Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread
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  Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread
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Poll
Question: Who will win?
#1
Roy Moore (R)
 
#2
Doug Jones (D)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 189

Author Topic: Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread  (Read 126985 times)
Holmes
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« Reply #850 on: December 12, 2017, 05:13:39 PM »

One MSNBC Exit Poll Question

Moore allegations are....
Probably/Definitely True- 49% (26 Probably/23 Definite)
Probably/Definitely False- 45% (29 Probably/16 Definite)

That's worse than most polls for Moore.  This could be a disaster.

On a side note, are there any Clinton-Moore voters?  Who would they be??

I'm sure there are but you'd have to look really hard to find them.
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« Reply #851 on: December 12, 2017, 05:13:42 PM »

Well good thing my GIF failed
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RFKFan68
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« Reply #852 on: December 12, 2017, 05:13:56 PM »

CNN: 55% unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore
Whoa!
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #853 on: December 12, 2017, 05:14:10 PM »

LOL:

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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #854 on: December 12, 2017, 05:14:41 PM »

CNN: 55% unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore

I can't imagine many people with a favorable opinion of Moore voting against him (I could imagine the reverse), so I think that says that Moore will get at least 45% of the vote.
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« Reply #855 on: December 12, 2017, 05:15:08 PM »

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.
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« Reply #856 on: December 12, 2017, 05:15:13 PM »

One MSNBC Exit Poll Question

Moore allegations are....
Probably/Definitely True- 49% (26 Probably/23 Definite)
Probably/Definitely False- 45% (29 Probably/16 Definite)

That's worse than most polls for Moore.  This could be a disaster.

On a side note, are there any Clinton-Moore voters?  Who would they be??
A 93 year old white woman who wanted to vote for a woman before she died and knew it wouldn't change the statewide outcome? LOL.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #857 on: December 12, 2017, 05:15:36 PM »

I'm sure it's already been alluded to by several and I posted both figures, but:

AL GOP Favorability: 43%
AL Dem Favorability: 44%
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« Reply #858 on: December 12, 2017, 05:15:46 PM »

Is it true Jones has a +5 favorability?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #859 on: December 12, 2017, 05:15:52 PM »

One MSNBC Exit Poll Question

Moore allegations are....
Probably/Definitely True- 49% (26 Probably/23 Definite)
Probably/Definitely False- 45% (29 Probably/16 Definite)

That's worse than most polls for Moore.  This could be a disaster.

On a side note, are there any Clinton-Moore voters?  Who would they be??

I can’t even begin to imagine a Clinton-Moore voter.
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riceowl
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« Reply #860 on: December 12, 2017, 05:15:57 PM »

Per the exits Alabama voters have a higher favorability of the Democratic Party than Roy Moore. What world is this?
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« Reply #861 on: December 12, 2017, 05:16:07 PM »

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.
Black Alabamians are pro-life and Jones was going to get 90 percent of them regardless.
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InheritTheWind
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« Reply #862 on: December 12, 2017, 05:16:10 PM »

Early exits almost always skew left. That said, holy moly these do not look good for Moore.
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Sestak
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« Reply #863 on: December 12, 2017, 05:16:17 PM »


That's...higher than I expected.

CNN: 55% unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore

I can't imagine many people with a favorable opinion of Moore voting against him (I could imagine the reverse), so I think that says that Moore will get at least 45% of the vote.

Is 45 the favorable though? Or is there a noncommital portion of the poll?
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Hydera
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« Reply #864 on: December 12, 2017, 05:16:39 PM »

CNN: 55% unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore


Which means even with unfavorable but still voting for moore voters its gonna be 0-4% tossup.
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Sestak
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« Reply #865 on: December 12, 2017, 05:16:50 PM »

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.

40% pro-choice in ALABAMA??

WITFIGO???
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TexArkana
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« Reply #866 on: December 12, 2017, 05:17:08 PM »

CNN: 55% unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore

I can't imagine many people with a favorable opinion of Moore voting against him (I could imagine the reverse), so I think that says that Moore will get at least 45% of the vote.
Well obviously. Jones winning by 10%+ was never possible.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #867 on: December 12, 2017, 05:17:37 PM »

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.
Black Alabamians are pro-life and Jones was going to get 90 percent of them regardless.

54-40 which way- and how was the question phrased?
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riceowl
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« Reply #868 on: December 12, 2017, 05:17:43 PM »


That's...higher than I expected.

CNN: 55% unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore

I can't imagine many people with a favorable opinion of Moore voting against him (I could imagine the reverse), so I think that says that Moore will get at least 45% of the vote.

Is 45 the favorable though? Or is there a noncommital portion of the poll?

42% fave
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« Reply #869 on: December 12, 2017, 05:17:48 PM »

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.

40% pro-choice in ALABAMA??

WITFIGO???

I meant to say 54% are pro-choice. Poor wording
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #870 on: December 12, 2017, 05:17:54 PM »

I mean, the Virginia exit polls scewed right so who knows.
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Santander
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« Reply #871 on: December 12, 2017, 05:18:05 PM »

One MSNBC Exit Poll Question

Moore allegations are....
Probably/Definitely True- 49% (26 Probably/23 Definite)
Probably/Definitely False- 45% (29 Probably/16 Definite)

That's worse than most polls for Moore.  This could be a disaster.

On a side note, are there any Clinton-Moore voters?  Who would they be??

I can’t even begin to imagine a Clinton-Moore voter.

Alabamian small businessman who got burned by Trump.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #872 on: December 12, 2017, 05:18:16 PM »

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.

40% pro-choice in ALABAMA??

WITFIGO???

I meant to say 54% are pro-choice. Poor wording

You should fix that.
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Sestak
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« Reply #873 on: December 12, 2017, 05:18:37 PM »

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.

40% pro-choice in ALABAMA??

WITFIGO???

I meant to say 54% are pro-choice. Poor wording

WHAAAAAT?!
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #874 on: December 12, 2017, 05:18:44 PM »

Conventional wisdom tells us Moore should have no issue winning this race.
Though for some reason, it feels like there's more at stake here than say, GA-06.

The stakes are unbelievably higher. Ossoff winning would have been a symbolic victory. Jones winning is the death of the tax bill and a much easier 2018 map.
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