Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[BG-NY]

The Election is a yr away and Rs aren't gonna crack the 304 blue wall anyways, our want insurance seats are to keep the H, and Rs on newsnax and Fox news keep praising Proud Boys

Ryan and Demings and hopefully Kanderess candidate  Kunce instead of Beasley whom endorsed the Filibuster can win, OH and FL are tied

Why do you want Oh to go dem and GA to go GOP so badly? I don't understand. Did you prefer the coalitions from the 90s-00s to the present day? Keep in mind Bill Clinton also won GA and lost FL once.

[BG-NY]

IA-Selzer

9/12-9/15 (changes from June)
31% approve (-12)
62% disapprove (+10)

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2021/09/21/president-joe-biden-job-approval-rating-plunges-after-afghanistan-covid-surge/8378224002/

This state is so gone for Democrats it’s not even funny. Could see it voting 15-16 points to the right of the nation in 2024 (it was 11 points more R than the nation in 2020).

Yikes!

[BG-NY]

Eventually things have to turn around, right?

[BG-NY]

38 is unbelievable, probably as much of an outlier as a poll showing Biden in the high 40s. It's been obvious for a while Biden has settled into the 41-45 zone for approvals.

[BG-NY]

Tim Ryan, a dime store DLC dem, has none of the appeal of Sherrod Brown. He's going to lose by 10.

[BG-NY]

News flash he is tied with Josh Mandel in the last poll, he won't lose by 10 keep dreaming, Josh Mandel isn't well liked by Afro Americans like Kasich he lost badly to Sherrod Brown in 2012, I'd you remember

Mandel isn't going to be the nominee, Vance will be. Also, Kasich is probably one of the only republicans who could lose now.

IA and OH are safe R, AZ and GA are safe D. Trends are real.

[BG-NY]

Didn't Trump and Irtman win in 2016 by 10 and 20 points and Sherrod Brown won bye 6% over Renacci, and Renacci was a better candidate than Vance or MANDEL

It's wave insurance but if we want Brown to win in 2024/ then we better win OH, We lost Mahoning County to Trump that's why we lost OY in 2020/ where are Brown and Ryan from Youngstown and Akron bingo

Prez Obama is our secret weapon he is gonna campaign for us, he helped us win GA Sen in 2021/ and GA Sen was Safe R before 2021, Obama will campaign I'm states that Biden isn't that popular and OH, PA, MI, WO Obama saved Gavin Newsom

But, it's wave insurance, if we want to expand our H majority near 230 we must win OH, NC and FL we are gonna keep the Senate with the 304 nap

Brown only won by 6% because (1) Mandel pulled out a week before the filing deadline so the state party was screwed (2) it was a very dem-friendly environment. With the realignment of more educated voters to the Dems, it's possible they can hold water in midterms, but likely it will be a blowout.

GA Sen was always going to be lean D because the Senate R's didn't pass the 2k checks. Also, Newsom didn't need any saving - Elder is a moron who opposes the minimum wage.

The only chance of Dems holding the House is if Covid disappears.

[BG-NY]

GA want safe D R Pollster like Sir Woodbury had Loeffler and Collins winning and so did Trafalgar

Trafalgar is only accurate in the Midwest. It's awful in the South.

[BG-NY]

Quinnipiac and Ipsos are both outliers. Take the average.

[BG-NY]

I haven't checked RCP so I don't know how Biden is performing. That said, he was dealt a bad hand. Covid is not his fault.

[BG-NY]

Biden is probably low-mid 50s on RCP. People are panicking over nothing.

[BG-NY]

Listening to the news and scrolling through social media, you'd think his approval rating is in the 20s.

Same thing under Trump

True. Let's hit the breaks with Biden. He's only -9.5 on RCP it turns out. That isn't terrible. If Covid recedes and he gets back to 45+ he's not in bad shape.

[BG-NY]

I think this is the bottom. It can only get better.

[BG-NY]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1450844147582214149?s=20

https://twitter.com/KCCINews/status/1450791676168089600?s=20

One of the replies:

https://mobile.twitter.com/larrybwildin/status/1450802798476529664

Imagine caring more about approval among foreigners than Americans…

[BG-NY]

-4 since last month in Fox News, which has been left-leaning. Yikes!

[BG-NY]

lol

[BG-NY]

ARG economic survey (monthly), Oct. 17-20, 1100 adults including 992 RV

Adults:

Approve 47 (-3)
Disapprove 47 (+1)

RV:

Approve 47 (-4)
Disapprove 48 (+2)

FWIW, it's also all-time low for Biden in ARG.

Wow. Is the bottom coming out for Brandon?

[BG-NY]

Unlike many I do want Biden to succeed. He is the third best president of my lifetime so far, and I think some forces are trying to ruin his term.

[BG-NY]

Not trolling, but I seriously don’t buy these approvals. Might be nonresponse bias.

Because there’s no way that Biden should be comparable to Trump on RCP given the A vs RV vs LV biases for D/R and the systemic advantage in the EC for the GOP.

The media has begun to turn on Biden. Maybe they just want blood.

It’s kind of funny actually. I remember there was data on how much coverage was positive on cable and network news of recent presidents. People pointed to Obama and said the media was biased in favor of Dems. Actually, they only were biased in favor of Obama (and very briefly Bush 43 after 9/11). Since then they have dragged presidents through the mud, Biden included.

[BG-NY]

Well pbower2A it's gonna be an RH and a DS,, it's not gonna be a Secular Trifecta, Manchin said today he doesn't support carve out to Debt Ceiling Filibuster meaning no VR reform, he dies support the Prez using the 14tu Amendment to increase the Debt Ceiling on his own

Even if the VR Reform passed it had to get pass a 5/4 Conservative Cry even with Kennedy in 2017/ supported Gerrymandering

Roberts is probably the only Justice, he is a Maverick not a Liberal he doesn't support all liberal policies would he the only one Conservative to support VR anyways Gorsuch has been very clear on his policies

Laws passed by Congress, signed into Law and gotjry Judicial Review, this is a 6/3, Conservative Crt not Liberal Crt, you do realize that

When is the last time you would support a republican?

[BG-NY]

lol no one got killed except 4 0eople unfortunately

What? I don't think I'm taking you out of context here, but this sounds inappropriate.

[BG-NY]

Once Biden gets over 50/ BigSerg will disappear again

What if he doesn't? He might, but he might not.

[BG-NY]

What’s going on?

[BG-NY]

Biden's presidency is over from a political standpoint (due to no fault of his own), but he should try and get as much done before he is a literal lame duck in January 2023. His heart is (mostly) in the right place.

[BG-NY]

Biden's presidency is over from a political standpoint (due to no fault of his own), but he should try and get as much done before he is a literal lame duck in January 2023. His heart is (mostly) in the right place.

What, do you realize what his NPVI was in 20 it was 50/45 not 60/40, the Rs are slightly favs in the H and D's are slightly Favs in the S Biden is leading in WI by 4 pts and Kaine is gonna win VA in 2024 the worst case scenario is RH and DS and DPrez 2023/25

Rs are still underdogs in S stop going by daily tracking polls and it's a yr til Election

These are politicians they all break promised when they get in office no matter what party they are

I lived in Chicago Mayor Daley broke promises every 4 yrs but got reelected and so did Obama, break promised he had 59 votes and didn't get rid of Filibuster except for Obamacare and he could got DC Statehood

Biden’s approvals now are low 40s on average, with >50% disapproval. Not every poll is an outlier.

Trump was also 47% in the 2018 exit polls and 50% in the 2020 exit polls, and his party lost both elections. Food for thought.