Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Matty]

A NH poll today has him -10 in the state

Rasmussen has him -11

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

It's an outlier, but ooof. The fun thing is they had Trump at 41/54 in their last poll of him on Jan 12-15.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Biden’s approval will remain crappier than it otherwise would have been for as long as the Kabul crisis is ongoing, and a few weeks after that. This could affect 2021 a bit, but I doubt it goes any further (although the pre-Afghanistan withdrawal decline was the end of the honeymoon period and will endure).

[wbrocks67]

Funny how non-response bias was always used against Trump polls when he had a 'scandal' but not for BIden right now. Clearly what could be going on.

41/55 is ridiculous, as is -10 in NH. His approval has clearly taken a hit but these are just extreme and outliers.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Funny how non-response bias was always used against Trump polls when he had a 'scandal' but not for BIden right now. Clearly what could be going on.

41/55 is ridiculous, as is -10 in NH. His approval has clearly taken a hit but these are just extreme and outliers.

Wbrocks disregarding polls that differ from his accepted narrative..

Never changes.. you would think you'd learn.

[wbrocks67]

Funny how non-response bias was always used against Trump polls when he had a 'scandal' but not for BIden right now. Clearly what could be going on.

41/55 is ridiculous, as is -10 in NH. His approval has clearly taken a hit but these are just extreme and outliers.

What? That's a massive leap. Nonresponse bias is generally evidenced by shifts in party identification, and is an issue because party ID != party identification. Unless you can show crosstabs that show that skewing, then this argument is moot.

What's worrying for Biden is the drop with independents (again, we'll need to see if this drop is because people identifying as democrats are parking as independents), and that drops in handling of Covid and the Economy are greater than drops on foreign policy.

Biden isn't at 41% approval, but I don't think anybody would argue he's closer to that than to 50%.

How is that a massive leap? We saw all the time arguments when Trump's approval plummeted to like 35% that Republicans just weren't participating in polls moreso bc the news was so bad for Trump. I don't see why they couldn't apply here.

[wbrocks67]

Funny how non-response bias was always used against Trump polls when he had a 'scandal' but not for BIden right now. Clearly what could be going on.

41/55 is ridiculous, as is -10 in NH. His approval has clearly taken a hit but these are just extreme and outliers.

Wbrocks disregarding polls that differ from his accepted narrative..

Never changes.. you would think you'd learn.

The facts are that a 41/55 approval is out of step with every other poll we've gotten, so idk what you're trying to dispute here.

Just as a -10 approval for a state he won by 7.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Welp, Biden is done for.

[wbrocks67]

Welp, Biden is done for.

Yep, much like when Trump's approval exceeded -20 on average!

[MR DARK BRANDON]

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1430188515334238210?s=19

Garbage poll

[MT Treasurer]

Virginia - Future Majority/Change Research (D): Approve +1 (50/49)

https://futuremajority.org/wp-content/uploads/FM-Memo-August-23-2021-FL-VA-Freedom-and-Democracy.pdf

This is getting funny really quick.

[wbrocks67]

Virginia - Future Majority/Change (D): Approve +1 (50/49)

https://futuremajority.org/wp-content/uploads/FM-Memo-August-23-2021-FL-VA-Freedom-and-Democracy.pdf

This, however, coming from a D pollster is... not good.

[S019]

Virginia - Future Majority/Change Research (D): Approve +1 (50/49)

https://futuremajority.org/wp-content/uploads/FM-Memo-August-23-2021-FL-VA-Freedom-and-Democracy.pdf

This is getting funny really quick.

Yeah Biden is clearly underwater right now, I think -15 is still a bit excessive, but I can easily see -10 or so, this is more proof that the Afghanistan withdrawal should have never happened.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

The question is….is he finished or can he recover?

[GeorgiaModerate]

The question is….is he finished or can he recover?

He can recover. 

[MT Treasurer]

A NH poll today has him -10 in the state

Here’s the link, in case anyone is interested:

https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/667/

And again....

NH men: 31% Approve, 65% Disapprove (-34)
NH women: 56% Approve, 44% Disapprove (+12)

[MR DARK BRANDON]

The question is….is he finished or can he recover?

It’s a garbage poll, he’s at 50% not 41%

[wbrocks67]

A NH poll today has him -10 in the state

Here’s the link, in case anyone is interested:

https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/667/

And again....

NH men: 31% Approve, 65% Disapprove (-34)
NH women: 56% Approve, 44% Disapprove (+12)

[/b]

lmao wut. that's a.... very high gender gap

[wbrocks67]

The question is….is he finished or can he recover?

He can recover. 

Yeah, people seem to forget all the times we had hoped Trump was finished bc he fell to like 36/58, only for him to rise up again to like 41/49. Which is still underwater, but going from like -22 to -7 is a big deal obviously

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

A NH poll today has him -10 in the state

Here’s the link, in case anyone is interested:

https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/667/

And again....

NH men: 31% Approve, 65% Disapprove (-34)
NH women: 56% Approve, 44% Disapprove (+12)

[/b]

lmao wut. that's a.... very high gender gap

MT Treasurer was onto something when he said angry NH women propel the democratic party!

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, people seem to forget all the times we had hoped Trump was finished bc he fell to like 36/58, only for him to rise up again to like 41/49. Which is still underwater, but going from like -22 to -7 is a big deal obviously

You're clearly apoplectic right now. It's going to be okay.

It's called.. data analyzation. Too hard for you to comprehend I guess

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Yeah, people seem to forget all the times we had hoped Trump was finished bc he fell to like 36/58, only for him to rise up again to like 41/49. Which is still underwater, but going from like -22 to -7 is a big deal obviously

You're clearly apoplectic right now. It's going to be okay.

It's called.. data analyzation. Too hard for you to comprehend I guess

I recall that your unskewing, I mean analysis, in 2020 was quite successful.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Among RV/LV.

[S019]

Among RV/LV.

When you've lost 538...

Must've killed Nate that he couldn't amplify poll effects or national effects to get his desired result.

Oh well, the more time Nate spends on shoddy analysis of politics, the less time he spends on even worse analysis of sports.

lol, you are not the clown you are the entire circus. 538 is not some biased firm where Nate Silver tries to exaggerate his polling averages to make Democrats look more popular, lol. It's a data analytics site, and Biden being underwater is pretty accurate based on the data that we have. Also Pepperidge Farm remembers when Nate Silver tried to add uncertainty factors into his 2020 forecast to inflate Republican odds, so this is a really ignorant comment.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

The question is….is he finished or can he recover?

It’s a garbage poll, he’s at 50% not 41%

I presume you're being facetious?