Mississippi 2015 Megathread

[7,052,770]

County map sources?

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2015/by_county/MS_Governor_1103.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[gespb19]

Baria losing early...ugh

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Okay, a full 1% of the vote is finally in:

AgCo: Smith (R) leading 56-42
AttGen: Hood (D) leading 62-38
Auditor: Pickering (R) leading 60-38
Gov (2% in): Bryant (R) leading 63-36
Lt. Gov. (2% in): Reeves (R) leading 53-42
Treasurer: Fitch (R) leading 77-23

[ElectionsGuy]

Hood looks like he'll do fine, 61-39 while Governor race is 65-33

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Agriculture Commissioner - General
48 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 3%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hyde-Smith, Cindy (i)   GOP   4,186   56%
Green, Addie   Dem   3,168   42%
Toole, Cathy   RP   150   2%

Attorney General - General
58 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 3%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hood, Jim (i)   Dem   5,689   61%
Hurst, Mike   GOP   3,689   39%

Auditor - General
54 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 3%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Pickering, Stacey (i)   GOP   4,969   56%
Pritchett, Jocelyn   Dem   3,698   42%
Walley, Lajena   RP   149   2%

Governor - General
63 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 3%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Bryant, Phil (i)   GOP   7,407   63%
Gray, Robert   Dem   4,128   35%
O'Hara, Shawn   RP   168   1%

Lieutenant Governor - General
58 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 3%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Reeves, Tate (i)   GOP   5,090   54%
Johnson, Tim   Dem   3,880   42%
Williams, Ron   Lib   218   2%
Williams, Rosa   RP   154   2%

Secretary of State - General
58 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 3%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hosemann, Delbert (i)   GOP   4,972   53%
Graham, Charles   Dem   4,007   43%
Walker, Randy   RP   353   4%

Treasurer - General
53 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 3%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Fitch, Lynn (i)   GOP   5,601   74%
McFarland, Viola   RP   1,919   26%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

First call of the night. No surprise here:

Treasurer - General
113 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 6%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Fitch, Lynn (i)   GOP   14,985   78%  WINNER
McFarland, Viola   RP   4,189   22%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Agriculture Commissioner - General
119 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 7%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hyde-Smith, Cindy (i)   GOP   15,202   60%
Green, Addie   Dem   9,706   38%
Toole, Cathy   RP   595   2%

Attorney General - General
153 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 8%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hood, Jim (i)   Dem   19,749   56%
Hurst, Mike   GOP   15,681   44%

Auditor - General
143 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 8%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Pickering, Stacey (i)   GOP   19,086   63%
Pritchett, Jocelyn   Dem   10,893   36%
Walley, Lajena   RP   417   1%

Governor - General
196 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 11%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Bryant, Phil (i)   GOP   32,277   68%
Gray, Robert   Dem   14,320   30%
O'Hara, Shawn   RP   801   2%

Lieutenant Governor - General
174 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 10%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Reeves, Tate (i)   GOP   24,639   59%
Johnson, Tim   Dem   15,104   36%
Williams, Ron   Lib   1,101   3%
Williams, Rosa   RP   774   2%

Call #2

Secretary of State - General
153 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 8%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hosemann, Delbert (i)   GOP   21,489   61% WINNER
Graham, Charles   Dem   12,758   36%
Walker, Randy   RP   1,253   4%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The Governor's race has been called

Governor - General
262 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 14%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Bryant, Phil (i)   GOP   43,000   67%  WINNER
Gray, Robert   Dem   19,729   31%
O'Hara, Shawn   RP   1,013   2%

[7,052,770]

42 is losing in DeSoto County, but only by 12.

For comparison, Hood is losing by 33 there. Bryant is winning by 59.

For 42 to win, it's got to run way ahead of the Democrat vote there.

[Del Tachi]

Init42 failing 56/44 in DeSoto with 10/39 precincts reporting.  Splitting even in Hancock, Lauderdale.  "No" will likely post large margins in the NE, based on Tishomingo, Itawamba results.  Also failing 56/44 in Madison, only 1 precinct though.  

