2009 State and Federal elections in Germany

[Tender Branson]

As for my predictions (list vote):

CDU - 43%
SPD - 22%
FPD - 14%
Greens - 12%
Left - 4%
Others - 5%

[Franzl]

I actually wanted to vote for the CDU woman for the district vote....but her "campaign ads" in the mail gave me a pretty good reason not to....

basically....vote for me because I'm not quite as bad as the SPD....

Well, the polls have been open for the last 2 hours.

I just got back from voting.

I was still kind of undecided....but I stuck with my choice:

district vote: CDU
party list: FDP

That CDU-woman ?

http://www.silke-lautenschlaeger.de

Correct, that's her

[Franzl]

CDU - 43% 39%
SPD - 22% 25%
FPD - 14% 13%
Greens - 12% 13%
Left - 4%
Others - 5% 6%

is my prediction.

[Tender Branson]

What do you think about district votes in Darmstadt-Dieburg II?

I'd guess something like.....CDU +10%?

I'd guess the following:

Lautenschläger (CDU): 48% (+8)
Koch (SPD): 34% (-7)

[Franzl]

What do you think about district votes in Darmstadt-Dieburg II?

I'd guess something like.....CDU +10%?

I'd guess the following:

Lautenschläger (CDU): 48% (+8)
Koch (SPD): 34% (-7)

Upon further reflection, and looking at past elections....I think you'll be closer in D-D II.

[Tender Branson]

Question: Is there any form of "Wahlkabine" for Hessen ?

[Franzl]

Question: Is there any form of "Wahlkabine" for Hessen ?

I doubt it...the campaign was so short this year....and I'm not even sure if there was one last year.

Wahl-o-mat didn't do anything, I'm sure of that.

[minionofmidas]

Wahlomat didn't do anything last time around because the CDU refused to collaborate. I guess the same is true this year (certainly the absence of a one-on-one debate was Koch's decision), although the short campaign may also have played a role.

Yeah, I just voted. And unless unlike Franzl I literally changed my mind in the voting booth.
The old "one vote doesn't really matter at all unless it happens to be the one that makes 5%" logic again. Not that I'm sure I did the right thing - I basically went to the polls now because I gave up on reaching a firm decision before 6pm. I think seeing Sarah Sorge's name printed on the ballot played a role too (top five of every list is printed) - Sorge's sort of been emblematic of the Greens' takeover of pure carreerists to me since her city council days here. I'm almost 100% certain this is quite unfair, but it's the way I feel.

[Franzl]

Evil Lewis

[minionofmidas]

Statewide "results'll be here" page not yet up (or at least linked to). Will only have municipalities once they're complete, if past form be anything to go by.

Here be 2008 results by municipality and by constituency.

A zipped Excel file, but it also has 2004 Euros, 2005 feds and 2006 locals, all in one place! By constituency (chapter 8 ), district (9) and municipality-by-constituency (10). *drool* Shame there's no 2003 though. Blue thingy at top left is "back to index".

EDIT: Thanks, asshats.

Frankfurt by precinct (and by Stadtteil) will be linked to off this page sometime later. They probably won't have comparison results - never used to - though. It'll probably be looking very much like this, which is Wiesbaden's. 2008 Stadtteil results be here (towards end of document) and a map be here.

This will have 2008 and 2009 precinct results for the southern suburb of Neu-Isenburg. This is the format I'd like other towns use (although a precinct map would be nice, ya frog puritans. Just sayin'.)

Offenbach has 2008 results and a map.
I guess a link to 2009 results will appear here later today, but so far I ain't seen it.

[Hash]

I'll give a shot at predicting this.

CDU 40%
SPD 25%
FDP 14%
Greens 13%
Left 4%
Others 4%

[minionofmidas]

Turnout down. Y'all know what that means.

[Hash]

Turnout down. Y'all know what that means.

What does it mean?

[Tender Branson]

Turnout down. Y'all know what that means.

What does it mean?

Translation: CDU-Landslide

[Tender Branson]

Interesting:

I just noticed that Schäfer-Gümbel's wife looks like himself - just with different hair ...

[Tender Branson]

At 2pm, turnout is down by about 5% compared with 2008, from 35% to 30%.

In Frankfurt, turnout is down from 34% to 28% ..

[Franzl]

Can we go ahead and bring out the champagne?

[Franzl]

Something I was thinking about...since I split my votes between parties....how common is that really in Germany?

I would imagine most people give the same party both votes without thinking about the electoral system...but I could be wrong. What percentage of people, do you think, split their votes?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

How long 'till the polls close [qm]

[Franzl]

How long 'till the polls close [qm]

closing in 45 minutes, at 6PM German time, 5PM British

[Tender Branson]

LOLZ !

7 minutes before poll closings, N-TV reports that Andrea Ypsilanti will announce her resignation as SPD-chair shortly after the first exit polls are published ...

Must be a horrible day for the SPD ...

[Tender Branson]

BTW, the N-TV Live Stream with Exit Polls in 5 minutes:

http://www.n-tv.de/61215.html

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Must be a horrible day for the SPD ...

I think that's been obvious for a while...

[Franzl]

ARD exit poll:


CDU:   37.5%
SPD:    23.5%
FDP:    16.0%
Greens:    14.0%
Left:   5.1%

[Tender Branson]

ARD exit poll:

CDU:   37.5%

Bradley-Effect ?