VA Early Voting #s

[NOVA Green]

Paging Adam Griffin...

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?action=profile;u=711

Wondering if you want to weigh in?

[NOVA Green]

Side note: (And not a "Doomer"):

Been some muttering about how USPS Mail In Ballot delays might be an issue in a close election.

Any thoughts Atlas Hive?

Don't really feel like delving into the weeds of the voter TO numbers thus far, but could that potentially be a factor, especially with "Base DEM" voters who might tend to be younger and PoC that would prefer an easier method to vote (mail in ballot) vs dealing with the hassle of standing in line or dropping ballots off in official GVT Election boxes?

[NOVA Green]

Great sign for the Youngkin campaign:

https://twitter.com/davebjerke/status/1453138757331439619

Likely R

Old gray cells and all that... but doesn't Falls Church traditionally have one of the highest TO % of any place in Virginia?

For a really small town it sure gets a ton of attention and first time I went there was way back in '94 with my GF (At the time) from NoVA who was visiting an older female friend basically a block off the main road in an old town....

Falls Church TO being high is almost akin to talking about the weather in NoVA on ED....

[NOVA Green]

What’s the estimated partisan breakdown? Where’s the link to that site

Well VA doesn't have partisan registration, so we don't really know the breakdown % by party.

I'm assuming the TargetSmart model is what you're looking for in terms of estimated breakdown by party?

Not sure if they actually have a website, but believe they are quite active on Twitter.

[NOVA Green]

https://twitter.com/fairfaxvotes/status/1454590468776468487

Are these the final numbers for today?

Will we get an update on Monday and Tuesday?

[NOVA Green]

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1454410626286096386?s=20

[NOVA Green]

Ironically I haven't been paying attention to the data the past week because I've been staying in Roanoke!

Thoughts about Roanoke?

Wasserman has the the City & County for a Youngkin win at:

City benchmarked at  42% Youngkin

County benchmarked at 66% Youngkin

Roanoke County was 60-38 Trump.

Roanoke City was 62-36 Biden

Any info from a birds eye view???