2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 622499 times)
Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,409
United States
« on: November 03, 2020, 02:06:23 PM »

Per CNN: Trump indicates that he doesn’t have a victory speech or concession speech prepared.

He's going to tempt the wrath of the whatever from high atop the thing.


:heart:

In my mind I am 100% certain this is Jeff Jackson, the State Senator.
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Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,409
United States
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 02:41:55 PM »

Another big question mark in Florida now is the crossover votes. It’s being hyped up that Biden is getting a nice amount of crossover votes from senior Republican voters so we’ll have to wait and see on that. I also personally believe there will be less Democratic crossover votes for Trump this year because a lot of Dixiecrats have changed their registrations to Republican since 2016.

I read somewhere, but I'm not sure of the validity. That 16% in Sumter county Republicans voted for Biden compared to 10% Dems for Trump.
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Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,409
United States
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 02:53:32 PM »

Another big question mark in Florida now is the crossover votes. It’s being hyped up that Biden is getting a nice amount of crossover votes from senior Republican voters so we’ll have to wait and see on that. I also personally believe there will be less Democratic crossover votes for Trump this year because a lot of Dixiecrats have changed their registrations to Republican since 2016.

I read somewhere, but I'm not sure of the validity. That 16% in Sumter county Republicans voted for Biden compared to 10% Dems for Trump.

If that's true then Trump has no chance of winning most of the swing states.

Well, that's Sumter county (The Villages) so the higher D->R can be attributed to elderly voters switching.
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Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,409
United States
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 05:26:13 PM »

Only 31% of Biden voters are voting for him because he's not Trump?

I thought it'd be higher
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Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,409
United States
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 05:29:48 PM »

It's not a proper exit poll unless David Dimbleby reveals it after a build up of tension and music and then totally contradicts everyone's expectations

Big Ben has hit 10' and we now project a Hung Parliament with Labour being the largest party
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Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,409
United States
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 05:31:27 PM »

Biden Official says FLORIDA IS A TOUGH LIFT?

Doesn't square up with the data we're seeing, so I'm guessing it's to lower expectations

I think they just want to lull the Trumper's into a false sense of security, if there was a real problem we wouldn't have heard about it.
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