Trump approval ratings thread, 1.4

[Bandit3 the Worker]

It's called a Pew Poll because PEWWW, Trump's numbers STINK!

[Dr. Arch]

Pew Research American Trends Panel: Sep. 24 - Oct. 7, 10683 adults (change from Jul/Aug)

Approve 38 (-2)
Disapprove 61 (+2)

Wow, that's ugly.

[Matty]

Gallup

44(+1)
51 (-2)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup

44(+1)
51 (-2)

This is Trump's best result in this poll since mid-June (right after his meeting with Kim Jong Un).

[LimoLiberal]

Gallup

44(+1)
51 (-2)

This is Trump's best result in this poll since mid-June (right after his meeting with Kim Jong Un).

Just in time for the midterms. Very similar to his 2016 strategy. Laying low and letting his numbers slowly rise.

[Virginiá]

Gallup

44(+1)
51 (-2)

This is Trump's best result in this poll since mid-June (right after his meeting with Kim Jong Un).

Just in time for the midterms. Very similar to his 2016 strategy. Laying low and letting his numbers slowly rise.

Hasn't helped in the GCB.

[LimoLiberal]

Gallup

44(+1)
51 (-2)

This is Trump's best result in this poll since mid-June (right after his meeting with Kim Jong Un).

Just in time for the midterms. Very similar to his 2016 strategy. Laying low and letting his numbers slowly rise.

Hasn't helped in the GCB.

Has helped bigly in the Senate.

[ON Progressive]

Gallup

44(+1)
51 (-2)

This is Trump's best result in this poll since mid-June (right after his meeting with Kim Jong Un).

Just in time for the midterms. Very similar to his 2016 strategy. Laying low and letting his numbers slowly rise.

Just ignore those Pew numbers because they don’t fit your narrative, of course.

[Brittain33]

Gallup

44(+1)
51 (-2)

This is Trump's best result in this poll since mid-June (right after his meeting with Kim Jong Un).

Just in time for the midterms. Very similar to his 2016 strategy. Laying low and letting his numbers slowly rise.

Hasn't helped in the GCB.

Has helped bigly in the Senate.

You're confused. People are saying Republicans are doing better in the Senate because of Kavanaugh and Trump activating his base. That's the opposite of laying low. Also, it's ridiculous to argue that Trump is steering his own numbers up.

[KingSweden]

I continue to find the inverse relationship between Trump approval and GCB fascinating.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

I continue to find the inverse relationship between Trump approval and GCB fascinating.

The perception of him being safe encourages people to turn out to add a congressional check on him.

[BudgieForce]

Welp, Limo's back. Guess thats my cue to start my break from the forum till after the midterms.

[KingSweden]

I continue to find the inverse relationship between Trump approval and GCB fascinating.

The perception of him being safe encourages people to turn out to add a congressional check on him.

That’s not a terrible theory, actually. Hadn’t thought of that. To be certain I think the truth of his approval lies somewhere between Pew and Gallup.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I continue to find the inverse relationship between Trump approval and GCB fascinating.

The perception of him being safe encourages people to turn out to add a congressional check on him.

That’s not a terrible theory, actually. Hadn’t thought of that. To be certain I think the truth of his approval lies somewhere between Pew and Gallup.

It seems backwards to me.  Wouldn't people who thought Trump was doing an OK job be less motivated to put a check on him than those who thought he was doing a terrible job?

I agree that the truth is likely somewhere in the middle.  It usually is.

[Virginiá]

Hasn't helped in the GCB.

Has helped bigly in the Senate.

That's a reasonable take, given where most of the competitive seats are. But it's also a really mainstream media-like view of the race, where only Congress (or worse, one chamber of Congress) matters. There are still tons of gubernatorial/statewide office races, legislative elections, local elections and obviously the House. So the GCB being where it is, is pretty bad for Republicans as a whole.

The perception of him being safe encourages people to turn out to add a congressional check on him.

The number of people who actually vote based on wanting a "check" on the president is probably a lot smaller than assumed. I'm sure they exist in non-neglible numbers, but every midterm this theme is constantly trumpeted around like voters are all well-informed, rationale people. The vast majority of Trump supporters will vote Republican for most offices and the vast majority of Democrats will vote for Democrats. Meanwhile, voters Trump has alienated will vote against Trump/Republicans not necessarily because they just want a "check" but because they don't like him anymore (or never did at all) and are punishing him and his party, and will probably vote against him in 2020 if they turn out to vote.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

I continue to find the inverse relationship between Trump approval and GCB fascinating.

