Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[Tartarus Sauce]

CNN: 55% unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore

I can't imagine many people with a favorable opinion of Moore voting against him (I could imagine the reverse), so I think that says that Moore will get at least 45% of the vote.

Do CNN opinion polls have other/don't know options? That would mean Moore actually would register in the low 40s, not 45 on favorability.

[MAINEiac4434]

Alabama 2020 swing state status confirmed.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Wow, so the Democrats have a higher favorability than the GOP in ALABAMA

[Rookie Yinzer]

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.

Black Alabamians are pro-life and Jones was going to get 90 percent of them regardless.

54-40 which way- and how was the question phrased?

Should abortion remain legal?

Yes- 40
No- 54

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I'm not sure if this was posted above, but

Opinion of the Democratic Party: 44/52
Trump Approval: 48/48

[Adam Griffin]

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.

40% pro-choice in ALABAMA??

WITFIGO???

I meant to say 54% are pro-choice. Poor wording

WHAAAAAT?!

Nope: 54% say it should be illegal; 40% say it should be legal

[DrScholl]

Not going to read much into the exit polls, because they don't always indicate what the actual result will be. I will say that the electorate so far is a lot less right-leaning than normal for Alabama. It's looking a lot more like Indiana, Missouri or perhaps even Kansas on a poor day for Republicans.

[BudgieForce]

Conventional wisdom tells us Moore should have no issue winning this race.
Though for some reason, it feels like there's more at stake here than say, GA-06.

The stakes are unbelievably higher. Ossoff winning would have been a symbolic victory. Jones winning is the death of the tax bill and a much easier 2018 map.

Dont get ahead of yourself there. Republicans can very well rush the tax bill before Strange leaves.

[Sestak]

CNN: 55% unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore

I can't imagine many people with a favorable opinion of Moore voting against him (I could imagine the reverse), so I think that says that Moore will get at least 45% of the vote.

Do CNN opinion polls have other/don't know options? That would Moore actually would register in the low 40s, not 45 on favorability.

42, according to someone above.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Sorry it's 54% pro life... my bad. Still a high number of pro-choicers in Alabama

[100% pro-life no matter what]

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.

Black Alabamians are pro-life and Jones was going to get 90 percent of them regardless.

54-40 which way- and how was the question phrased?

Should abortion remain legal?

Yes- 40
No- 54

That could suggest conservatives staying home too or that conservatives are still at work and will vote after 5?

[Kantakouzenos]

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.

40% pro-choice in ALABAMA??

WITFIGO???

I saw a poll a while ago showing a majority of White Working class People consider themselves to be pro-choice rather than pro-life, so I'm not surprised (although it wasn't Alabamians in general).  

[The Other Castro]

Trump approval being at 48-48 could be very big if this is representative. This I think points to Jones winning.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Did they poll Jones's favorability?

[Yank2133]

CNN is reporting that the Moore campaign is seeing high turnout from "white, rural" voters....

This is exactly what Gillespie's campaign said before they got pummeled.

Yeah, but it turned out to be true. Ed got destroyed in the suburbs, college towns, and NOVA. But he maintained high support in the rural areas.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

So if Jones wins is this the end of Bannon?

[Sestak]

Also 40 pro-choice/54 anti-abortion makes more sense.

But not that much more, it's still much higher than I'd expect from Alabama.

[Adam Griffin]

[Sestak]

So if Jones wins is this the end of Bannon?

We can only hope.

Also, I left the "not getting hopes up" train a couple of hours ago.

[Holmes]

Early exits almost always skew left. That said, holy moly these do not look good for Moore.

Do They? Old voters always show up to vote first.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

BOOM

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

So if Jones wins is this the end of Bannon?

God, I hope so.

[TheSaint250]

In regards to the pro-life and pro-choice number, I would take into consideration that more Democrats and moderates are likely turning out, so this is probably not entirely accurate

[Stranger in a strange land]

40/54 believe that abortion should remain legal so I don't think Moore's "anti-life," "anti-baby," propaganda worked.

40% pro-choice in ALABAMA??

WITFIGO???

I saw a poll a while ago showing a majority of White Working class People consider themselves to be pro-choice rather than pro-life, so I'm not surprised (although it wasn't Alabamians in general).  

A lot of people hold conflicted, contradictory views on abortion that aren't accurately captured by either the pro-life or pro-choice label.

[Doimper]

Exits are beyond terrible for Moore/Republicans.

If Jones wins by a comfortable margin, IceSpear is going to have to take out an accolades mortgage on his home to pay off what he'll owe you.