2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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  2020 Poll Hype Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191580 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« on: March 08, 2020, 11:06:25 PM »
Probably they'll release the Michigan poll tomorrow night. I hope they poll Idaho and North Dakota too, just to give some idea what's happening there.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2020, 06:26:48 PM »
They've already released half of the poll, and it has Trump's approval falling from 43-51 to 42-54, so Biden's lead will probably increase slightly from the last poll (which was +9).

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_060220/
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: July 15, 2020, 01:07:50 PM »
Damn I hope they meet the goals. High quality, non partisan polls in KS and ME would be fantastic.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2020, 02:20:14 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on July 22, 2020, 02:08:42 PM


Question is whether they're finishing them up to send to OANN or not...
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: September 12, 2020, 06:57:51 AM »
My god, the samples on these are ridiculous. Biden will be lucky to not be behind in all four states.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2020, 08:41:35 PM »
Probably Biden +2-3 in the NYT/Sienna poll. Disgusting stuff, but what do you expect? Looking forward to this rag going out of business once Biden’s president.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2020, 09:45:27 PM »
Looks like Nate Cohn is going to keep polling Pennsylvania until he gets better numbers for Trump.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2020, 03:35:25 PM »
I absolutely would not trust Nate Cohn to accurately poll Alaska.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: October 10, 2020, 10:36:05 PM »
« Edited: October 10, 2020, 10:41:10 PM by Lief 🐋 »
it’s happening

What do you guys think this is? Like a Biden +20 national NBC/WSJ poll? Or Graham losing by 5 points?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2020, 10:19:14 PM »
Predictions:

National: Biden +4
Georgia: Trump +1
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2020, 08:04:58 PM »
Clinton's numbers crashed over the next few days four years ago. If the election were held two weeks earlier she would have won!
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2020, 05:15:26 PM »
What's the point of being a gold standard poll if your last poll is done like a week and a half before election day??
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2020, 12:57:19 PM »
NYT/Siena was horrible in Texas in 2018. Their district polls regularly showed huge leads for Republicans in seats that ended up being very close.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2020, 01:10:45 PM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on October 24, 2020, 12:59:17 PM
If even Barack Obama could not unite the country after George W. Bush, does anyone really believe Joe Biden would be able to do so after Donald Trump?
Yes. Obama was a black, you see, and therefore 40-45% of the country hated him.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2020, 03:30:07 PM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on October 24, 2020, 01:21:10 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on October 24, 2020, 01:10:45 PM
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on October 24, 2020, 12:59:17 PM
If even Barack Obama could not unite the country after George W. Bush, does anyone really believe Joe Biden would be able to do so after Donald Trump?
Yes. Obama was a black, you see, and therefore 40-45% of the country hated him.

No. Biden is an old, angry, white, cis-male, you see. Therefore 40-45% of the Democratic Party already hates him.

Uhhh??
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2020, 04:57:07 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on October 24, 2020, 04:53:39 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on October 24, 2020, 03:30:07 PM
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on October 24, 2020, 01:21:10 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on October 24, 2020, 01:10:45 PM
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on October 24, 2020, 12:59:17 PM
If even Barack Obama could not unite the country after George W. Bush, does anyone really believe Joe Biden would be able to do so after Donald Trump?
Yes. Obama was a black, you see, and therefore 40-45% of the country hated him.

No. Biden is an old, angry, white, cis-male, you see. Therefore 40-45% of the Democratic Party already hates him.

Uhhh??



Add the Sanders vote and arguably the Bloomberg vote to boot. That take is embarrassing at this stage.

Lol yeah I didn't even think of that. Old white cis-males won a combined 85% of the primary vote and 97% of the delegates.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2020, 11:27:18 AM »
Do we actually have confirmation Selzer is coming out tomorrow? I think people have just been guessing.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2020, 11:09:51 AM »
Should presumably also get some CBS/YouGov polls. And hopefully another round of Fox state polls?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2020, 07:21:42 PM »
My god... sounds like the Siena polls are going to be ugly too.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2020, 08:26:10 PM »
Silver is as scared as the rest of us. You know he’s out of a job if Trump wins again right? He’s trying to calm himself down but you can tell he’s terrified.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2020, 09:20:18 PM »
Wow, it's really happening again...
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #21 on: October 31, 2020, 09:48:00 PM »
Sounds like some really bad Texas polls tomorrow...
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2020, 07:01:30 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 01, 2020, 06:51:33 PM
Quote from: tagimaucia on November 01, 2020, 05:42:34 PM
Is there really not going to be a final ABC/Wapo national poll this year? The gold standard for national polling IMO, and the state polling they seem to have done instead seems of rather questionable quality in comparison.

They can still release one tomorrow...

I feel like it will probably come out tonight at midnight.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2020, 09:58:26 PM »
Looks like those are the last Data for Progress polls? No Maine or Montana are ominous signs (though they did release bad KS and SC polls so who knows).
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