,349,119
NPA/Other 926,401
Total 4,186,141

https://tinyurl.com/y2wulups