2009 State and European Parliament Elections in Austria

[Tender Branson]

'Racist' NVP out of September vote

Far-right party excluded from Upper Austrian elections.

Linz - Upper Austrian provincial election authorities excluded the National People’s Party (NVP) from running a list in the 27 September provincial election after it was labelled "xenophobic and racist”. There had been outrage among locals after the NVP, which the Documentation Archive of the Austrian Resistance (DÖW) says is an extreme rightwing party, applied to run a list only in electoral district one (Linz and Suburbs). Two previously planned NVP events, including a demonstration in Adolf Hitler’s birthplace Braunau in April, had already been banned by local authorities. The ÖVP, the SPÖ, the Greens, the FPÖ, the BZÖ, the KPÖ and The Christians will take part in the elections. The ÖVP won the last Upper Austrian election in 2003 with 43.42 per cent of the vote. It then formed Austria’s first ÖVP-Green provincial coalition govern-ment.

http://www.wienerzeitung.at/DesktopDefault.aspx?TabID=4082&Alias=wzo&cob=431020

[Tender Branson]

New OGM Trust Index for the Sept. 20 Vorarlberg State elections:



It is showing the saldo of "having trust" and "having no trust" in various state politicians.

The 63-rating for Gov. Sausgruber (ÖVP) means that he has roughly 80% trust (approval).

There's also a new coalition that will participate in the elections: The Gsiberger Party.

It consists of the VAU of Bernhard Amann (who got 2% in 2004), the KPÖ, a local migrant party (the NBZ), as well as other members of minority groups such as gays/lesbians/disabled people and feminists). They hope that they can get roughly 7% of the vote.

Current polls show the following:

ÖVP: 45-50%
FPÖ: 15-20%
SPÖ: ~15%
Greens: 10-15%
BZÖ: ~5%

[Tender Branson]

For the German speakers, the Wahlkabinen for the Upper Austria and Vorarlberg state elections are online:

http://wahlkabine.at/app/ltw2009ooe?app_start=1

http://wahlkabine.at/app/ltw2009vbg?app_start=1

[Hans-im-Glück]

For the German speakers, the Wahlkabinen for the Upper Austria and Vorarlberg state elections are online:

http://wahlkabine.at/app/ltw2009ooe?app_start=1

http://wahlkabine.at/app/ltw2009vbg?app_start=1

My result:

Upper Austria

KPÖ   191
Green   154
SPÖ   144
BZÖ   4
FPÖ   -90
ÖVP   -140

Vorarlberg

Gsiberger   269
Green   233
SPÖ   182
BZÖ   77
FPÖ   -60
ÖVP   -78

Tender can you say me more about Gsiberger. I never heard about this Person

[Tender Branson]

Tender can you say me more about Gsiberger. I never heard about this Person

There's also a new coalition that will participate in the elections: The Gsiberger Party.

It consists of the VAU of Bernhard Amann (who got 2% in 2004), the KPÖ, a local migrant party (the NBZ), as well as other members of minority groups such as gays/lesbians/disabled people and feminists). They hope that they can get roughly 7% of the vote.

I don't know more about them, except that this Bernhard Amann guy is a streetworker.

[freek]

My result:

Upper Austria

ÖVP 50
FPÖ 20
Grüne -5
BZÖ -20
SPÖ -45
KPÖ -50

Vorarlberg

ÖVP 155
FPÖ 45
BZÖ 20
SPÖ -20
Gsiberger -65
Grüne -75

What does "Gsiberger" mean? Is it a nickname for people from Vorarlberg?

[Tender Branson]

What does "Gsiberger" mean? Is it a nickname for people from Vorarlberg?

Yeah, they have a Swiss dialect.

[Tender Branson]

Today, Claudia Haider said that she will not run in the presidential election next year, leaving the BZÖ without a candidate.

http://www.kleinezeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/2103374/claudia-haider-kandidiert-nicht-fuer-praesidentenamt.story

[Tender Branson]

Latest Gallup poll for Ö24:

ÖVP: 33%
SPÖ: 30%
FPÖ: 17%
Grüne: 13%
BZÖ: 6%
Others: 1%

SPÖVP-Coalition Job Approval Rating:

43% Approve
54% Disapprove

Direct Vote for Chancellor:

Josef Pröll (ÖVP): 36%
Werner Faymann (SPÖ): 35%

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Mehrheit-ist-mit-Koalition-unzufrieden-0518189.ece

[Tender Branson]

The FPÖ-Vorarlberg is gearing up their radical anti-semitic hate campaign:

At their campaign start in Hohenems on Friday, front-runner Dieter Egger referred to the director of the Jewish Museum in Hohenems as "Exile Jew from America, who shouldn't interfere in state politics" (the director is actually from Frankfurt, Germany).



