Washington state megathread

[Alcon]

R-71 maps (click for larger version)

Kitsap


Spokane

[Alcon]

Clallam

[Alcon]

Skagit (I'm now suppressing precincts with very few votes)

[Alcon]

Grant

[Alcon]

Chelan

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

What's the strong yes precinct running across the north of Chelan?

[Meeker]

What's the strong yes precinct running across the north of Chelan?

Alcon can correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe that precinct includes Holden Village, a liberal Lutheran church retreat type place. It's kind of difficult to describe exactly what it is.

[Alcon]

Yeah...although Holden's south of Lake Chelan, Meeker's right about the explanation.  Result wasn't especially impressive; Obama won 36-4-2 and R-71 only won 17-9.

The green precinct northeast of Chelan is Azwell, which had 9 votes, and is essentially a predictable turnout of 3 Democrats, 3 Republicans and 3 libertariany swing voters.  It's noise.

Walla Walla is trying to charge me $25 because they have "technical problems" with uploading a spreadsheet, screw 'em.  I've finished everywhere else though (except King's release tomorrow)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

So is it ELCA territory? That makes me proud.

[Meeker]

So is it ELCA territory? That makes me proud.

Website seems to indicate so: http://www.holdenvillage.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=257&Itemid=197

[Alcon]

King County (with Pierce County splits where appropriate)
Algona: 48.73%
Auburn: 48.15%
Beaux Arts Village: 73.38%
Bellevue: 64.23%
Black Diamond: 44.18%
Burien: 60.96%
Carnation: 55.60%
Clyde Hill: 62.18%
Covington: 48.99%
Des Moines: 56.42%
Duvall: 55.12%
Enumclaw: 45.49%
Federal Way: 50.67%
Hunts Point: 60.54%
Issaquah: 64.94%
Kenmore: 63.52%
Kent: 51.34%
Kirkland: 66.49%
Lake Forest Park: 72.96%
Maple Valley: 47.85%
Medina: 63.42%
Mercer Island: 70.46%
Newcastle: 59.66%
Normandy Park: 58.38%
North Bend: 55.63%
Pacific: 46.35%
Redmond: 65.28%
Renton: 55.76%
Sammamish: 61.92%
SeaTac: 53.44%
Seattle: 83.72%
Shoreline: 68.34%
Skykomish: 47.83%
Snoqualmie: 60.32%
Tukwila: 58.12%
Woodinville: 59.55%
Yarrow Point: 64.80%

Those are better performances than Obama in Beaux Arts Village, Bellevue, Clyde Hill, Hunts Point, Issaquah, Kirkland, Medina, MeCrcer Island, Sammamish and Yarrow Point.  They all have one thing in common:  Rich.  The Seattle performance was impressive, and not especially far behind Obama.

R-71 lost three Seattle precincts:  A locally-conservative precinct full of Asians in the International District (28-36), a minority-heavy Rainier View precinct (53-67), and a Northgate retirement home precinct (119-125).  All of the single-digit margin precincts were in the Rainier Valley, especially the working-class+black Dunlap neighborhood.

Aside from a 9-0 precinct, R-71's best performances were at two Capitol Hill precincts, where it won 180-1 and 160-1.  R-71 broke 95% at 41 Seattle precincts.

Neighborhood results for Seattle, and hopefully maps, soon.

[Alcon]

Seattle neighborhoods by % Approve.  In parenthesis are the number of Approve votes for every Reject vote.

