The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Kaine for Senate '18]

That looks about right to me, except perhaps Florida.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Rasmussen (Georgia)

52% Approve
46% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/toplines/toplines_georgia_governor_november_10_2009

What?

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Obama is not nearly as popular in NC as he is in MN.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Posted on Pollster.com, Obama Approval in Wisconsin 60/37 (done by UW)

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/wi_obama_doyle_uwisc_10291120.php

I find that hard to believe.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

As do I...just figured I'd post as I saw it.  Not sure if its worth updating the map with a clearly sketchy poll

pbrower will update it, since Obama has a 60% approval in it.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Obama is at 60% in only one state(MD), so it is dark green. He is at 60% disapproval in some states, so they are dark red.

Looks great so far. I'm glad somebody finally did this the right way.

Agreed.  The colors make sense, and the shading makes sense.  Could you perhaps put a number for the month it came out in (12 for December, 1 for January, etc.)?  Thanks.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

How do I do that?

Just alter the electoral vote numbers in the code.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Great job, Rowan.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

I love how pbrower is trying to cover his tracks now.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Great Job RB!

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Why is pbrower still posting maps?

Because we can't control what he does.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

In Michigan Obama Approval Rating
55% Disapprove
44% Approve

Do you have a source?

Also, welcome to the forum

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Keep up the good work

[Kaine for Senate '18]

From yesterday's PPP MA-Senate poll:

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack
Obama’s job performance? If you approve,
press 1. If you disapprove, press 2. If you’re
not sure, press 3.
Approve .......................................................... 44%
Disapprove...................................................... 43%
Not Sure.......................................................... 13%

That kind of calls into question the accuracy of the Senate poll

[Kaine for Senate '18]

if 33 hours can be an agony on election night with a critical state in the balance, and 33 days going into the election can be a seeming eternity, then what is 33 months?

Totally irrelevant.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

So much for Obama being competitive in Texas, at least right now, eh?

The age wave will carry him through

[Kaine for Senate '18]

So something like this for the 2012 election results?

226 - Obama
312 - Generic Rep

No, more like this:

Obama/Biden: 279 EV/ 50% PV
Romney/Thune: 259 EV: 47% PV

(I used 2012 EV numbers off of wiki)

You're both off.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

If that would translate into the election, Obama might not break 205 EV's (redistricting is a factor).

Except that can't translate into an election - Obama won't be winning New Mexico while losing Minnesota and Washington, for example.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Obama approval rating September 2010 (gallup):

45% Approve

47% Disapprove

Trends for comparison:

Carter: 45/39 (September 1978)

Reagan: 42/48 (September 1982)

Bush I: 72/18 (September 1990)

Clinton: 42/52 (September 1994)

Bush II: 67/28 (September 2002)

Oh, look.

Reagan too.

And Carter, in terms of approval.  So 2/3 in terms of being a good sign

[Kaine for Senate '18]

SOTU bumps aren't actually a thing. Really Obama had as much of a chance of going down and he did going up after the speech:

What did Clinton do to jump 10 points?