He also said that Muslims have bred heavily during the past 30 years and increased by 530% so that the "heimische Jugend" (native Austrian Youth) will "soon feel foreign in their own homeland".

The "muslim immigration from Anatolia (Turkey) has to stop and criminal foreigners should be kicked out of Austria immediately".

Foreigners who don't assimilate with Austrian culture and lifestyle should be kicked out of school and out of the country.

...

Meanwhile all parties (except the BZÖ) have demanded an apology from Egger and the ÖVP has said it will rule out a coalition with the FPÖ if Egger doesn't back down.

The FPÖ is the traditionial coalition partner of the ÖVP in Vorarlberg, but it remains to be seen if the ÖVP will achieve an absolute majority again.

[Хahar 🤔]

How will the BZÖ respond? Is it an irrelevant joke in Vorarlberg?

[Tender Branson]

How will the BZÖ respond? Is it an irrelevant joke in Vorarlberg?

They don't respond ...

(and I doubt they will get more than the 5%, which is the treshold for state parliament, but if they do probably because of Egger's comments that could piss off some FPÖ-voters, who are switching to the BZÖ, because the ÖVP is too centrist/liberal for them)

BTW, Egger was invited to the evening news of the local ORF yesterday and he refused to apologize for his comments. He said the FPÖ won't be blackmailed by leftist demands and accused coalition partner ÖVP to be backing down to these leftist demands. He said he wouldn't mind being kicked out of state government by the ÖVP governor (which is very likely now).

[Tender Branson]

Meh, poll drought. Would be nice if a Vorarlberg or Upper Austria poll comes out soon.

Good God, in 3 weeks there are state elections and the latest Vorarlberg poll is about 3 months old !

[Tender Branson]

Finally something to talk about for the campaign:

SPÖ general scretary Günther Kräuter argued that asylum seekers should enter the Austrian labor market immediately after they have arrived.

In 3 weeks there are state elections and if the SPÖ ever had any chance to gain votes they probably committed suicide now with these comments.

Austrians do not even want asylum seekers in the country, yet in the labor market - where unemployment rose 30% compared with 2008. In Upper Austria, which has the lowest unemployment rate in Austria @ 4%, but where it is rising most compared with 2008 (+50%), SPÖ front-runner Erich Haider is jumping up and down now because of fellow party colleague Kräuter's comments.

FPÖ+BZÖ have immediately called Kräuters proposal "insane" in these hard economic times and even the ÖVP is strongly opposed. Chancellor Faymann (SPÖ) and the Austrian Social Affairs Minister have also opposed Kräuter's idea.

[Tender Branson]

New federal Karmasin/Profil poll:

ÖVP: 32%
SPÖ: 32%
FPÖ: 20%
Greens: 9%
BZÖ: 6%
Others: 1%

http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20090829_OTS0006

[Tender Branson]

Latest Upper Austria poll by Market:

ÖVP: 41% (-2)
SPÖ: 34% (-4)
FPÖ: 13% (+5)
Greens: 9% (nc)
BZÖ: 3% (+3)

Majority for the current ÖVP-Green coalition.

[Tender Branson]

Latest Upper Austria poll:

ÖVP: 43-45%
SPÖ: 32-34%
FPÖ: 9-11%
Greens: 8-9%
BZÖ: 2-3%

3 weeks before the elections and the FPÖ at only 10%, is - well - interesting ...

[minionofmidas]

For the German speakers, the Wahlkabinen for the Upper Austria and Vorarlberg state elections are online:

http://wahlkabine.at/app/ltw2009ooe?app_start=1

http://wahlkabine.at/app/ltw2009vbg?app_start=1

My result:

Upper Austria

KPÖ   191
Green   154
SPÖ   144
BZÖ   4
FPÖ   -90
ÖVP   -140

Vorarlberg

Gsiberger   269
Green   233
SPÖ   182
BZÖ   77
FPÖ   -60
ÖVP   -78

Tender can you say me more about Gsiberger. I never heard about this Person

Austria above the Enns

KPÖ 240
Greens 199
SPÖ 165
BZÖ -68
FPÖ -123
ÖVP -185

Random piece of Habsburg south west German ancestral land

Gsiberger 405
Greens 396
SPÖ 248
BZÖ -22
FPÖ -195
ÖVP -220

I think I ran a little wild on the "high importance" button on this one...

