2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

https://twitter.com/TylerDinucci/status/1323718340594917376?s=19

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Biden at almost 30% in NE Indiana County Hillary only got 23% in.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Is Georgia looking good or bad?

Good to me. Augusta and Savanah still have a bunch out.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

So based on the numbers above Biden needs ~68% of the remaining Georgia ballots. He's been consistently getting above 70%.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Even if Philly has "only" 170k votes left, that's probably enough for at least a 140k lead for Biden which would reduce Trump's margin to about 26k. Plenty left elsewhere to erase that. Biden probably does better in Pennsylvania than Wisconsin and Michigan.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Yeah I expect Biden to take the lead in Georgia but there'll be a recount so it won't be called. Still a 10k-20k lead is unlikely to be erased.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Its actually hilarious how Dems start trashing Cubans as greedy trash once they decide to swing one way after they nearly voted for Clinton in 2016.  You do realize these are one of the most elastic groups of voters in atleast a relatively close state?
Why not try winning them instead of trashing them?

That's what Joe Biden will try to do.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Idiocracy just wasn't a good movie. The premise had potential but it wasn't very well executed.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Apparently I heard from reddit that Biden outperformed Ilhan Omar by 16 points in her district, can anyone confirm this?

Yes.

https://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/results/Index?ErsElectionId=136&scenario=StateFedCongressional&DistrictId=560&show=Go

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Apparently I heard from reddit that Biden outperformed Ilhan Omar by 16 points in her district, can anyone confirm this?

Yes.

https://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/results/Index?ErsElectionId=136&scenario=StateFedCongressional&DistrictId=560&show=Go

It's even worst than that, he outperformed her by 24 points lol

....no? 80-64=16

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Apparently I heard from reddit that Biden outperformed Ilhan Omar by 16 points in her district, can anyone confirm this?

Yes.

https://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/results/Index?ErsElectionId=136&scenario=StateFedCongressional&DistrictId=560&show=Go

It's even worst than that, he outperformed her by 24 points lol

....no? 80-64=16

Going to bet that the underperformance was mainly in the suburban parts of MN-05 + Kenwood/Southwest Minneapolis, but I could be wrong.

Not really. For example Biden got 91% in my precinct and she got 81%, a 10 point underperformance. Less than district-wide but still notable.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Holy crap is Arizona done!?!?

Who's saying this?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

https://twitter.com/RepKinzinger/status/1324503564891414528

LOL it's quite something to see Republicans suddenly seem to wake up.

Of course it's really just because they know he's lost and is a liability so they're happy to throw him under the bus now. They knew all along he was terrible and stood by and enabled that. They're trying to start pivoting away from him now, nobody should buy it.

To be fair Kinzinger is a relatively sane Republican...but yes this is definitely true of the party as a whole.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1324521104539439105?s=19

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I see two trolls quoting each other a lot in blue "ignored" blocks and when I hit quote in posts quoting them...yep.

Guys please stop replying to SN and MATTROSE and just report their spamming.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Trump will still win. He has upper hand if he wins AZ

No he doesn't. That's obvious nonsense. He's getting obliterated in PA and is now the underdog in GA

legal challenges.

You've gotta be a bot.

Stop replying to him and start hitting report.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

WASSERMAN HAS SEEN ENOUGH:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324551130244853766?s=20

Then why hasn't MSNBC/NBC called it?  I thought he was part of their decision desk.

1-Networks don't call when someone is behind (why they haven't called PA yet, watch as they almost instantly do when Biden takes the lead.)
2-GA will still be in recount territory.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I’m not too proud of my state (KY trended SLIGHTLY against Trump, but not nearly as much as I hoped).

But I AM proud of my county. Biden’s win of about 60% here in Fayette is the greatest of any candidate since Reagan in 1984. I think the greatest for any Democrat ever.

FDR?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

https://twitter.com/HKrassenstein/status/1324772686866849793?s=19

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Hearing a report that the Biden campaign actually requested that networks not call any remaining state until his lead is above 0.5%.

Still doesn't explain Nevada though....

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Hearing a report that the Biden campaign actually requested that networks not call any remaining state until his lead is above 0.5%.

Link?

Hearing a report that the Biden campaign actually requested that networks not call any remaining state until his lead is above 0.5%.

Need a link for this BS.

General social media/Reddit chatter so take it with the applicable amount of salt. Kind of makes sense though, the Biden campaign would want a firm lead and not appearing like the media is trying to cover for them or something.  But who knows.

PA might actually be waiting until it's mathematically impossible for Trump to take the lead again. Nate Silver already demolished the nonsense about the provisionals.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Do you think it's possible that they're not calling Nevada yet because that would force Fox into a call, meaning they would be calling the election first. Fox cannot call Nevada because they know they probably jumped the gun on Arizona. The minute they all call Arizona I can see them all calling Nevada very quickly after across the board, so they're all calling at a similar time and keeping their viewership.

Idk if it’s necessarily because Fox jumped the gun on AZ; they have more precinct data than CNN and us which goes a long way when you have vague counties like Maricopa. CNN just doesn’t have the data to be able to call AZ, and they can’t call it based on FOX’s call since they don’t know if they jumped the gun or not.

Nate Silver says that while Fox's initial call was too soon he thinks there's enough in to justify it now. Fox and AP used a different data set than most networks that included detailed precinct breakdowns so it's easy to see why they got an earlier determination.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

So in regards to those Georgia military ballots...

https://twitter.com/travisakers/status/1324868110529277958?s=19

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

https://twitter.com/johnkruzel/status/1324879933710233600?s=20

That's a crazy spin since this was already requested and was being done, none have been counted yet despite their request to stop it and it's a negligee amount anyway. They didn't get anything. From Alito as well.