The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Eraserhead]

PPP :

PRESIDENT – CALIFORNIA (PPP)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 51%
Generic Republican (R) 44%

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (PPP)
Generic Republican (R) 50%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 45%

PRESIDENT – CONNECTICUT (PPP)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 50%
Generic Republican (R) 42%

PRESIDENT – ILLINOIS (PPP)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 49%
Generic Republican (R) 42%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (PPP)
Generic Republican (R) 54%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 40%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (PPP)
Generic Republican (R) 52%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 42%

If Generic Republican snatches the nomination, Obama is doomed.

[Eraserhead]

I'm so glad that someone remembers the "flipping off" incidents.  I think they speak more about Obama's character than just about anything else.

And I find it funny that those incidents would apparently offend somebody like you.

[Eraserhead]

Hmm, let's relax for a minute, shall we?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q7ubI-MTLVM

[Eraserhead]

I wouldn't be too shocked if they go up even higher for a little while... you know, for obvious reasons.

[Eraserhead]

ABC News/Washington Post Poll: Obama back up to 54%

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/abc-news-washington-post-poll-obama-approval-moves/story?id=12634581

[Eraserhead]

Wall Street Journal/NBC: 53%

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704590704576092273958557698.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTTopStories

[Eraserhead]

The guy is really on the move. Heh. I still don't have much use for him but I am amused.

Those Texas numbers are interesting. They certainly fit into my theory of Huckabee being his toughest possible opponent out of the major four. Huckabee would cut through the south like a buzzsaw. The numbers for the other three are really quite dreadful.

[Eraserhead]

The guy is really on the move. Heh. I still don't have much use for him but I am amused.

Those Texas numbers are interesting. They certainly fit into my theory of Huckabee being his toughest possible opponent out of the major four. Huckabee would cut through the south like a buzzsaw. The numbers for the other three are really quite dreadful.

I think Romney is the stronger candidate overall. At least he can make states like Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada competetive, Huckabee can't. The South isn't really important for winning the Presidency. Huckabee has also a proven weakness in raising a lot of money (as seen in 2007/2008), while Romney can do that more easily.

Competitive? Maybe. But will he win them in the end? I don't think so. Those aren't exactly the most important states electorally speaking either... or at least they won't be unless the election is very close.

I think the South is still very important. The Republican has to win back Virginia, North Carolina and Florida or it's game over right off the bat. I see Huckabee having an easier time with that than Romney.

You're right about the money though. That is one major problem for Huckabee.

[Eraserhead]

And the Tucson jump is over.

I love the ridiculous overreactions in this thread.

[Eraserhead]

Wow, he even loses by 4% to Palin in WV. I guess WV won't vote for a black man under any circumstances!

[Eraserhead]

NY (Marist):

53% Excellent/Good
47% Fair/Poor

This survey of 751 New York State registered voters was conducted on January 24th through January 26th, 2011. Registered voters were interviewed by telephone in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New York and adjusted for turnout in statewide elections. Telephone numbers were selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its turnout in comparable elections. To increase coverage, this land-line sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The two samples were then combined. Results are statistically significant within ±4.0 percentage points.

http://content.ny1.com/downloads/gillibrand_poll.pdf

Umm no.

[Eraserhead]

NY (Marist):

53% Excellent/Good
47% Fair/Poor

This survey of 751 New York State registered voters was conducted on January 24th through January 26th, 2011. Registered voters were interviewed by telephone in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New York and adjusted for turnout in statewide elections. Telephone numbers were selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its turnout in comparable elections. To increase coverage, this land-line sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The two samples were then combined. Results are statistically significant within ±4.0 percentage points.

http://content.ny1.com/downloads/gillibrand_poll.pdf

Umm no.

Excellent/Good always tends to show slightly lower values than Approve/Disapprove.

It probably means that Obama is somewhere between 55-60% approval in NY.

I realize that but it still looks pretty low to me.

[Eraserhead]

I wonder how the situation in Egypt will effect, if at all, his numbers.

I'd be very surprised if it impacted his numbers at all. Sadly, I'd imagine many (if not most) Americans don't even realize anything is happening there... and surely some of the Americans that do don't care about it.

[Eraserhead]

FL (Quinnipiac):

47-49

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1555

I wish they had polled some 2012 match-ups.

[Eraserhead]

Maybe his terrible SOTU address.

[Eraserhead]

Spade is such a realist.

[Eraserhead]

^ All of those look pretty good for Obama.

[Eraserhead]

Those NH numbers seem pretty weird considering the other recent numbers. Uni polls...

[Eraserhead]

Not really sure why you guys are expecting so much movement either way...

[Eraserhead]

Wow, Rassmussen isn't trying to spin for Walker? Color me a tad surprised.

[Eraserhead]

Today we have Connecticut (Quinnipiac):

49% Approve
47% Disapprove

From March 1 - 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,693 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1296.xml?ReleaseID=1565

That's... interesting.

[Eraserhead]

Obama's positive in Ohio again? Wow, the Republicans are really screwing up what ground they made up in the Midwest.

Well, they're running things again in these states... and the disturbing reality of that is setting in.

[Eraserhead]

Rasmussen is 48-52 today.

Ohio (Quinnipiac):

President Obama has a split 47 - 48 percent job approval rating, compared to 49 - 46 percent in a January 20 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Ohio voters are split 45 - 46 percent on whether President Barack Obama deserves a second term, but they favor him over an unnamed Republican 2012 challenger 41 - 34 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1571

Although I don't like Obama, it is good to know that the Republican brand is already back in the toilet, where it belongs.

[Eraserhead]

I guess NY isn't going to be a battleground in 2012. Shucks!

[Eraserhead]

I expect a crappy summer for him followed by a probable rebound in the fall followed by blah blah blah.