The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (user search)
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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1220418 times)
Zarn
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« Reply #75 on: September 29, 2009, 08:38:58 AM »
Given:

1. McCain is not popular in Arizona (and he isn't)
2. McCain can win Arizona over Obama (and he did)

Conclusion: A "generic," well-liked enough Republican can win Arizona without much hassle.
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Zarn
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« Reply #76 on: September 29, 2009, 12:33:00 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on September 29, 2009, 09:26:56 AM
Quote from: TrueRepublicIran on September 29, 2009, 08:38:58 AM
Given:

1. McCain is not popular in Arizona (and he isn't)
2. McCain can win Arizona over Obama (and he did)

Conclusion: A "generic," well-liked enough Republican can win Arizona without much hassle.

Given:

1. Senator Jon Kyl (R, AZ)is less well-regarded in Arizona than is Barack Obama
2. Senator Jon Kyl is a fair approximation of "Generic Republican"
3. The Favorite Son effect is real and good for about 10% for the Presidency and 5% for the Vice-Presidency

Conclusion:

Jon Kyl would probably keep Arizona from voting for Obama in 2012 as a GOP nominee for either President or Vice-President.

Other Republicans would have trouble in Arizona.

The GOP will be in deep trouble in America on the whole if it barely wins a Republican-leaning state. let alone loses it.



"Favored Son" doesn't help when the guy is not that popular, overall. It doesn't help much at all with the VP slot.

Legit pollsters are giving Obama negative approvals in AZ.
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Zarn
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« Reply #77 on: October 02, 2009, 09:05:59 PM »
Obama increased spending. That is not different from Bush.
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Zarn
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« Reply #78 on: October 09, 2009, 08:19:55 AM »
Actually Virginia isn't essential. It just increases it's chances, significantly.

The 2010 realignment changes everything.
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Zarn
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« Reply #79 on: November 07, 2009, 07:20:48 AM »
Still a hack, I see.
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Zarn
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« Reply #80 on: November 15, 2009, 08:43:21 AM »
It's not liberals that worry me, it's Obama supporters. Tongue

Besides, everyone knows that Jesus is on vacation right now. He's in the Bahamas.
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Zarn
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« Reply #81 on: November 18, 2009, 06:54:14 PM »
« Edited: November 18, 2009, 08:13:48 PM by TrueRepublicIran »
There is no good or bad. It's just numbers. Tongue
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Zarn
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« Reply #82 on: November 20, 2009, 02:39:40 PM »
Rasmussen (LV)
Approve: 47% (+1)
Disapprove: 52%

Gallup (A)
Approve: 49% (-1)
Disapprove: 44%

The approvals are similar averaging to 48%. The Disapprovals aren't, but they average to 48%, also. I know the two use different voter types, but the average of them makes Obama as well liked as he is disliked. I saw the other post for Gallup, but I just wanted to give a quick analysis of the two.
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Zarn
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« Reply #83 on: November 20, 2009, 07:09:47 PM »
I wouldn't call that fast at all.
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Zarn
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« Reply #84 on: November 20, 2009, 08:40:40 PM »
Quote from: oakvale on November 20, 2009, 07:11:56 PM
You guys are dumb. Guess whose approval ratings dropped faster than Obama's?


Ronald Reagan, he of the 49-state re-election victory.

So Obama is going to lose Minnesota? Cheesy
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Zarn
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« Reply #85 on: November 26, 2009, 12:05:45 PM »
It does make sense, actually.
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Zarn
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« Reply #86 on: November 26, 2009, 08:58:23 PM »
They don't all have to be black, in order to be a part of the floor.
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Zarn
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« Reply #87 on: November 27, 2009, 08:30:44 AM »
I'm not SUSA's biggest fan, either. Then again, you are talking to the guy that is suspicious of Gallup as well.
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Zarn
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« Reply #88 on: December 04, 2009, 07:44:37 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on December 04, 2009, 05:23:53 PM
Quote from: Libertas on December 04, 2009, 02:30:45 PM
Quote from: pbrower2a on December 04, 2009, 02:27:59 PM
Approval and disapproval for the President can be extremely volatile. We are likely to see some more polls that corroborate or contradict this one.  Let's remember -- poor whites and poor blacks have much the same economic problems, and if any group of people has potential as pick-ups for Obama in 2012, it is poor whites. He can't do much good for poor blacks if he doesn't also do good for poor whites, too. If the "scariness" factor goes away and Obama achieves his promises, then the 2012 election should be an Obama landslide.

So how is making things worse for both poor blacks and poor whites going to affect Obama's re-election performance?

How is he making things worse? He promised to start undoing the damage of the previous Administration and he is making good on his promises. Unemployment is high, but such reflects damage done before he became President.   

Trying taking the blinders off, first.
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Zarn
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« Reply #89 on: December 15, 2009, 11:12:13 PM »
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Zarn
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« Reply #90 on: December 16, 2009, 05:39:08 PM »
Mrs. P's Kindergarden class poll of Obama's Oklahoma Approval rating:

57% Approve
31% Applesauce
12% Bananas/ Don't know
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Zarn
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« Reply #91 on: December 21, 2009, 02:35:54 PM »
That can't be right, Rowan. I was told Obama will win fi-con states like ND and Texas.
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Zarn
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« Reply #92 on: December 23, 2009, 12:49:56 PM »
Three separate maps would be a stretch.

I prefer LV to RV. I don't like adult polling at all. It makes no sense to me, but I know that is just my cup of tea.

In conclusion, average them out. Do the same if you have a state recently polled by multiple pollsters.
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Zarn
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« Reply #93 on: December 24, 2009, 03:18:23 PM »
<40% with Disapproval Higher: 90% Red
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 60% Red
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Red
50% or <50% with Approval Higher or Equal: Yellow
51-55%: 30% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 90% Dark Green

Just throwing it out there. Don't worry about my feelings. Haha.
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Zarn
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« Reply #94 on: January 01, 2010, 08:48:38 AM »
Out of all the New England states, NH is the most likely to disapprove.

With Ohio, Michigan, and Iowa being where they are, it it really shocking that NH might not like him.

You cannot call it an outlier, until more evidence arrives, meaning at least two more legit pollsters.
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Zarn
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« Reply #95 on: January 01, 2010, 02:04:44 PM »
One poll cannot dispute it. How do you know that other poll wouldn't be an outlier?
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Zarn
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« Reply #96 on: January 01, 2010, 04:03:53 PM »

No, but it doesn't matter to him.

When was the last NH poll?
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Zarn
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« Reply #97 on: January 06, 2010, 03:11:47 PM »
I would like to see new NJ (I know I'm being a little greedy), WI, and NM polls.

IN and AZ, too.

I find the NC and VA situation rather interesting. If one was off, I would guess NC, because of the following: OH, MI, PA, WI, IA. I would not expect these states to all be so negative with NC being lukewarm. Same thing with AZ.
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Zarn
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« Reply #98 on: January 15, 2010, 06:08:16 AM »
Well it is Suffolk Uni, so.... duh. Tongue
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Zarn
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« Reply #99 on: January 15, 2010, 11:04:29 AM »

Solid 'Bama
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