2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[NOVA Green]

The exits look junky

Exits always look junky until they get adjusted as actual results come in....

[NOVA Green]

Still nothing out of IN or KY

Politico just dump some numbers from KY, as well as updating their IN numbers.

[NOVA Green]

CNN just dumped some numbers from Greene Co IN'

68-30 Trump   ~9k Votes

[NOVA Green]

Still nothing out of IN or KY

Politico just dump some numbers from KY, as well as updating their IN numbers.

Do you have the politico link?

https://www.politico.com/

[NOVA Green]

Are these absentee ballots, E-Day ballots, or a mix? NYT doesn't say...

IDK if it's EV or ED in-person, but it can't be mail-ins with that much of the counties reporting because Indiana is a strict excuse-only mail ballot state. 

I thought someone had stated previously that regarding IN we would pretty much be seeing the combo of both rather than EV vs ED reporting early/late.

[NOVA Green]

KY----

25k Total

16.2k Trump   > 6.9k

69-30 % Trump

Casey, Anderson, Greenup, and Elliott.

Anderson County currently Biden leading.

Edit: They just dumped Lewis (Not included in my topline numbers above).


https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html

[NOVA Green]

What's a good site to see live county maps? NY Times isn't showing me counties.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html

[NOVA Green]

Trump only leading 56-42 in Allen County IN with 19% Reporting....

Fort Wayne coming home...

[NOVA Green]

Montgomery County KY looking good for Biden with EV dump...

[NOVA Green]

Here we go

Me and my Spouse got out shots ready with chasers.

[NOVA Green]

Folks: RE Florida

Keep calm and don't press the panic buttons...

Tons of votes yet to be counted.

[NOVA Green]

OH numbers not bad at all for Biden in Ohio...

[NOVA Green]

Biden leading with 130k Votes in OH, and +100k D in Hamilton, and +190k in Franklin starts to tell a story, not even going into results from NE OH and Cuyahoga County...

[NOVA Green]

I'm black and I'm honestly wondering how Trump is doing better with my demographic than last time. What do these black Trump voters see in Trump? The Latino results I can at least kinda see with the whole socialism thing, but black voters?

IDK... but quite frankly IMHO looks like a major polling error in the margins, plus Trump doing slightly better among Black Men than in 2012, and HRC didn't cut it when it came to the Recession of the the '08s > '13s?

[NOVA Green]

Deschutes County, OR is blue. *unzips, finally*

Marion County is now also +5% Biden as well!!!

[NOVA Green]

Only 41% of Precincts reporting out of Milwaukee Co WI.

Racine Co, WI looks like flip zone... Brown County might well flip once the EVs come in.

Kenosha Co. looks weird...

Wisconsin looks like a likely flip regardless of whatever "facts" y'all might see on the Rightwing news media.

[NOVA Green]

According to my map here on my screen, Biden only has one path left:

WI + GA

Assuming:

Biden already has AZ, NV, ME
Trump already has PA, NC, MI

With so many early ballots to be counted, and with Biden only 120,000 behind in each state, there is a big chance for Biden to steal this at the bell.

Trump will have a meltdown unless this count gets organised quickly tomorrow.

Trump doesnt have PA and MI yet.

Yes he does

We can still stop the Dalek Invasion of Earth.

Still, this is way to close for comfort.

[NOVA Green]

Doomsters might Doom...

We still have Millions of Votes left to be Counted.

We can debate the exact numbers in MI, PA, and WI, but regardless with AZ voting DEM plus NE-02, we can hold a loss in one of those states, regardless of results in GA, NC or ME-02,

[NOVA Green]

I'm going to bed now like John King. I might be back here at 7 or 8 am Eastern after I see some more votes get counted. I've definitely been going on a bit of a posting rampage with 67 posts in the last 24 hours. See you tomorrow.

You will miss the election called for Biden while you sleep...

We can all celebrate Tomorrow!!

[NOVA Green]

Thank you, Southron Appalachian Whites! Very Cool!

Pretty Cool... can you just explain what we are looking at exactly by %?

[NOVA Green]

What is happening in Nevada? Should we be worried about that?

No NV will work out fine....

Clark and Washoe Freiwalls will hold on.

[NOVA Green]

I’ve seen enough: Biden wins WI.

Then just one more of MI, GA, PA will do it. PA will take the longest to count and may be the least likely for Biden to win. But we may not need it after all.

[NOVA Green]

Many of y'all appear to be forgetting the concept of the "Red Mirage".

PA, WI, and MI are the exact reverse of that, where once again DEM Cities in Swing States in the Midwest are the last to turn out the vote.

Keep Calm, don't panic, fundamental numbers look good in all three States (Plus we got AZ and NE-02 and possibly GA & NC as backups).

Work Swing Shift West Coast, so nowhere close to crash yet tonight.

[NOVA Green]

https://twitter.com/reidepstein/status/1323926165590052864

What's the worst case scenario in regards to how Green Bay votes?

IDK... but here are a few numbers I ran a few Months back in the largest Cities in Wisconsin.

[NOVA Green]

Many of y'all appear to be forgetting the concept of the "Red Mirage".

PA, WI, and MI are the exact reverse of that, where once again DEM Cities in Swing States in the Midwest are the last to turn out the vote.

Keep Calm, don't panic, fundamental numbers look good in all three States (Plus we got AZ and NE-02 and possibly GA & NC as backups).

Work Swing Shift West Coast, so nowhere close to crash yet tonight.

Is NC not already gone?

Is it?

Says who?

Trump only up 77k by NYT numbers and plenty of votes outstanding (Most likely heavily DEM).