Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[Sestak]

Looking promising!

https://twitter.com/JoyceWhiteVance/status/940681439737188352

Well, there goes me not getting my hopes up. They're up.

Also, +940 is on the 2016 totals? Or just 940 votes??

[Sestak]

What's the turnout like in Moore favored counties?

No real idea.

[Sestak]

"Jones is ahead"

"Jones is screwed"

"Jones is ahead"

"Jones is screwed"

"Jones is ahead"

"Jones is screwed"

"Jones is ahead"

"Jones is screwed"

[Sestak]

Nate Silver, Troll-in-Chief of FiveThirtyEight:

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@NateSilver538
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Wow, hearing lots of reports of high turnout in areas that confirm my priors.
1:39 PM - 12 Dec 2017

[Sestak]

It's all over

https://twitter.com/MillieBonham/status/940688177446182912





(lol)

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

[Sestak]

It's all over

https://twitter.com/MillieBonham/status/940688177446182912





(lol)

oy vey

Wait, the numbers don't even add up lmao.

Best troll ever.

[Sestak]

Can someone post the exits here? I know I shouldn't be paying any heed to them, but...I want to see them.

[Sestak]

One MSNBC Exit Poll Question

Moore allegations are....
Probably/Definitely True- 49% (26 Probably/23 Definite)
Probably/Definitely False- 45% (29 Probably/16 Definite)

Link?

I'm watching it live...  Sorry

Another one was which Party would you rather be in control of the Senate

51% GOP, 43% Democrats

FORTY THREE PERCENT DEMOCRATS?!?!?!?!?!?!?!

[Sestak]

This looks like a narrow Jones victory...

The fat lady isn't even on stage yet. Be cautious.

[Sestak]

The "Time of Decision" may actually be good for Moore?? Or good for Jones because his supporters wouldn't have to think twice?? Unsure.

The "Which party should control Senate" is AMAZING for Jones.

[Sestak]

CNN exit poll: 49% of Alabama voters believe allegations against Moore are true.

"True" or "Probably True"? Important distinction.

[Sestak]

MSNBC Democratic Favorability 44/52....

WHAT?!

[Sestak]

Moore campaign rn...

Dont jinx it dude.

[Sestak]

Ugh. These exits feel too good to be true.

[Sestak]

LOL:

That's...higher than I expected.

CNN: 55% unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore

I can't imagine many people with a favorable opinion of Moore voting against him (I could imagine the reverse), so I think that says that Moore will get at least 45% of the vote.

Is 45 the favorable though? Or is there a noncommital portion of the poll?

[Sestak]

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.

40% pro-choice in ALABAMA??

WITFIGO???

[Sestak]

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.

40% pro-choice in ALABAMA??

WITFIGO???

I meant to say 54% are pro-choice. Poor wording

WHAAAAAT?!

[Sestak]

CNN: 55% unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore

I can't imagine many people with a favorable opinion of Moore voting against him (I could imagine the reverse), so I think that says that Moore will get at least 45% of the vote.

Do CNN opinion polls have other/don't know options? That would Moore actually would register in the low 40s, not 45 on favorability.

42, according to someone above.

[Sestak]

Also 40 pro-choice/54 anti-abortion makes more sense.

But not that much more, it's still much higher than I'd expect from Alabama.

[Sestak]

So if Jones wins is this the end of Bannon?

We can only hope.

Also, I left the "not getting hopes up" train a couple of hours ago.

[Sestak]

In regards to the pro-life and pro-choice number, I would take into consideration that more Democrats and moderates are likely turning out, so this is probably not entirely accurate

But if that's an accurate slice of the turnout today, it's huge.

[Sestak]

CNN Exit poll says that the electorate is 65% White, 30% Black.

...

How does that compare with a normal election?

[Sestak]

CNN Exit poll says that the electorate is 65% White, 30% Black.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/AL/president/


was 68/28 in 2012.

Wait. So higher than Obama levels?

[Sestak]

These polls are WAY too good to be true.

[Sestak]

Solution to the late-night elections dilemma is always the same: move to West Coast.