The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Eraserhead]

Latest update:

The slight negative approval difference in Arizona looks specious, but who am I to argue?

North Carolina looks so pro-Obama.

...and Arizona looks way too anti-Obama. Sometimes polls are wrong.

[Eraserhead]

Minnesota (Rasmussen, 500 LV, May 18)

44% Approve
55% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/states_general/minnesota/toplines/toplines_minnesota_senate_may_18_2009

WTF !???

LOL

[Eraserhead]

I think some of you are overestimating how "libertarian" states like Colorado and Arizona actually are...

[Eraserhead]

Oklahoma. lol.

[Eraserhead]

My point exactly. We could use another Josh22 though.

People can adjust their outlook on things. Josh22 was just funny because he was literally flipping every other week for a while there.

[Eraserhead]

I bet we'll get some polls focusing on Obama's approval among hispanics post-Sotomayor.

[Eraserhead]

Rasmussen

Approve 53%(-1)
Disapprove 47%(+1)

I guess that means he's officially down to election day levels.

According to one (and only one) pollster.

[Eraserhead]

Well Zogby has him at 51%....

Oh, the poll that had him under 50% some months ago? Sorry, I guess I meant one real pollster.

[Eraserhead]

I've yet to find a non-political person who really knows anything of or cares at all about the GM situation.

[Eraserhead]

The point is that Rasmussen should stop using a likely voter model in an off-year.

[Eraserhead]

The point is that Rasmussen should stop using a likely voter model in an off-year.

It's better than an adult poll.

I really don't see a problem with a likely voter poll, anyway. People were complaining about it, during the election season, too.

Really? Who?

[Eraserhead]

I highly doubt Obama still has 60% + Approvals for doing nothing productive in the entire time as president. It'll be funny if the pollsters show Obama's #'s go up if GM or Chrysler close down.

All these polls are B.S , you can thank the media for that

How old are you? Just curious.

[Eraserhead]

NBC/WSJ Obama Approval
Approve 56%
Disapprove 34%

http://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJ-NBC_Poll090617.pdf

...Wow... and that's from NBC.

...and the Wall Street Journal.

[Eraserhead]

Apparently, there is a Pew poll coming out later that will show strong numbers for Obama.

[Eraserhead]

His support is definitely softening a bit.

[Eraserhead]

Does anyone have approval info for Presidents Carter, Reagan, Bush Sr, Clinton and Bush Jr from this point in their first term?

According to Gallup: http://www.gallup.com/poll/116479/barack-obama-presidential-job-approval.aspx

Jimmy Carter 63% (June 1977)
Ronald Reagan 59% (June 1981)
George H. W. Bush 70% (June 1989)
Bill Clinton 41% (June 1993)
George W. Bush 54% (June 2001)

So it's very stupid to use approvals to guess if a president will be reelected at this point.

It's stupid to say that he will be reelected or won't be reelected.

It's not stupid to guess. The evidence just says it is not likely, given that current trends continue. The people that this hurts the most (given trends continue to the fall and next fall) are freshmen Congressmen, Corzine, and maybe even Deeds.

*facepalm*

[Eraserhead]

Nevada (Mason-Dixon)

47% Excellent/Good (25% Excellent, 22% Good)
50% Fair/Poor (25% Fair, 25% Poor)

49% Favorable
32% Unfavorable
19% Neutral

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C., from June 18 through June 19, 2009. A total of 625 registered Nevada voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.

http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/june_2009_polls.html

It looks like the Mountain West states are now 50\50 on Obama, after voting for him decisively in the election. I saw a poll from New Mexico where his numbers were barely 50\50. Colorado approves of him, but not very strongly.

Can anyone explain this? My guess is that the libertarians in these states may have supported Obama on election day, but they don't support him anymore.

I think that when a lot of people voted for Obama, they were giving him a chance. They didn't agree with his views as much as they did McCain, but they wanted to see what he could do. He hasn't done a lot, and our economy is still failing, so of course they are going to go against him. Far left people are annoyed that Obama is governing to the center, and centrists think Obama is governing to the left. If this continues, I think he'll face a serious primary challenge in 2012.

It's also Mason-Dixon. They blew Nevada by almost 10% last year.

Also, the "excellent/good/fair/poor" questioning is something different to "Approve/Disapprove" ...

Yeah, I think people sometimes come to a term like "fair" with different interpretations of what it means in their head.

[Eraserhead]

...
His ratings are in a freefall. I'm surprised, as my opinion of him has slightly improved over the past few weeks.
Will Obama's approval rating be lower than his disapproval rating by the end of the year, by RCP averages? I was sceptical, but I think there is a chance, unless the economy quickly recovers.

Uh, this isn't what you would call a free fall, more like slow degradation.

[Eraserhead]

Idaho (Greg Smith & Associates)

45% Favorable
47% Unfavorable

400 adult Idahoans, March 15-18

http://www.spokesman.com/blogs/boise/2009/jun/23/smith-poll-idahoans-unexcited-about-obama/

Wow, that is quite good for Idaho. I wonder where he was at there when he was really popular...

[Eraserhead]

Texas (Texas Lyceum)

68% Approve
29% Disapprove

How the hell is that possible?

They only polled hippies ...

What are you talking about? Obama is obviously just as popular in Texas as he is in New York!

[Eraserhead]

Florida(Rasmussen)

Approve 46%
Disapprove 50%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/florida/toplines_election_2010_florida_senate_june_22_2009

No

[Eraserhead]

THE SANFORD BUMP!!!11!!!!1!!

lol

[Eraserhead]

This thread is becoming such a train wreck. Good stuff!

[Eraserhead]

PPP will poll Pawlenty against Obama in Minnesota this week ...

I think Obama will have a lead of 3-4 points.

I`ll predict 53-42 Obama approval in the state and 47-41 vs. Pawlenty.

Yeah, maybe, since it's PPP and they have been giving Obama far worse numbers than anyone else.

[Eraserhead]

I will gladly take Keynesian economics over supply-side theory any day of the week. Comparing the historcial performance of each, as well as the logic behind both theories, it's clear Keynes had it right and supply side is a dismal failure.

Supply side has only really been tried once and it was a huge success.

Double sigh.