The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

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Wow, so many people on both sides speaking with certainty about an election that won't occur until late 2012. lol.

It's pretty funny, but I must remind people that they are only contributing to their own as well as all of our future annoyance come 2012 when BRTD feels the need to bump EVERY SINGLE thread with a prediction in it.

[fezzyfestoon]

Well, its exciting! This is the do or die moment for Obama, and the future of his term rests in his monumental decisions. it's no wonder so many are predicting.

NOTHING else could possibly happen in the next three years to change the momentum of Obama's term?  Someone doesn't remember our last President very well, which is ironic considering his apparent assertion that Americans' political memories go back quite a bit farther than they actually do.

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I worry for the future of today's youth if Huckabee is that popular.

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Why weren't these people more vocal back in 2007 or 2008, when Obama's health care plan was first proposed?

This is America, we don't react until something actually happens.

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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_politics/august_2009/republican_voters_say_gop_reps_in_congress_still_out_of_touch

Is anyone more horrified by this? The current makeup of Republicans are too LIBERAL? What on earth have they done that was liberal?

The GOP base has gone off the deep end.

The Independents believe it, too though.  Perhaps there was some confusion between being liberal and being completely ineffective and hypocritical.

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Much like 2008!

Uh, duh...it's only 2009.

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Yeah, and 2000 was nothing like 1996 and 1992 was nothing like 1988.  Things always change, you CANNOT predict this far out what the map will look like in one let alone three years.

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I just went and fooled around at Pollster.com and interestingly, the most drastic change was removing Rasmussen.  The lines were much cleaner and the points were much closer together.  And his net approval jumped.  No other filters did that.

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It was nice to see your 2001 prediction of 2004, pbrower.  It was a fantastic reminder of how bad of an idea it is to predict elections so far in advance.  Why did you delete it?

[fezzyfestoon]

Wouldn't it be easier to just put the number for the month?  I think we all know those a little better.  And this is a political forum after all, so it's not like we're going to think California and Nevada both have 9EVs.

[fezzyfestoon]

After a year I think it's safe to drop the poll from the map.

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The last Iowa poll that gave Obama positive approvals was more accurate, so we should keep that one.

Actually, this one rounds up to an approval, so don't worry about it.

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Other people are allowed to make maps.  Here you go, if you don't like his.  No rounding, no selective averaging, just a report on the results of the most recent polls (only August and September).  Ignore the unchanging Maine and Nebraska month values.

[fezzyfestoon]

New Jersey is out of reach except in a landslide?  It's only 8% more Democratic than the country.  That's barely more than Obama won by.  Was 2012 a landslide?  Conversely Texas is 19% more Republican than the country, yet is almost certain to be competitive?  What logic suggests this?  And for the record, Michigan is about half as far from the national average as Texas, so stop trying to compare the two.

[fezzyfestoon]

New Jersey is out of reach except in a landslide?  It's only 8% more Democratic than the country.  That's barely more than Obama won by.  Was 2012 a landslide?  Conversely Texas is 19% more Republican than the country, yet is almost certain to be competitive?  What logic suggests this?  And for the record, Michigan is about half as far from the national average as Texas, so stop trying to compare the two.

Blah, blah, blah, I like to pull made up rules out of my ass instead of answering questions asked of me when I make up numbers and then decide to ignore the real numbers.

Do you ever get dizzy when you post here?

That post reminded me of Sarah Palin's infamous interview.

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Of course. New Jersey is about as far away from being a Republican pickoff in a 50-50 election as Kentucky is from being a Democratic pickoff in a 50-50 election.

I don't know where you keep coming up with these total bullshit comparisons.  Kentucky was 23.49% more Republican than the country, New Jersey was 8.26% more Democratic.  Not even close to being comparable.

[fezzyfestoon]

Of course. New Jersey is about as far away from being a Republican pickoff in a 50-50 election as Kentucky is from being a Democratic pickoff in a 50-50 election.

I don't know where you keep coming up with these total bullshit comparisons.  Kentucky was 23.49% more Republican than the country, New Jersey was 8.26% more Democratic.  Not even close to being comparable.

Going by the 2008 results, New Jersey was four points more Democratic than the nation as a whole and Kentucky 11 points more Republican. 

McCain won Kentucky by 16.22% added to the 7.27% Obama margin is 23.49% more Republican.
Obama won New Jersey by 15.53% minus the 7.27% margin is 8.26% more Democratic.

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Do we think there will be a boost from Obama's Nobel Prize win?

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New Jersey (NY Times)

62% Approve
25% Disapprove

The latest New York Times poll of New Jersey is based on telephone interviews conducted Oct. 9 to 14 with 987 adults throughout the state.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/16/nyregion/16jersey.html

Hahaha, what??

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Republicans have solutions. You can disagree with but they exist: stop spend, low tax, waterboarding terrorists, moral values,... Brown has beaten coakley on issues and republicans will  do the same in november.

Since when?  I mean, the waterboarding's been done, but I don't think that's a bragging point.

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Not doing well in the Fresno area?

The San Joaquin Valley is California's political equivalent of the Texas Panhandle.

No, it's not.  Obama won the San Joaquin Valley by 4.5% and lost the Texas Panhandle by (ballparking it) 60%.  The similarities don't start anywhere.

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The Republicans may be in deep trouble.

Hahaha, yes.  If anything has become clear over the past year it's that Republicans are in deep trouble.

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No one but you values the favorability ratings, don't waste the space posting that map.

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The Arizona poll is a new poll, folks.

There will be others. The "Cops as Immigration Enforcers" will create much polling activity.

Translation: I don't like that one, let's wait for one with better approval.

[fezzyfestoon]

You guys do know that Pollster.com does a pretty good job at tracking these kinds of things, right?