The perception of him being safe encourages people to turn out to add a congressional check on him.

That’s not a terrible theory, actually. Hadn’t thought of that. To be certain I think the truth of his approval lies somewhere between Pew and Gallup.

It seems backwards to me.  Wouldn't people who thought Trump was doing an OK job be less motivated to put a check on him than those who thought he was doing a terrible job?

I agree that the truth is likely somewhere in the middle.  It usually is.

It's more of the "we like him...as long as he's gonna be restrained"...like a cute baby on a plane. They are voting for the pacifier.  

[Person Man]

I continue to find the inverse relationship between Trump approval and GCB fascinating.

The perception of him being safe encourages people to turn out to add a congressional check on him.

It's more of the "we like him...as long as he's gonna be restrained"...like a cute baby on a plane. They are voting for the pacifier. 
That’s not a terrible theory, actually. Hadn’t thought of that. To be certain I think the truth of his approval lies somewhere between Pew and Gallup.

It seems backwards to me.  Wouldn't people who thought Trump was doing an OK job be less motivated to put a check on him than those who thought he was doing a terrible job?

I agree that the truth is likely somewhere in the middle.  It usually is.

It makes since with Obama's 2010 debacle. He wasn't really that unpopular until the Fukushima thing where we thought we would double dip.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Wisconsin: PPP, Oct. 10-11, 816 RV

Approve 44
Disapprove 52

Consistent with the recent Marist and Marquette numbers.

[junior chįmp]

Gallup

44(+1)
51 (-2)

This is Trump's best result in this poll since mid-June (right after his meeting with Kim Jong Un).

Just in time for the midterms. Very similar to his 2016 strategy. Laying low and letting his numbers slowly rise.

Hasn't helped in the GCB.

Has helped bigly in the Senate.

lol...anyone who believes this is in for a disappointment on election night.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Pew Research American Trends Panel: Sep. 24 - Oct. 7, 10683 adults (change from Jul/Aug)

Approve 38 (-2)
Disapprove 61 (+2)

Wow, that's ugly.

Ugly for Trump maybe. Those numbers are beautiful to me.

[Dr. Arch]

Pew Research American Trends Panel: Sep. 24 - Oct. 7, 10683 adults (change from Jul/Aug)

Approve 38 (-2)
Disapprove 61 (+2)

Wow, that's ugly.

Ugly for Trump maybe. Those numbers are beautiful to me.

Ditto. You know what I meant. 

[Beet]

Pew Research American Trends Panel: Sep. 24 - Oct. 7, 10683 adults (change from Jul/Aug)

Approve 38 (-2)
Disapprove 61 (+2)

I'm having trouble connecting these bad national numbers for Trump with the GOP landslides in places like MN-08, TX-23, and OR-05 (including high Trump approvals). This reminds me of the 2012 election when Romney was doing well in the generic ballot, but Obama was winning the state-level polls.

[Person Man]

Pew Research American Trends Panel: Sep. 24 - Oct. 7, 10683 adults (change from Jul/Aug)

Approve 38 (-2)
Disapprove 61 (+2)

I'm having trouble connecting these bad national numbers for Trump with the GOP landslides in places like MN-08, TX-23, and OR-05 (including high Trump approvals). This reminds me of the 2012 election when Romney was doing well in the generic ballot, but Obama was winning the state-level polls.

He was co consistently behind in them the national ballot. It was a remarkably stable 2-3 point race. Romney caught up to him because Obama effed up the first debate but pulled back ahead after Sandy. Obama went on to win by just under 4.

[forgotten manatee]

It’s sad that Trump can see his approval rating tick up after mocking a sexual assault victim, but Obama suggested a white cop acted stupidly and middle America lost its god damn mind.

[Person Man]

It’s sad that Trump can see his approval rating tick up after mocking a sexual assault victim, but Obama suggested a white cop acted stupidly and middle America lost its god damn mind.

If that is the case, if our country simply sucks in 20 years, I'll know why.