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Agriculture Commissioner - General
274 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 15%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hyde-Smith, Cindy (i)   GOP   39,054   62%
Green, Addie   Dem   22,810   36%
Toole, Cathy   RP   1,506   2%

Attorney General - General
303 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 17%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hood, Jim (i)   Dem   40,037   55%
Hurst, Mike   GOP   33,366   45%

Auditor - General
295 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 16%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Pickering, Stacey (i)   GOP   45,845   66%
Pritchett, Jocelyn   Dem   22,567   32%
Walley, Lajena   RP   1,064   2%

Lieutenant Governor - General
315 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 17%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Reeves, Tate (i)   GOP   46,983   61%
Johnson, Tim   Dem   27,520   35%
Williams, Ron   Lib   1,866   2%
Williams, Rosa   RP   1,226   2%

[Gass3268]

What is I-42?

[Ebsy]

Things haven't turned against Hood... yet.

[7,052,770]

What is I-42?

Currently, the legislature is required by law to fund public education in Mississippi adequately. There is a formula (MAEP) that defines "adequate." Even though it's the law, the legislature has only met the required funding level twice in 20 years. That's allowed since the Mississippi Constitution gives the legislature the final say in what education funding will be. No one can take the legislature to Court, even though our schools (among the worst in America) are continually underfunded.

Initiative 42 allows the chancery court system the jurisdiction to review education funding decisions to make sure they follow the law. If the legislature continues to underfund education, there will be lawsuits.

Initiative 42A is a trick initiative which has similar wording, but still leaves the final decision in the hands of the legislature -- no judicial review. There's no real reason to pass it because it doesn't really change anything. It's just another hurdle to prevent 42 from passing.

To pass, "Yes" must beat "No", "42" must beat "42A", and "42" must be selected on at least 40% of the total ballots statewide. This could be an issue if a lot of people don't understand and leave the second question blank.

[gespb19]

Kinda stunned at the the results for 42 in NE Mississippi.

[7,052,770]

Kinda stunned at the the results for 42 in NE Mississippi.

It's actually running a little ahead of Obama 2012 up there. #Istillbelieve

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Call #4,5,6:

Lieutenant Governor - General
418 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 23%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Reeves, Tate (i)   GOP   66,884   61% WINNER
Johnson, Tim   Dem   38,724   35%
Williams, Ron   Lib   2,581   2%
Williams, Rosa   RP   1,638   1%

Agriculture Commissioner - General
408 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 23%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hyde-Smith, Cindy (i)   GOP   64,314   62% WINNER
Green, Addie   Dem   37,733   36%
Toole, Cathy   RP   2,374   2%

Auditor - General
413 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 23%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Pickering, Stacey (i)   GOP   69,268   65% WINNER
Pritchett, Jocelyn   Dem   35,610   33%
Walley, Lajena   RP   1,530   1%


--------------

Attorney General - General
413 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 23%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hood, Jim (i)   Dem   59,344   55%
Hurst, Mike   GOP   48,346   45%

[ElectionsGuy]

Bryant really running up the margin against Gray. Damn. Looks like Hood is running 24 points ahead (!), he's secure.

[gespb19]

Not looking good for Lauren Childers.

[/]

Do you guys have the best website?

[Del Tachi]

Calling it now, "No" will win the first question. 

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Amendment - Education Funding - General
Education Funding
472 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 26%
Name   Votes   Vote %
Against   66,667   53%
Approval   59,263   47%

Amendment - EducationFundingAlternative - General
EducationFundAlt
472 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 26%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
42   Oth   57,834   58%
42A   Oth   41,774   42%

Attorney General - General
555 of 1811 Precincts Reporting - 31%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Hood, Jim (i)   Dem   87,049   54%
Hurst, Mike   GOP   73,846   46%

[Del Tachi]

Not looking good for Lauren Childers.

She's only trailing by 800 raw votes, and I think what's been reported is the Booneville precincts.  She should do better in the rural county precincts.  

[7,052,770]

Calling it now, "No" will win the first question. 

No votes from Rankin, Harrison, or the white parts of Madison at all yet. But if they follow a similar pattern to DeSoto and "Yes" runs 23 points ahead of Robert Gray, then I like 42's chances.

[gespb19]

Nothing from Hinds either.