Virginia 2009 Megathread

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Republican Convention: May 29-30
Primary Election: June 9
General Election: November 3

General Election Results Pages (Virginia State Board of Elections)

Statewide Map
Complete Results

Governor - 58.7 McDonnell, 41.2 Deeds
Lt. Governor - 56.4 Bolling, 43.5 Wagner
Attorney General - 57.5 Cuccinelli, 42.4 Shannon

House of Delegates - Net +5 Republican pickup (1 Democratic seat, the 21st, is too close to call)
- Democratic incumbents defeated: 3rd, 23rd, 32nd, 34th, 51st, 67th, 83rd
- Republican incumbents defeated: 93rd
- Open Republican 52th seat flipped to the Democrats
Composition will be 58R, 2I, 39D, 1 undecided

Governor
Incumbent: Tim Kaine (D), term-limited
2005 result: Tim Kaine (D) 51.7%, Jerry Kilgore (R) 46.0%, Russ Potts (I) 2.2%
Democratic primary result (Deeds 49.8, McAuliffe 26.4, Moran 23.8 )

Candidates
Creigh Deeds (D) - State Senator from Bath County, 2005 Attorney General nominee
Bob McDonnell (R) - former Attorney General

Former Candidates
Terry McAuliffe (D) - former DNC chair and prolific fundraiser (lost primary)
Brian Moran (D) - State Delegate from Alexandria, House Democratic Caucus chair (lost primary)

Lieutenant Governor
Incumbent: Bill Bolling (R), running for re-election
2005 result: Bill Bolling (R) 50.5%, Leslie Byrne (D) 49.3%
Democratic primary result (Wagner 74.3, Signer 21.3, Bowerbank 4.5)

Candidates
Bill Bolling (R) - incumbent
Jody Wagner (D) - former state finance secretary, 2000 VA-02 nominee

Former Candidates
Jon Bowerbank (D) - businessman and Russell County Supervisor (withdrew)
Pat Edmonson (D) - Virginia Beach school board member (withdrew)
Patrick Muldoon (R) - attorney and 1996 VA-09 nominee (lost nominating convention)
Rich Savage (D) - political consultant (withdrew)
Michael Signer (D) - former deputy counselor to Mark Warner and 2004 Edwards/Clark campaign aide (lost primary)

Attorney General
Incumbent: none (Bob McDonnell (R) resigned February 3 to run for Governor full-time)
2005 result: Bob McDonnell (R) 49.96%, Creigh Deeds (D) 49.95%

Candidates
Ken Cuccinelli (R) - State Senator from Fairfax
Steve Shannon (D) - State Delegate from Fairfax

Former Candidates
John Brownlee (R) - former U.S. Attorney (lost nominating convention)
David Foster (R) - former Arlington County school board chair (lost nominating convention)

House of Delegates
Current composition: 53 Republicans, 43 Democrats, 2 Independents (both caucus with the Republicans), 2 Democratic vacancies
JLT's House of Delegates targets, pre-primary edition
JLT's House of Delegates targets, post-primary/second quarter fundraising edition
JLT's House of Delegates targets, mid-September edition
JLT's House of Delegates targets, final edition

[JSojourner]

Al Eisenberg for Governor!  ;-)

[Frodo]

Gov. Tim Kaine will stay -I think there will still be something available to him in the Obama administration when he is finally out of a job in January 2010. 

Given election trends, I give the edge to the Virginia GOP in taking back the governor's mansion next year, and I would not be surprised if we end up with a Republican sweep, with a Governor Bob McDonnell, Lt. Governor Bill Bolling, and Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli at the very top.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Gov. Tim Kaine will stay -I think there will still be something available to him in the Obama administration when he is finally out of a job in January 1010. 

Given election trends, I give the edge to the Virginia GOP in taking back the governor's mansion next year, and I would not be surprised if we end up with a Republican sweep, with a Governor Bob McDonnell, Lt. Governor Bill Bolling, and Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli at the very top.

Recent history has shown Virginians give the losing party in the Presidential election the consolation prize of the governor's mansion. That being said, I hope like hell that Cuccinelli doesn't win the AG seat. He makes Bolling and McDonnell look like moderates.

[BM]

Terry McAuliffe is expected to announce his campaign soon.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Terry sure sounds like a candidate: http://raisingkaine.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=17178

I think that just pushed my support to Creigh Deeds, assuming he and Moran split the NoVa primary vote.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Terry's entrance into this race just made this race a lot more interesting.

