2020 Poll Hype Thread

[SaneDemocrat]

Way less polls than I would have expected.No fox polls last night.My theory is that a lot of these people don’t want to be wrong.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Way less polls than I would have expected.No fox polls last night.My theory is that a lot of these people don’t want to be wrong.

Many pollsters will wait for final releases either this weekend or Monday.

[redjohn]

Way less polls than I would have expected.No fox polls last night.My theory is that a lot of these people don’t want to be wrong.

I feel like we've gotten a pretty big number of polls the past couple of days. Maybe Fox drops some final polls this weekend.

[Bojack Horseman]

Don’t mind that air mattress in the corner, I’m going to be living on Atlas for the next four days.

[Landslide Lyndon]

We got many polls but a big chunk of them was from trash pollsters and left a bad taste in the mouth.

[Bootes Void]

Any NYT/Siena polls today?

[wbrocks67]

Any NYT/Siena polls today?

They said they had 4 more so I was assuming they would do Fri, Sat, Sun, Mon, unless they are dumping them all at the same time on like Sun or Mon

[Gass3268]

Any NYT/Siena polls today?

They said they had 4 more so I was assuming they would do Fri, Sat, Sun, Mon, unless they are dumping them all at the same time on like Sun or Mon

This is what he said last night: "Next: NYT/Siena final wave, including in Pennsylvania. More on that soon."

[Lief 🗽]

Do we actually have confirmation Selzer is coming out tomorrow? I think people have just been guessing.

[forza nocta]

https://twitter.com/emersonpolling/status/1322217824782266375?s=21

Oh God

[SnowLabrador]

So Selzer should come out with a poll over the weekend; just got that ping from the DMR on my computer. If Trump and/or Ernst are leading, that will confirm that Iowa is indeed the next Missouri.

[Gass3268]

So Selzer should come out with a poll over the weekend; just got that ping from the DMR on my computer. If Trump and/or Ernst are leading, that will confirm that Iowa is indeed the next Missouri.

IOWA POLL!

https://twitter.com/brianneDMR/status/1322221986194620417?s=20

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/emersonpolling/status/1322217824782266375?s=21

Why don't you just go away and disappear Emerson?

[Skye]

So Selzer should come out with a poll over the weekend; just got that ping from the DMR on my computer. If Trump and/or Ernst are leading, that will confirm that Iowa is indeed the next Missouri.

IOWA POLL!

https://twitter.com/brianneDMR/status/1322221986194620417?s=20

We stan our Queen J. Ann Selzer.

[Buzz]

Inject Super Poll Sunday in my veins

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1322220876520136704

[mark_twain]

Added Today:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/


N.C.      
OCT 25-28, 2020
A+
Marist College
800   LV   
Biden   
52%
Trump
46%
   
Biden   +6

N.C.      
OCT 25-28, 2020
A+
Marist College
1,049   RV   
Biden   
51%
Trump   
46%

Biden   +5


I think NC is now looking very good for Biden.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Selzer - IA: Trump +2
Landmark - GA: Trump +3

[VAR]

IA-Selzer:
50-48 Trump
48-47 Ernst

[mark_twain]

Added Today:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/


Pa.      
OCT 28-29, 2020
B
Public Policy Polling*
1,012   V   
Biden   
52%
Trump   
45%

Biden   +7


Fla.      
OCT 28-29, 2020
B
Public Policy Polling*
941   V   
Biden   
52%
Trump
45%
   
Biden   +7

[GeorgiaModerate]

Added Today:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/

(snip)

Please don't post published poll results in this thread; there's an entire subforum for those.  This thread should be for announcements/discussion of forthcoming polls.

(And I agree with you that NC is looking good for Biden.)

[redjohn]

Selzer is the last big poll I'm interested in. Probably the last data point that will shape many of our predictions.

[Buzz]

Landmark(GA): Trump +1

Selzer(IA): Trump +3

[ProgressiveModerate]

Selzer is the last big poll I'm interested in. Probably the last data point that will shape many of our predictions.

Why is everyone so obsessed with this Selzer poll?

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Selzer is the last big poll I'm interested in. Probably the last data point that will shape many of our predictions.

Why is everyone so obsessed with this Selzer poll?

People overestimate the predictive value of a pollster rated A+ on 538 vs a pollster rated B.

Edit: Particularly when you're talking about just one poll. It matters more on an aggregate scale.