Virginia 2009 Megathread
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Author Topic: Virginia 2009 Megathread  (Read 172042 times)
muon2
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« Reply #1100 on: November 03, 2009, 07:41:34 PM »
Newport News (64-35 Obama) is 53-47 for McDonnell with 13% reporting.
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muon2
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« Reply #1101 on: November 03, 2009, 07:42:23 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on November 03, 2009, 07:39:55 PM
I'll post some more here soon, but this one is over and it will be double-digits unless there's something unexpected in NoVA.

King & Queen county has a lot of blacks, so I would read too much there.

Does that suggest very low black turnout?
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War on Want
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« Reply #1102 on: November 03, 2009, 07:42:29 PM »
It seems like Cap n' Trade really hurt Deeds in southwestern Virginia.
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« Reply #1103 on: November 03, 2009, 07:43:24 PM »
17%

DEEDS            98,068      (37%)
MCDONNELL       169,716      (63%)
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« Reply #1104 on: November 03, 2009, 07:44:49 PM »
Quote from: Karma Police on November 03, 2009, 07:42:29 PM
It seems like Cap n' Trade really hurt Deeds in southwestern Virginia.

Holy sh**t, yeah. McDonnell is owning so far in old coal country. But he's owning everywhere except Deeds' home base in the Shenandoah. Where Deeds is doing miles better than Obama.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #1105 on: November 03, 2009, 07:44:52 PM »
The AP source sucks. Are there any better ones out there?
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1106 on: November 03, 2009, 07:44:59 PM »
Quote from: muon2 on November 03, 2009, 07:42:23 PM
Quote from: Sam Spade on November 03, 2009, 07:39:55 PM
I'll post some more here soon, but this one is over and it will be double-digits unless there's something unexpected in NoVA.

King & Queen county has a lot of blacks, so I would read too much there.

Does that suggest very low black turnout?

Well, I think that, in comparison to Obama, any black turnout Deeds was going to get was going to be low, but yes.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1107 on: November 03, 2009, 07:45:18 PM »
You can watch the VA GOP Party here on Bob's website; http://www.bobmcdonnell.com/
It's live streaming, Michael Steele was just speaking...
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« Reply #1108 on: November 03, 2009, 07:46:25 PM »
Quote from: Senator North Carolina Yankee on November 03, 2009, 07:44:52 PM
The AP source sucks. Are there any better ones out there?

http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/cms/Election_Information/Election_Results/2009/November_General_Election.html

McDonnell is doing well in inner NoVA so far. 10% or so better than McCain.
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War on Want
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« Reply #1109 on: November 03, 2009, 07:46:31 PM »
Quote from: PASOK Leader Hashemite on November 03, 2009, 07:44:49 PM
Quote from: Karma Police on November 03, 2009, 07:42:29 PM
It seems like Cap n' Trade really hurt Deeds in southwestern Virginia.

Holy sh**t, yeah. McDonnell is owning so far in old coal country. But he's owning everywhere except Deeds' home base in the Shenandoah. Where Deeds is doing miles better than Obama.
McDonnell is doing better than McCain there so I'm guessing that coal areas will move even further away from Obama in 2012.
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muon2
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« Reply #1110 on: November 03, 2009, 07:46:46 PM »
Arlington (15% in) is 62-38 Deeds. Alexandria (22% in) is 64-36 Deeds. Obama over 70% in each.
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« Reply #1111 on: November 03, 2009, 07:46:59 PM »
Obama won King and Queen County by 52% to 48% last year aganist McCain. It looks as though McDonnell has won it by 59% to 41%.
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« Reply #1112 on: November 03, 2009, 07:47:55 PM »
Yo, you can call the race now. It's painfully clear.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1113 on: November 03, 2009, 07:49:12 PM »
Folks, with VA, the better comparison is probably Kilgore/Kaine due to the black turnout in 2008.  Not that it looks any prettier for Dems with that model.
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« Reply #1114 on: November 03, 2009, 07:50:32 PM »
McDonnell is even winning in Fairfax County. Surely the networks can call this?
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« Reply #1115 on: November 03, 2009, 07:50:53 PM »
22%

DEEDS           126,707      (36%)
MCDONNELL       226,198      (64%)

It would be terrible and mildly amusing in a sadistic way if McDonnell won over 60%. Probably won't, but it's a ing landslide.
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« Reply #1116 on: November 03, 2009, 07:51:39 PM »
Quote from: Kucinichisdabest on November 03, 2009, 07:50:32 PM
McDonnell is even winning in Fairfax County. Surely the networks can call this?

With 1 out of 232 polls. I'd be cautious before be too pessimistic.
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muon2
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« Reply #1117 on: November 03, 2009, 07:52:14 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on November 03, 2009, 07:49:12 PM
Folks, with VA, the better comparison is probably Kilgore/Kaine due to the black turnout in 2008.  Not that it looks any prettier for Dems with that model.

In that case the turnaround is greater since Kaine won King and Queen 54-44.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #1118 on: November 03, 2009, 07:53:27 PM »
Quote from: PASOK Leader Hashemite on November 03, 2009, 07:51:39 PM
Quote from: Kucinichisdabest on November 03, 2009, 07:50:32 PM
McDonnell is even winning in Fairfax County. Surely the networks can call this?

With 1 out of 232 polls. I'd be cautious before be too pessimistic.

It would be kinda lulz if McDonnell did win Fairfaz County, like you said, in a sadistic way.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #1119 on: November 03, 2009, 07:54:02 PM »

My computer is too slow to load it.
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« Reply #1120 on: November 03, 2009, 07:54:50 PM »

The AP is the least modern of them all, thus best adapted to less modern computers.
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Meeker
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« Reply #1121 on: November 03, 2009, 07:55:04 PM »
Deeds wins Bath County!
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1122 on: November 03, 2009, 07:55:12 PM »
Wagner is ahead of Deeds by about 2% now. Not nearly enough to win.

Republicans claimed their first House of Delegates takeover: in the 3rd, Will Morefield (R) is ahead of Dan Bowling (D) 57-43 with 62% of precincts in.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #1123 on: November 03, 2009, 07:56:40 PM »
27% Reporting

DEEDS           165,283      (37%)
MCDONNELL       279,274      (63%)
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« Reply #1124 on: November 03, 2009, 07:57:49 PM »
Deeds is 'closing the gap', as expected. Of course, he won't win.

Bath County lol. I love favourite son votes.
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