[Tender Branson]

Federal Gallup/Ö24 poll:

ÖVP: 33%
SPÖ: 31%
FPÖ: 18%
Greens: 13%
BZÖ: 5%

Direct vote for Chancellor:

Josef Pröll (ÖVP): 38%
Werner Faymann (SPÖ): 36%

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/OeVP-hat-bei-Waehlern-die-Nase-vorn-0530196.ece

[Tender Branson]

My Wahlkabinen-results for Upper Austria:

SPÖ: 308
Grüne: 263
KPÖ: 258
BZÖ: 178
FPÖ: -51
ÖVP: -117

My Wahlkabinen-results for Vorarlberg:

SPÖ: 297
Grüne: 289
Gsiberger: 212
BZÖ: 133
FPÖ: 110
ÖVP: -109    

[Tender Branson]

Finally, a new Vorarlberg state elections poll by Market for the newspaper "Standard":

ÖVP: 47% (-8 compared with 2004 state elections)
FPÖ: 17% (+4)
SPÖ: 15% (-2)
Greens: 14% (+4)
BZÖ: 2% (+2)
Others (Gsiberger, Wir Gemeinsam, Kiebitz): 5% (nc)

http://derstandard.at/fs/1252036701397/Vorarlberg-Sausgruber-muss-mit-Verlusten-rechnen

[Tender Branson]

News/OGM Vorarlberg State elections poll:

ÖVP: 50-51%
FPÖ: 18-19%
Greens: 12-13%
SPÖ: 12-13%
BZÖ: 1-2%
GSI: 1-2%

[Tender Branson]

Looks like Upper Austria will be a re-run of the 1991 elections (ÖVP: 45%, SPÖ: 31%, FPÖ: 18%, Greens: 6%) and Vorarlberg of 1994 (ÖVP: 50%, FPÖ: 18%, SPÖ: 16%, Greens: 9%).

[Tender Branson]

Meanwhile, Ewald Stadler, a staunchly conservative catholic MP within the BZÖ, has compared abortions to the Holocaust. He has previously referred to homosexuals as "perverts".

Background:

Pro- and anti-abortion rallies in Vienna

By Lisa Chapman

Pro- and anti-abortion activists campaigned in Vienna yesterday as a prominent pro-abortion organisation marked its thirtieth anniversary.

The groups held rallies outside City Hall where the "pro: woman" group was meeting in the evening.

Police said 700 people from both pro and anti-abortion movements arrived hours before the event.

The anti-abortion demonstrators, who had been mobilised by the small political party "Die Christen" (The Christians), among others, arrived first carrying anti-abortion posters and yelling anti-abortion slogans.

Their organiser Rudolf Gehring said the pro: woman meeting was "a provocation".

"Every abortion causes a human being to die. Such a meeting should not take place," he said.

Pro-abortion supporters backed by the Social Democrats (SPÖ) held a counter-demonstration and some of them threw water-balloons at their opponents.

Meanwhile the pro: woman meeting went ahead as planned, with about 230 invited guests in attendance.

SPÖ Women’s Minister Gabriele Heinisch-Hosek said she had been in contact with People’s Party (ÖVP) Interior Minister Maria Fekter about the possibility of setting up protected zones around abortion clinics.

Pro: woman head Elke Graf said: "Whoever fails to understand that abortion is a woman’s right is out of contact with reality."

Abortion in Austria is available on request up to the 14th week of pregnancy and up to the 24th week if a woman can demonstrate there is a risk to her physical or mental health or the health of the foetus. Parents have to agree to abortions performed on girls under 14 years of age.

There are no restrictions where the procedure is carried out as long as it is preformed by a qualified doctor.

http://austriantimes.at/news/Panorama/2009-09-04/16122/Pro-_and_anti-abortion_rallies_in_Vienna

[Tender Branson]

Latest Vorarlberg state elections poll:



Meh, it seems Egger's "Exil Jew"-controversy has helped the FPÖ quite a bit.

Different story in Upper Austria's upcoming state elections, where the relatively young and inexperienced FPÖ-frontrunner has just a 3% trust rating (17% have no trust), according to a new OGM poll. 80% in the state have no opinion of the FPÖ top candidate.



http://www.ogm.at/pdfs/APAOGM_Vertrauensindex_OOE_September_09.pdf

The FPÖ is therefore only at 10% in recent polls, which would only be an increase of 1% compared with the previous elections and way below federal results.