Lieberman-Lamont Showdown: The Results are coming in

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Lamont 56-44

Liebermans wins by a small amrgin in November, however if the Primary margin is larger than this the General leans Lamont if Lieberman decides to run as an Independent, and if Lieberman decides to drop the Independent bid (which is a possibility if Lamont wins the Primary by 15, which is unlikely but not out of the question) than lamont wins the General going away.

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Well I just decided to check out his predictions now and noticed that. Might as well ask in the thread where I first see the prediction.

I assume this was a mistake based on 2000 numbers, instead of 2002.

more than likely 02 numbers instead of 04.  NH has 2 year terms.

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Senator Lautenberg has said that Lieberman will not run as an Independent if he loses by more than ten points in the primary.

Less than what I suggested last night.  I think Lieberman stated he would run as an Independent because if he lost he thought it would be close.  With the recent wave of polling it looks like Lamont will have a rather comfortable victory on his hands.   If Lamont does win by double digits & Lieberman doesn't run as an Independent Lamont's #'s will be close to what Clinton & Kennedy put up.  Schelsinger' might even be a worse candidate than the GOP debacle  of Faso/ Spencer & McFarland in New York

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Lamont 51.98
Lieberman 48.02
54% reporting
Lamont leading by slightly under 5700

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Despite it shrinking looks like Lamont will still win, though smaller than what  I thought

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Michael Barone per FOX has said that either Lieberman will win in a close one or Lamont will win in a close one.

Ahh Captain obvious

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damn Alcon you beat me to thee updates every time

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Its now 8400 votes, even with Hartford, it looks like a bit too much for Lieberman to make up

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Looks like Lieberman will need at least 60%, and probably 65% of the remaining votes in order to win.  Which is virtually impossible

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If Lieberman does win as an Indy, that would seriouisly injure or possibly kill the Democrats chances of taking back the Senate in 2006 and might even serve to increase the Republican majority.

It may hurt the Dems gaining the Senate, but the GOP is not going to pick up seats, not at all.

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100 preceints left, 86% reporting,  Lamont up 51.82 to 48.18 (8,725 votes)

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Lamont now up by 8880

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a little closer now 51.6 to 48.4 with 667 preceints reporting , Lamont lead cut by slightly under 1,000 to 7919.  Still looks like too little too late for Lieberman

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back up to 8600, 46 preceints left, Hartford is in went to Lamont by virtually the same margin as the state

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 Lamont up by 8,914 with 42 preceints left

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Lieberman has conceeded stated he will run as an Independent

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I don't have the lunatical hate towards Lieberman than jfern has, but  I was fully behind Lamont in the Primary, and feel that Lieberman should do what is best and step aside and back the Party candidate just like 99% of Primary losers do instead of just being selfish.

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Lamont's speech was about one of the worst "victory speeches" I've ever heard, so adolescent and juvenile, geez. 

That's the quality might end up losing him the general election, when I think he probably has a slight advantage now.  It really appears to me like he could show himself up to being an empty suit before the general commences.  I give it about a 50% chance.

jmo

Do you have a link?

No, I don't, sorry.  I'll either look for it now or tomorrow.  I imagine that it has to be up on the Web somewhere, though I don't see it on Lamont's site.

Oh well, thanks anyway.  I'll keep my eyes out for it.

C-Span carried it live they may air it again in a little bit, so if your flipping channels or nothing is on you might want to check them out

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Just updated my Senate Predictions

I think Lieberman wins this in a squeaker.  Many natinal Democrats have stated they will support the Primary winner, that along with what NYM pointed out, about many Lieberman Primary voters may switch to Lamont out of Party loyalty, I believe gives Lamont a large lead among Dems.  And I think he will also do quite well with Independents.  However, because Schlesinger is such a horrific candidate, Lieberman will do very well with Republicans, and it will be enough to put him over the edge in a very close race.  I think Lieberman will win, but by a small margin and Lamont has a very real shot at winning the General.  Of my pics, Lieberman winning the seat is my least confident.

[Smash255]

Just updated my Senate Predictions

I think Lieberman wins this in a squeaker.  Many natinal Democrats have stated they will support the Primary winner, that along with what NYM pointed out, about many Lieberman Primary voters may switch to Lamont out of Party loyalty, I believe gives Lamont a large lead among Dems.  And I think he will also do quite well with Independents.  However, because Schlesinger is such a horrific candidate, Lieberman will do very well with Republicans, and it will be enough to put him over the edge in a very close race.  I think Lieberman will win, but by a small margin and Lamont has a very real shot at winning the General.  Of my pics, Lieberman winning the seat is my least confident.

Well I already flip flopped on my pick.  Didn't think about fundraising before, which could wind up being a bit of a problem for Lieberman with no party organization

Lamont 44%
Lieberman 42%
Schlensinger 14%