The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

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Rasmussen has Obama at 54/46 in Illinois.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/illinois/toplines/toplines_illinois_senate_august_9_2010

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PPP national:
47/48
(+2)/(-4)

Changes since 9-12/7


Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care plan, or do you not have an opinion?
46% Support, 48% Oppose

Do you think George W. Bush or Barack Obama is more responsible for the current state of the economy?
49% Bush, 40% Obama

Would you rather have Barack Obama or George W. Bush as President right now?
50% Obama, 43% Bush

Out of the last 5 Presidents: Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and George W. Bush, who do you think Barack Obama is most similar to?
41% Clinton, 35% Carter, 6% Reagan, 2% H.W. Bush, 2% W. Bush


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_811.pdf

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FL (Quinnipiac): 47-47

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1488

NJ (Quinnipiac): 47-47

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1489

In what world?

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FL (Quinnipiac): 47-47

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1488

NJ (Quinnipiac): 47-47

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1489

In what world?

I'm not overjoyed with Q outside of the Northeast (and generally NY, NJ and New England).

I still would think NJ is an outlier.

It's kinda hard picking the outlier of those two. It's doubtful that Obama's even in Florida and it's doubtful that he's even and not above ground in NJ. I'm more inclined to think that the FL is the outlier.

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According to Fox, Obama is at Jimmy Carter levels.

According to Fox, Sarah Palin is good enough to be paid to give political commentary. Just sayin'.

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Florida Survey of 750 Likely Voters

Conducted August 25, 2010

By Rasmussen Reports

 

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

  

28% Strongly approve
    18% Somewhat approve
      7% Somewhat disapprove
    46% Strongly disapprove
      1% Not sure

It changes nothing, so no new map.

So, I'm going to take a wild guess and say that would translate to 46-53?

Not bad for a start at the beginning of a campaign season. With a strong campaign apparatus (as in 2008) and a few campaign appearances President Obama would almost certainly win the state.  Not since 1924 (when the state had only six electoral votes) have the Republicans won the Presidency without Florida, Bill Clinton won without it in 1992 and Republicans absolutely needed it in 2000 and 2004.

With the current poll I can say that Obama loses Florida in 2008 if anything new discredits him as President, if he does no campaigning there, if he has no effective campaign apparatus there, or if he campaigns ineptly. Any Republican challenger must win Florida to have a reasonable chance at the Presidency.

It's pretty stupid to try and extropolate approval ratings into an election situation. It's about as useful as those "Obama Vs. Generic Republican" match-ups.

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Alaska polling is notoriously....bad.

Not to mention that the 55-39 2008 sample is more favorable than the actual 59-37 2008 result...

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What's funnier is the WV approval numbers even though the Dem is the favorite for the senate seat.

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Gallup:

Approve - 47% (+2)
Disapprove - 45% (-2)

Iraq bounce.

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Has Obama been below 40% in Gallup yet?

No.

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Has Obama been below 40% in Gallup yet?

No.

That's interesting, I could easily see him having a floor of 40% then. He's had a brutal summer and for him to currently be at 47 with all the problems he's had(economy, brutal prospects for Dem candidates and the mosque issue) is pretty incredible.

Exactly, but as far as the media's concerned, once a politician falls below 50% approval, then their career is dead.

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WTF is up with Gallop consistently giving him a higher approval than other pollsters?

They were giving him worse than Rasmussen this time last week, weren't they?

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PPP Has a whole slew out, and they're not good for the Democrats:

Delaware: 46-48
Illinonis: 49-46
Florida: 39-55
Nevada: 44-52
Wisconsin: 45-50
New Hampshire: 44-52
Colorado: 44-50
Washington: 49-47
California: 54-39

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/09/obama-liability-in-senate-battlegrounds.html

Not really. The only ones out of the norm of who we've been seeing is Delaware (Rass had it 50-50, but w/e) and Florida. FL seems to low. Everything else is about the same as what we've been seeing in general from PPP.

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What's to blame for this bump? BHO's more active campaigning of late?

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Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, +1.

Disapprove 52%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, -1.


Definite improvement in Obama's numbers.  Well off the lows.

Now, if only Russ weren't such money grabbers and let us see the statewide approvals for free still.

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Obama approval rating September 2010 (gallup):

45% Approve

47% Disapprove

Trends for comparison:

Carter: 45/39 (September 1978)

Reagan: 42/48 (September 1982)

Bush I: 72/18 (September 1990)

Clinton: 42/52 (September 1994)

Bush II: 67/28 (September 2002)

Oh, look.

Reagan too.

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Obama approval rating September 2010 (gallup):

45% Approve

47% Disapprove

Trends for comparison:

Carter: 45/39 (September 1978)

Reagan: 42/48 (September 1982)

Bush I: 72/18 (September 1990)

Clinton: 42/52 (September 1994)

Bush II: 67/28 (September 2002)

Oh, look.

Reagan too.

Indeed, but at the moment I'm more inclined to believe that Obama will be more like Clinton than a Democratic Reagan. That'll change in the next 2 years, probably.

No candidate will be winning 49 states any time soon.

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I think he was positive a week and a half ago in Gallup.

I checked on Pollster. Mid-September was the earliest I noticed.

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Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 43%, u.

Disapprove 56%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 45%, -1.

It didn't bounce up.  This could be a move away from Obama.

Strongly ratings changed though. I'd wait until tomorrow before we call it.

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Today (Rasmussen):

47% Approve (+4)
52% Disapprove (-4)

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Olysses-TODAY Obama would lostso badly against a unknown candidate
but 2years are a long time and naturally it will depends who is running for the GOP
I have now doubt that MN WA OR IL DE ME NM will not go red in the end of 2012
but the dems must campaign there and it will not be a blowout like in 2008

but CO FL NV NC VA IN MO are gone

OH PA WI NH IA are defenetily in play

If FL elects Sink, CO re-elects Bennet and NV re-elects Reid in a year like this, then none of them are "gone".

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Obama's numbers were a bit higher at this point last year, before the election.  It was not a good year for Democrats.

Judging by NJ and VA, yes it was a bad year. Democrats did well in the house special elections though and they defied expectations (but still lost) in NYC.

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Obama at 37%!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
FINALLY!!!!!


harrisinteractive

LOL, an "interactive" poll.

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Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44%, u.

Disapprove 54%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, -1.

Strongly Approve is now at the lowest point since 9/5/10.

Lack of strong feeling because there isn't another national election for 2 years.

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Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, +1.

Disapprove 52%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

Numbers are well off the lows.  A bit of a rebound?

America's love a bit've split government.