NYT LIVE POLL THREAD:
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Poll
Question: How would you rate the NYT/Siena House polls methodology
#1
A: Freedom Methodology		  
#2
B		  
#3
C		  
#4
D		  
#5
F: Horrible Methodology		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 139

Author Topic: NYT LIVE POLL THREAD:  (Read 137241 times)
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #200 on: September 08, 2018, 06:55:45 PM »
Quote from: YE on September 08, 2018, 06:52:10 PM
Wait so based on a poll of 9 voters so far according to one person here it means Miller has this? Only on Atlas.

11 people, not 9.

Ojeda is ahead by 3 points now with a margin of error of only 30 points. So at this point it looks likely D.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #201 on: September 08, 2018, 06:59:10 PM »
« Edited: September 08, 2018, 07:02:22 PM by new_patomic »
Quote from: Cruz Will Win 👁 on September 08, 2018, 06:55:45 PM
Quote from: YE on September 08, 2018, 06:52:10 PM
Wait so based on a poll of 9 voters so far according to one person here it means Miller has this? Only on Atlas.

11 people, not 9.

Ojeda is ahead by 3 points now with a margin of error of only 30 points. So at this point it looks likely D.
Only 30?

Add that to 538 already! What is Nate waiting for?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #202 on: September 08, 2018, 06:59:37 PM »
Quote from: DTC on September 08, 2018, 06:55:44 PM
Quote from: john cage bubblegum on September 08, 2018, 06:54:22 PM
Umm...apparently the 10th WV-03 respondent disapproves of Trump, wants to see Dems take the House, and is going to vote for Miller.  Family member of hers?

Didn't know Solid lives in WV

Sounds more like Jeppe, lol.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #203 on: September 08, 2018, 07:01:25 PM »
OJED +18 BLUE TSUNAMI
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #204 on: September 08, 2018, 07:05:21 PM »
Man imagine how far gone that registered dem for Carol Miller is.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #205 on: September 08, 2018, 07:06:28 PM »
I'll take a wild guess and say that these 16 people probably aren't all that representative of WV-03 as a whole

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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #206 on: September 08, 2018, 07:06:36 PM »
An incredible 70 point swing from the 2016 Presidential election!  If you apply that across all districts, Dems will win 435 House seats in November!  WOW
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #207 on: September 08, 2018, 07:07:23 PM »
OJEDA +21 BAH GAWD
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windjammer
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« Reply #208 on: September 08, 2018, 07:07:31 PM »
Could people stop overreacting? Not enough voters polled yet.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #209 on: September 08, 2018, 07:07:56 PM »
Quote from: King Louis XVI on September 08, 2018, 07:07:31 PM
Could people stop overreacting? Not enough voters polled yet.

They are being annoyingly sarcastic
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #210 on: September 08, 2018, 07:08:06 PM »
Quote from: King Louis XVI on September 08, 2018, 07:07:31 PM
Could people stop overreacting? Not enough voters polled yet.

Could it maybe be that we're just joking and having fun with it?
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #211 on: September 08, 2018, 07:08:19 PM »
Quote from: King Louis XVI on September 08, 2018, 07:07:31 PM
Could people stop overreacting? Not enough voters polled yet.

What are you talking about? It wouldn't be Atlas if we didn't indulge in overreaction.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #212 on: September 08, 2018, 07:08:42 PM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on September 08, 2018, 07:05:21 PM
Man imagine how far gone that registered dem for Carol Miller is.

Don't blame them that the Democrats became filled with SJWs. The Democratic Party left them. If only they went back to their roots with candidates like George Wallace, Strom Thurmond, and Jesse Helms, I'm sure that wonderful #populist Purple heart would once again rejoin the Democratic Party. Smiley
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #213 on: September 08, 2018, 07:10:02 PM »
Through 399 voters in MN-03, the poll looks like this:

Dean Phillips (D) 50
Erik Paulsen (R-inc) 43

I'd still wait until the poll is complete, but it won't move too much if the other live polls are to judge by.
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Doimper
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« Reply #214 on: September 08, 2018, 07:10:48 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on September 08, 2018, 07:08:06 PM
Quote from: King Louis XVI on September 08, 2018, 07:07:31 PM
Could people stop overreacting? Not enough voters polled yet.

Could it maybe be that we're just joking and having fun with it?

Polls are serious business. Absolutely no fun allowed.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #215 on: September 08, 2018, 07:11:33 PM »
Quote from: TarHeelDem on September 08, 2018, 07:08:19 PM
Quote from: King Louis XVI on September 08, 2018, 07:07:31 PM
Could people stop overreacting? Not enough voters polled yet.

What are you talking about? It wouldn't be Atlas if we didn't indulge in overreaction.

I mean, we're sad enough to be watching live polling of WV-03 (that has a 1% response rate) on a Saturday night.  We have to do something to entertain ourselves.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #216 on: September 08, 2018, 07:11:52 PM »
Ojeda down to +14! Behold the TIGHTENING!
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new_patomic
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« Reply #217 on: September 08, 2018, 07:14:12 PM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on September 08, 2018, 07:10:02 PM
Through 399 voters in MN-03, the poll looks like this:

Dean Phillips (D) 50
Erik Paulsen (R-inc) 43

I'd still wait until the poll is complete, but it won't move too much if the other live polls are to judge by.
Not surprising really.

MN-03 seems like a more Democratic IL-06.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #218 on: September 08, 2018, 07:17:09 PM »
Quote from: new_patomic on September 08, 2018, 07:14:12 PM
Quote from: ON Progressive on September 08, 2018, 07:10:02 PM
Through 399 voters in MN-03, the poll looks like this:

Dean Phillips (D) 50
Erik Paulsen (R-inc) 43

I'd still wait until the poll is complete, but it won't move too much if the other live polls are to judge by.
Not surprising really.

MN-03 seems like a more Democratic IL-06.

It isn't exactly shocking that Phillips is ahead for sure. Him being at 50 with 49% name recognition is pretty surprising though, especially since the incumbent has positive net favourables unlike IL-06.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #219 on: September 08, 2018, 07:18:31 PM »
Guys, I think even Pol Pot would do better in WV 3rd than Hillary.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #220 on: September 08, 2018, 07:19:19 PM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on September 08, 2018, 07:18:31 PM
Guys, I think even Pol Pot would do better in WV 3rd than Hillary.

*Hillary 2008
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IceSpear
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« Reply #221 on: September 08, 2018, 07:20:00 PM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on September 08, 2018, 07:18:31 PM
Guys, I think even Pol Pot would do better in WV 3rd than Hillary.

No, he's Asian.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #222 on: September 08, 2018, 07:21:21 PM »
« Edited: September 08, 2018, 07:26:07 PM by new_patomic »
Quote from: IceSpear on September 08, 2018, 07:20:00 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on September 08, 2018, 07:18:31 PM
Guys, I think even Pol Pot would do better in WV 3rd than Hillary.

No, he's Asian.
But he hated intellectuals and fake news.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #223 on: September 08, 2018, 07:21:51 PM »
Two responses back to back! Is it Christmas already?

Really I think the only logical thing to do would be to enter 500 polls each with 1 person on 538. That's really the only fair way to judge Sienna.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #224 on: September 08, 2018, 07:22:50 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on September 08, 2018, 07:20:00 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on September 08, 2018, 07:18:31 PM
Guys, I think even Pol Pot would do better in WV 3rd than Hillary.

No, he's Asian.

So was Hussein the black man (saying this as sarcasm) but he did significantly better than Hillary.
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