Broadway: 95.88% (23.3)
Stevens: 94.10% (16)
Fremont: 92.95% (13.2)
Eastlake: 92.75% (12.8)
North Stevens: 92.75% (12.8)
North Broadway: 92.54% (12.4)
Wallingford: 92.05% (11.6)
Madrona: 91.80% (11.2)
Phinney Ridge: 91.36% (10.6)
Meridian: 90.51% (9.5)
West Woodland: 89.93% (8.9)
Portage Bay: 89.77% (8.8)
Montlake: 89.61% (8.6)
Central District: 89.46% (8.5)
West Queen Anne: 89.24% (8.3)
Ravenna: 88.86% (8)
Madison Valley: 88.78% (7.9)
University District: 88.71% (7.9)
Lower Queen Anne: 87.84% (7.2)
Sand Point: 87.55% (7)
Whittier Heights: 87.42% (7)
Westlake: 87.33% (6.9)
Roosevelt: 87.18% (6.8)
South Lake Union: 87.18% (6.8)
First Hill: 87.16% (6.8)
Green Lake: 86.90% (6.6)
East Queen Anne: 86.86% (6.6)
Ballard: 86.73% (6.5)
North Queen Anne: 86.56% (6.4)
Mount Baker: 86.53% (6.4)
Bryant: 86.46% (6.4)
Denny-Blaine: 86.23% (6.3)
Belltown: 86.20% (6.2)
Leschi: 86.14% (6.2)
Greenwood: 86.02% (6.2)
Wedgwood: 85.53% (5.9)
Downtown: 85.50% (5.9)
Loyal Heights: 85.45% (5.9)
Atlantic: 84.78% (5.6)
Denny Regrade: 84.69% (5.5)
Maple Leaf: 84.40% (5.4)
North Delridge: 84.33% (5.4)
Hawthorne Hills: 84.29% (5.4)
Meadowbrook: 83.84% (5.2)
Georgetown/Beacon Bluff: 83.12% (4.9)
Interbay/Gilman: 82.97% (4.9)
West Seattle Junction: 82.57% (4.7)
Columbia City: 82.50% (4.7)
Fairmount Park: 82.31% (4.7)
Pioneer Square: 82.00% (4.6)
North College Park: 81.97% (4.5)
Seward Park: 81.90% (4.5)
Roxhill: 81.80% (4.5)
Matthews Beach: 81.72% (4.5)
Gatewood: 81.62% (4.4)
Sunset Hill: 81.36% (4.4)
Seaview: 80.97% (4.3)
North Beacon Hill/SoDo: 80.59% (4.2)
View Ridge: 80.59% (4.2)
Laurelhurst: 80.48% (4.1)
Windermere: 80.41% (4.1)
Lawton Park: 80.36% (4.1)
Victory Heights: 80.23% (4.1)
North Admiral: 79.65% (3.9)
High Point: 79.54% (3.9)
Cedar Park: 79.10% (3.8)
Crown Hill: 79.06% (3.8)
Southeast Magnolia: 78.83% (3.7)
Genesee: 78.75% (3.7)
North Beach/Blue Ridge: 78.13% (3.6)
Fauntleroy: 77.97% (3.5)
Alki: 77.83% (3.5)
Broadview: 77.60% (3.5)
Bitter Lake: 77.30% (3.4)
Madison Park: 77.22% (3.4)
Olympic Hills: 77.04% (3.4)
Briarcliff: 75.55% (3.1)
Haller Lake: 75.45% (3.1)
Riverview: 74.39% (2.9)
Arbor Heights: 73.41% (2.8)
Highland Park: 72.73% (2.7)
Pinehurst: 72.13% (2.6)
South Delridge: 71.77% (2.5)
Rainier Beach: 69.72% (2.3)
South Park: 68.85% (2.2)
Mid Beacon Hill: 68.80% (2.2)
Brighton/NewHolly: 66.41% (2)
Dunlap: 64.71% (1.8)
International District/Yesler Terrace: 64.37% (1.8)
Rainier View: 62.19% (1.6)
South Beacon Hill/Holly Park: 61.87% (1.6)

[Alcon]

Final results by CD (I'll probably get more results as I crack suppressed precincts):

1st: 59.15%
2nd: 51.24%
3rd: 47.07%
4th: 35.20%
5th: 38.48%
6th: 52.02%
7th: 81.97%
8th: 53.84%
9th: 50.11%

[Meeker]

It did better in the 8th then the 6th or 9th? Makes sense, but still weird.

[ottermax]

Wow, no wonder it feels so pro gay-rights here, Issaquah is even stronger than Bellevue. Probably thanks to new development.

The 8th is definitely more supportive of it than the 6th or 9th. The Eastside is wary of taxes, but is very socially liberal. Drugs, sex, gay marriage, civil liberties, you name it; this is probably the most non-religious and least socially conservative suburban area in the country. Plus the 8th includes a large chunk of rural King and Pierce County, so the Eastside must have supported r71 by nearly 60%.

Eastern Washington really sucked.

[Alcon]

Wow, no wonder it feels so pro gay-rights here, Issaquah is even stronger than Bellevue. Probably thanks to new development.