[Ronnie]

I just want to see BRTD supporting the Republican if McAuliffe wins the nomination.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

With McDonnell being the official nominee now, there's no chance of a showdown between him and Bolling. Now all the Republicans need to do is settle on an AG nominee.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Boucher endorses Deeds

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

I predict that it will be McAuliffe versus McDonnell with the latter being the winner.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

I predict that it will be McAuliffe versus McDonnell with the latter being the winner.

McAuliffe won't win the primary.  He has no base, and too many people dislike him.

[Lunar]

I predict that it will be McAuliffe versus McDonnell with the latter being the winner.

McAuliffe won't win the primary.  He has no base, and too many people dislike him.

I disagree, I think he's favored.

His base is NOVA, lots of connections and this:

[DownWithTheLeft]

2009 has the potential to be a great year for Republicans (that's mean get your fat ass Chris)

[Kaine for Senate '18]

I predict that it will be McAuliffe versus McDonnell with the latter being the winner.

McAuliffe won't win the primary.  He has no base, and too many people dislike him.

...His base is NOVA...

I think he and Moran will split the NOVA vote; wherever McAuliffe does well, Moran will do well too.  Deeds, on the other hand, is in complete control of the southern part of Virginia, with the other two not even close.

[Lunar]

I predict that it will be McAuliffe versus McDonnell with the latter being the winner.

McAuliffe won't win the primary.  He has no base, and too many people dislike him.

...His base is NOVA...

I think he and Moran will split the NOVA vote; wherever McAuliffe does well, Moran will do well too.  Deeds, on the other hand, is in complete control of the southern part of Virginia, with the other two not even close.

the second part is important

I predict that it will be McAuliffe versus McDonnell with the latter being the winner.

McAuliffe won't win the primary.  He has no base, and too many people dislike him.

I disagree, I think he's favored.

His base is NOVA, lots of connections and this:

The ability to raise ridiculous amounts of money means a LOT in the primary.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Money may be important, but I don't think it will help McAuliffe as much as you think it will.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Speaking of endorsements, the mayors of Virginia Beach, Hampton, Newport News, Norfolk, and Hampton all endorsed Moran.

[MaxQue]

Speaking of endorsements, the mayors of Virginia Beach, Hampton, Newport News, Norfolk, and Hampton all endorsed Moran.

There is two places named Hampton?

[minionofmidas]

Speaking of endorsements, the mayors of Virginia Beach, Hampton, Newport News, Norfolk, and Hampton all endorsed Moran.

There is two places named Hampton?

One of which is usually called "Portsmouth" on maps.

So much for Deeds owning the southern part of the state... Yeah, I know people mean the southwestern half. It doesn't have the votes anymore, though. Although a Deeds vs McDonnell rematch, just as close but with a different outcome, would be the coolest possible outcome.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Speaking of endorsements, the mayors of Virginia Beach, Hampton, Newport News, Norfolk, and Hampton all endorsed Moran.

There is two places named Hampton?

My obsessive need for alphabetizing fails me again...

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Speaking of endorsements, the mayors of Virginia Beach, Hampton, Newport News, Norfolk, and Hampton all endorsed Moran.

There is two places named Hampton?

One of which is usually called "Portsmouth" on maps.

So much for Deeds owning the southern part of the state... Yeah, I know people mean the southwestern half. It doesn't have the votes anymore, though. Although a Deeds vs McDonnell rematch, just as close but with a different outcome, would be the coolest possible outcome.

Endorsements aren't everything; if they were, Harris Miller would have been the Senate nominee in 2006.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

We've got another candidate for Lt. Governor:

http://hamptonroads.com/2009/01/political-adviser-run-lieutenant-governor

No, I've never heard of him either.

[Lunar]

VIRGINIA HERE I COME

TERRY TRASHES MCDONNELL IN INITIAL CAMPAIGN VIDEO

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OGoEDCs4-RE&eurl


lunar's not sure what this "Republican vs. Democratic jobs" divide he's talking about defeating

[Lunar]

VIRGINIA HERE I COME

TERRY TRASHES MCDONNELL IN INITIAL CAMPAIGN VIDEO

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OGoEDCs4-RE&eurl


lunar's not sure what this "Republican vs. Democratic jobs" divide he's talking about defeating

important to note that he's running as the successful pro-business businessman and not a political insider, let alone a clinton whore