The 8th is definitely more supportive of it than the 6th or 9th. The Eastside is wary of taxes, but is very socially liberal. Drugs, sex, gay marriage, civil liberties, you name it; this is probably the most non-religious and least socially conservative suburban area in the country. Plus the 8th includes a large chunk of rural King and Pierce County, so the Eastside must have supported r71 by nearly 60%.

Eastern Washington really sucked.

Yep, it did pretty well in Issaquah Highlands, especially in the condo-heavy area.

The Issaquah swing was a combination of two things.  First, a really strong performance in that rich hilly area where all the streets are named after mountains (is there an official name for it so I don't sound dumb? ) and then -- believe it or not -- a big, ~20-point swing at Providence Point.

[RI]

First, a really strong performance in that rich hilly area where all the streets are named after mountains (is there an official name for it so I don't sound dumb? )

Squak Mountain?

[Ogre Mage]

Wow, no wonder it feels so pro gay-rights here, Issaquah is even stronger than Bellevue. Probably thanks to new development.

The 8th is definitely more supportive of it than the 6th or 9th. The Eastside is wary of taxes, but is very socially liberal. Drugs, sex, gay marriage, civil liberties, you name it; this is probably the most non-religious and least socially conservative suburban area in the country. Plus the 8th includes a large chunk of rural King and Pierce County, so the Eastside must have supported r71 by nearly 60%.

A relative of mine worked for Dow Constantine's campaign and spent time contacting swing and independent voters on the Eastside.  He was struck by how strongly pro-choice the area was.  While pro-choice doesn't necessarily = pro-gay rights, the Bellevue/Redmond/Issaquah/Medina results don't surprise me.

[Stranger Than Fiction]

First, a really strong performance in that rich hilly area where all the streets are named after mountains (is there an official name for it so I don't sound dumb? )

Squak Mountain?

That would be it - although I'm unaware of an official area/subdivision name.  Mostly consisting of older middle-class neighborhood, with some very affluent folks on the summit (over 1000 ft).  Its one of those areas that the strong performance by Kerry and Obama kinda surprised me.

[Stranger Than Fiction]

Wow, no wonder it feels so pro gay-rights here, Issaquah is even stronger than Bellevue. Probably thanks to new development.

The 8th is definitely more supportive of it than the 6th or 9th. The Eastside is wary of taxes, but is very socially liberal. Drugs, sex, gay marriage, civil liberties, you name it; this is probably the most non-religious and least socially conservative suburban area in the country. Plus the 8th includes a large chunk of rural King and Pierce County, so the Eastside must have supported r71 by nearly 60%.

Eastern Washington really sucked.

Your observation is correct.  The Eastside, which I consider as the area south and east of the Snohomish-King County Line to SR900/I-90, certainly fits these characteristics.  It has a strong libertarian lean - free market and pro-trade, very socially liberal folks who also happen to be quite pro-gun rights.  As a former Republican turned Libertarian, the Eastside is one of the few areas of the country that fit this description.

[bgwah]

Wow, no wonder it feels so pro gay-rights here, Issaquah is even stronger than Bellevue. Probably thanks to new development.

The 8th is definitely more supportive of it than the 6th or 9th. The Eastside is wary of taxes, but is very socially liberal. Drugs, sex, gay marriage, civil liberties, you name it; this is probably the most non-religious and least socially conservative suburban area in the country. Plus the 8th includes a large chunk of rural King and Pierce County, so the Eastside must have supported r71 by nearly 60%.

Eastern Washington really sucked.

My precinct in Sammamish >70% approve on R-71 and >70% no on I-1033. I was pleasantly surprised.

[Ogre Mage]

Relations between Arkansas and Washington state seem to have broken down over the Maurice Clemmons incident:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/03/us/03tacoma.html

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2010400203_shootingdoc02m.html

[Meeker]

University Place City Councilwoman Jean Brooks died this morning after a ten year battle with cancer. She had served since the city's creation in 1995 and also served as Chair of the Pierce County Democratic Party a few years ago. I knew her personally and must say that this is a terrible loss. Jean was a wonderful woman.

On a related note that I'm not sure if I'd posted or not, Puyallup City Councilman George Dill died of a heart attack a few weeks ago after just being re-elected in a tough fight.

[Alexander Hamilton]

RIP Jean Brooks

[Alcon]

King R-71


Seattle R-71 zoom


As usual, the two super-dark red precincts (one around Southcenter Mall and one around the Kent Valley) aren't interesting, just very low-vote.  (Same with the precinct at the south of Lake Sammamish)